Class 3A · Week 9 Preview
Games to watch
Ranked by matchup score: good teams, close lines
Clear Lake (8-0, #1 3A) is favored by 10.5 on the road over West Delaware (7-1, #4 3A), 77% to win, total 54.0.
2 meetings since 2010, series tied; Clear Lake won the last one 28–0 in 2025.
Davenport Assumption (6-2, #9 3A) is favored by 3.0 on the road over Mount Vernon (6-2, #12 3A), 58% to win, total 52.0.
5 meetings since 2021, Mount Vernon leads 4–1; Mount Vernon won the last one 42–6 in 2025. Mount Vernon has won 4 straight.
Bishop Heelan (5-3, #5 3A) is favored by 11.5 at home over Algona (5-3, #11 3A), 80% to win, total 48.0. Bishop Heelan’s playoff odds: >99% with a win, 83% with a loss.
3 meetings since 2016, Bishop Heelan leads 2–1; Algona won the last one 21–13 in 2025.
Carroll (7-1, #6 3A) is favored by 15.5 on the road over Atlantic (5-3, #17 3A), 86% to win, total 54.5. Atlantic’s playoff odds: >99% with a win, 19% with a loss.
23 meetings since 1901, Carroll leads 14–9; Carroll won the last one 35–7 in 2025.
Sioux Center (7-1, #7 3A) is favored by 16.5 on the road over Humboldt (0-8, #21 3A), 88% to win, total 48.0.
1 meeting since 2025, Sioux Center leads 1–0; Sioux Center won the last one 34–13 in 2025.
Mount Pleasant (7-1, #15 3A) is favored by 12.0 at home over Fairfield (5-3, #23 3A), 80% to win, total 52.0.
102 meetings since 1902, Fairfield leads 52–48; Mount Pleasant won the last one 25–22 in 2025.
Most on the line
Playoff odds with a win vs. with a loss, from the simulation
| Iowa Falls-Alden at Van Horne Benton | >99% win · 2% loss | 98 pts |
| Atlantic vs Carroll | >99% win · 19% loss | 81 pts |
| Bishop Heelan vs Algona | >99% win · 83% loss | 17 pts |
| Harlan at Greene County | >99% win · 86% loss | 14 pts |
| Fairfield at Mount Pleasant | >99% win · 92% loss | 8 pts |
Where we split from BCMoore
Largest gaps between our line and Brent Moore’s
| Winterset at Des Moines Christian | Des Moines Christian -38.0 vs Des Moines Christian -55.5 | 17.3 |
| Iowa Falls-Alden at Van Horne Benton | Iowa Falls-Alden -13.5 vs Iowa Falls-Alden -29.5 | 15.9 |
| Keokuk at Washington | Washington -27.5 vs Washington -39.5 | 12.1 |
| Knoxville at Nevada | Nevada -37.5 vs Nevada -49.0 | 11.6 |
| Sioux Center at Humboldt | Sioux Center -16.5 vs Sioux Center -25.5 | 9.1 |
| Williamsburg at Saydel | Williamsburg -58.5 vs Williamsburg -66.5 | 8.0 |
Streaks on the line
Three or more straight, playoffs and past seasons included
| Clear Lake has won 8 straight, plays West Delaware | W8 |
| Solon has won 8 straight, plays Fort Madison | W8 |
| Des Moines Christian has won 7 straight, plays Winterset | W7 |
| Carroll has won 6 straight, plays Atlantic | W6 |
| Davenport Assumption has won 6 straight, plays Mount Vernon | W6 |
| Maquoketa has lost 14 straight since 2025, plays Dubuque Wahlert | L14 |
| Humboldt has lost 10 straight since 2025, plays Sioux Center | L10 |
| Charles City has lost 6 straight, plays Independence | L6 |
| Perry has lost 4 straight, plays Creston | L4 |
| Keokuk has lost 4 straight, plays Washington | L4 |
Still unbeaten
Clear Lake 8-0, Solon 8-0, Des Moines Christian 8-0
Generated from the model, the playoff simulation and the archive; no human wrote these sentences. For entertainment only.