Class 5A · Week 9 Preview
Games to watch
Ranked by matchup score: good teams, close lines
Indianola (6-2, #14 5A) is favored by 1.5 on the road over Urbandale (6-2, #15 5A), 54% to win, total 51.0. Urbandale’s playoff odds: >99% with a win, 68% with a loss.
43 meetings since 1964, Urbandale leads 28–15; Indianola won the last one 14–7 in 2025. Indianola has won 3 straight.
Dallas Center-Grimes (6-2, #12 5A) is favored by 6.0 at home over CR Kennedy (5-3, #16 5A), 69% to win, total 48.5. CR Kennedy’s playoff odds: >99% with a win, 22% with a loss.
1 meeting since 2025, Dallas Center-Grimes leads 1–0; Dallas Center-Grimes won the last one 14–7 in 2025.
Iowa City West (4-4, #19 5A) is favored by 1.5 on the road over Marion Linn-Mar (2-6, #20 5A), 55% to win, total 54.5.
30 meetings since 1986, Iowa City West leads 18–12; Iowa City West won the last one 42–14 in 2025.
Waukee Northwest (5-3, #3 5A) is favored by 32.5 at home over Norwalk (4-4, #22 5A), >99% to win, total 47.5.
1 meeting since 2025, Waukee Northwest leads 1–0; Waukee Northwest won the last one 42–7 in 2025.
Waukee (4-4, #11 5A) is favored by 27.0 on the road over Waterloo West (3-5, #23 5A), 99% to win, total 49.0.
1 meeting since 2025, Waukee leads 1–0; Waukee won the last one 49–21 in 2025.
Johnston (7-1, #2 5A) is favored by 41.0 on the road over Des Moines Roosevelt (5-3, #24 5A), >99% to win, total 51.0.
7 meetings since 2004, Johnston leads 5–2; Johnston won the last one 37–0 in 2025. Johnston has won 5 straight.
Most on the line
Playoff odds with a win vs. with a loss, from the simulation
| CR Kennedy at Dallas Center-Grimes | >99% win · 22% loss | 78 pts |
| Dallas Center-Grimes vs CR Kennedy | >99% win · 58% loss | 42 pts |
| Urbandale vs Indianola | >99% win · 68% loss | 32 pts |
Where we split from BCMoore
Largest gaps between our line and Brent Moore’s
| Marshalltown at WDM Dowling | WDM Dowling -66.5 vs WDM Dowling -83.5 | 16.9 |
| Bettendorf at Dubuque Hempstead | Bettendorf -30.0 vs Bettendorf -40.5 | 10.6 |
| Waukee at Waterloo West | Waukee -27.0 vs Waukee -37.5 | 10.4 |
| Des Moines East at Southeast Polk | Southeast Polk -54.0 vs Southeast Polk -64.0 | 10.2 |
| Iowa City West at Marion Linn-Mar | Iowa City West -1.5 vs Marion Linn-Mar -6.5 | 8.2 |
| CR Kennedy at Dallas Center-Grimes | Dallas Center-Grimes -6.0 vs Dallas Center-Grimes -14.0 | 8.0 |
Streaks on the line
Three or more straight, playoffs and past seasons included
| Johnston has won 6 straight, plays Des Moines Roosevelt | W6 |
| Pleasant Valley has won 6 straight, plays Davenport Central | W6 |
| Indianola has won 6 straight, plays Urbandale | W6 |
| Urbandale has won 5 straight, plays Indianola | W5 |
| WDM Dowling has won 4 straight, plays Marshalltown | W4 |
| Sioux City North has lost 14 straight since 2025, plays Ankeny Centennial | L14 |
| Des Moines East has lost 7 straight, plays Southeast Polk | L7 |
| Ankeny Centennial has lost 5 straight, plays Sioux City North | L5 |
| Davenport Central has lost 5 straight, plays Pleasant Valley | L5 |
| Ottumwa has lost 5 straight, plays Iowa City High | L5 |
Still unbeaten
Generated from the model, the playoff simulation and the archive; no human wrote these sentences. For entertainment only.