Week 9 Preview
Games to watch
Ranked by matchup score: good teams, close lines
Indianola (6-2, #14 5A) is favored by 1.5 on the road over Urbandale (6-2, #15 5A), 54% to win, total 51.0. Urbandale’s playoff odds: >99% with a win, 68% with a loss.
43 meetings since 1964, Urbandale leads 28–15; Indianola won the last one 14–7 in 2025. Indianola has won 3 straight.
Dallas Center-Grimes (6-2, #12 5A) is favored by 6.0 at home over CR Kennedy (5-3, #16 5A), 69% to win, total 48.5. CR Kennedy’s playoff odds: >99% with a win, 22% with a loss.
1 meeting since 2025, Dallas Center-Grimes leads 1–0; Dallas Center-Grimes won the last one 14–7 in 2025.
Iowa City West (4-4, #19 5A) is favored by 1.5 on the road over Marion Linn-Mar (2-6, #20 5A), 55% to win, total 54.5.
30 meetings since 1986, Iowa City West leads 18–12; Iowa City West won the last one 42–14 in 2025.
Clear Lake (8-0, #1 3A) is favored by 10.5 on the road over West Delaware (7-1, #4 3A), 77% to win, total 54.0.
2 meetings since 2010, series tied; Clear Lake won the last one 28–0 in 2025.
Eldridge North Scott (4-4, #16 4A) at Davenport North (6-2, #19 4A) is a pick’em with a 46.0 total. Davenport North’s playoff odds: >99% with a win, <1% with a loss.
34 meetings since 1985, Eldridge North Scott leads 29–5; Eldridge North Scott won the last one 24–3 in 2025. Eldridge North Scott has won 26 straight.
Waverly-Shell Rock (6-2, #5 4A) is favored by 10.0 at home over Decorah (4-4, #11 4A), 79% to win, total 45.5. Decorah’s playoff odds: >99% with a win, <1% with a loss.
67 meetings since 1960, Decorah leads 38–29; Decorah won the last one 37–0 in 2025. Decorah has won 3 straight.
Davenport Assumption (6-2, #9 3A) is favored by 3.0 on the road over Mount Vernon (6-2, #12 3A), 58% to win, total 52.0.
5 meetings since 2021, Mount Vernon leads 4–1; Mount Vernon won the last one 42–6 in 2025. Mount Vernon has won 4 straight.
Ida Grove O-A-BC-IG (7-1, #2 2A) is favored by 8.5 on the road over Western Christian (4-4, #6 2A), 74% to win, total 51.5.
3 meetings since 2010, Ida Grove O-A-BC-IG leads 2–1; Ida Grove O-A-BC-IG won the last one 34–17 in 2025.
Alleman North Polk (5-3, #8 4A) is favored by 11.5 at home over Gilbert (5-3, #15 4A), 82% to win, total 49.0. Gilbert’s playoff odds: 23% with a win, <1% with a loss.
20 meetings since 1996, Alleman North Polk leads 17–3; Gilbert won the last one 49–18 in 2025.
Carlisle (8-0, #6 4A) is favored by 13.5 at home over Huxley Ballard (6-2, #17 4A), 86% to win, total 49.5.
35 meetings since 1967, Carlisle leads 21–13; Carlisle won the last one 42–35 in 2025.
Most on the line
Playoff odds with a win vs. with a loss, from the simulation
| Davenport North vs Eldridge North Scott | >99% win · <1% loss | 100 pts |
| Eldridge North Scott at Davenport North | >99% win · <1% loss | 100 pts |
| Decorah at Waverly-Shell Rock | >99% win · <1% loss | 100 pts |
| Iowa Falls-Alden at Van Horne Benton | >99% win · 2% loss | 98 pts |
| Atlantic vs Carroll | >99% win · 19% loss | 81 pts |
| CR Kennedy at Dallas Center-Grimes | >99% win · 22% loss | 78 pts |
| Dallas Center-Grimes vs CR Kennedy | >99% win · 58% loss | 42 pts |
| Urbandale vs Indianola | >99% win · 68% loss | 32 pts |
| Gilbert at Alleman North Polk | 23% win · <1% loss | 23 pts |
| Bishop Heelan vs Algona | >99% win · 83% loss | 17 pts |
| Harlan at Greene County | >99% win · 86% loss | 14 pts |
| Fairfield at Mount Pleasant | >99% win · 92% loss | 8 pts |
Where we split from BCMoore
Largest gaps between our line and Brent Moore’s
| Des Moines North at Bondurant-Farrar | Bondurant-Farrar -35.5 vs Bondurant-Farrar -66.5 | 31.2 |
| Columbus Junction at East Buchanan | East Buchanan -49.0 vs East Buchanan -78.5 | 29.4 |
| Sibley-Ocheyedan at Woodbury Central | Woodbury Central -33.0 vs Woodbury Central -55.0 | 21.8 |
| Eagle Grove at Aplington AP | Aplington AP -32.0 vs Aplington AP -53.5 | 21.5 |
| West Monona at Marcus MMCRU | Marcus MMCRU -7.0 vs West Monona -12.0 | 19.4 |
| Mason City at CR Xavier | CR Xavier -52.0 vs CR Xavier -70.5 | 18.7 |
Streaks on the line
Three or more straight, playoffs and past seasons included
| CR Xavier has won 21 straight since 2025, plays Mason City | W21 |
| Central Lyon CL-G-LR has won 10 straight since 2025, plays Southeast Valley | W10 |
| Carlisle has won 9 straight since 2025, plays Huxley Ballard | W9 |
| Clear Lake has won 8 straight, plays West Delaware | W8 |
| Solon has won 8 straight, plays Fort Madison | W8 |
| Davenport West has lost 27 straight since 2023, plays Clinton | L27 |
| Oskaloosa has lost 17 straight since 2024, plays Clear Creek-Amana | L17 |
| Sioux City North has lost 14 straight since 2025, plays Ankeny Centennial | L14 |
| Maquoketa has lost 14 straight since 2025, plays Dubuque Wahlert | L14 |
| Des Moines North has lost 13 straight since 2025, plays Bondurant-Farrar | L13 |
Still unbeaten
CR Xavier 8-0, Sergeant Bluff-Luton 8-0, Carlisle 8-0
Clear Lake 8-0, Solon 8-0, Des Moines Christian 8-0
Iowa City Regina 8-0, Aplington AP 8-0
Hawarden West Sioux 8-0, Woodbury Central 8-0, Saint Ansgar 8-0, Madrid 8-0, Sheffield West Fork 8-0, Packwood Pekin 8-0
Generated from the model, the playoff simulation and the archive; no human wrote these sentences. For entertainment only.