Class 4A · Week 9 Preview
Games to watch
Ranked by matchup score: good teams, close lines
Eldridge North Scott (4-4, #16 4A) at Davenport North (6-2, #19 4A) is a pick’em with a 46.0 total. Davenport North’s playoff odds: >99% with a win, <1% with a loss.
34 meetings since 1985, Eldridge North Scott leads 29–5; Eldridge North Scott won the last one 24–3 in 2025. Eldridge North Scott has won 26 straight.
Waverly-Shell Rock (6-2, #5 4A) is favored by 10.0 at home over Decorah (4-4, #11 4A), 79% to win, total 45.5. Decorah’s playoff odds: >99% with a win, <1% with a loss.
67 meetings since 1960, Decorah leads 38–29; Decorah won the last one 37–0 in 2025. Decorah has won 3 straight.
Alleman North Polk (5-3, #8 4A) is favored by 11.5 at home over Gilbert (5-3, #15 4A), 82% to win, total 49.0. Gilbert’s playoff odds: 23% with a win, <1% with a loss.
20 meetings since 1996, Alleman North Polk leads 17–3; Gilbert won the last one 49–18 in 2025.
Carlisle (8-0, #6 4A) is favored by 13.5 at home over Huxley Ballard (6-2, #17 4A), 86% to win, total 49.5.
35 meetings since 1967, Carlisle leads 21–13; Carlisle won the last one 42–35 in 2025.
Sergeant Bluff-Luton (8-0, #4 4A) is favored by 20.5 at home over Spencer (6-2, #18 4A), 95% to win, total 53.5.
18 meetings since 2006, series tied; Sergeant Bluff-Luton won the last one 41–14 in 2025.
Pella (5-3, #7 4A) is favored by 24.0 at home over Grinnell (4-4, #22 4A), 97% to win, total 44.5.
36 meetings since 1950, Pella leads 21–15; Pella won the last one 14–0 in 2025.
Most on the line
Playoff odds with a win vs. with a loss, from the simulation
| Davenport North vs Eldridge North Scott | >99% win · <1% loss | 100 pts |
| Eldridge North Scott at Davenport North | >99% win · <1% loss | 100 pts |
| Decorah at Waverly-Shell Rock | >99% win · <1% loss | 100 pts |
| Gilbert at Alleman North Polk | 23% win · <1% loss | 23 pts |
Where we split from BCMoore
Largest gaps between our line and Brent Moore’s
| Des Moines North at Bondurant-Farrar | Bondurant-Farrar -35.5 vs Bondurant-Farrar -66.5 | 31.2 |
| Mason City at CR Xavier | CR Xavier -52.0 vs CR Xavier -70.5 | 18.7 |
| Clinton at Davenport West | Clinton -23.0 vs Clinton -40.0 | 17.0 |
| Burlington at Western Dubuque | Western Dubuque -56.5 vs Western Dubuque -71.0 | 14.7 |
| Gilbert at Alleman North Polk | Alleman North Polk -11.5 vs Alleman North Polk -23.5 | 12.2 |
| Sioux City West at Fort Dodge | Fort Dodge -25.5 vs Fort Dodge -13.5 | 11.7 |
Streaks on the line
Three or more straight, playoffs and past seasons included
| CR Xavier has won 21 straight since 2025, plays Mason City | W21 |
| Carlisle has won 9 straight since 2025, plays Huxley Ballard | W9 |
| Sergeant Bluff-Luton has won 8 straight, plays Spencer | W8 |
| Western Dubuque has won 6 straight, plays Burlington | W6 |
| Huxley Ballard has won 6 straight, plays Carlisle | W6 |
| Davenport West has lost 27 straight since 2023, plays Clinton | L27 |
| Oskaloosa has lost 17 straight since 2024, plays Clear Creek-Amana | L17 |
| Des Moines North has lost 13 straight since 2025, plays Bondurant-Farrar | L13 |
| CB Jefferson has lost 12 straight since 2025, plays CB Lewis Central | L12 |
| Bondurant-Farrar has lost 8 straight, plays Des Moines North | L8 |
Still unbeaten
CR Xavier 8-0, Sergeant Bluff-Luton 8-0, Carlisle 8-0
Generated from the model, the playoff simulation and the archive; no human wrote these sentences. For entertainment only.