2026 · through week 2 · 1,500 simulated seasons
Playoff Picture
Top 16 by RPI after week 9. No automatic bids.
If the season ended today
1RPI #1
Davenport Central
2-0 · RPI 0.7416%
2RPI #2
Dallas Center-Grimes
2-0 · RPI 0.71998%
3RPI #3
Southeast Polk
2-0 · RPI 0.719>99%
4RPI #4
Des Moines Roosevelt
2-0 · RPI 0.6886%
5RPI #5
WDM Dowling
2-0 · RPI 0.688>99%
6RPI #6
Iowa City West
2-0 · RPI 0.65699%
7RPI #7
CR Prairie
2-0 · RPI 0.62598%
8RPI #8
Sioux City East
2-0 · RPI 0.625>99%
9RPI #9
Dubuque Senior
1-1 · RPI 0.5946%
10RPI #10
Ankeny
2-0 · RPI 0.563>99%
11RPI #11
Iowa City Liberty
1-1 · RPI 0.56399%
12RPI #12
Urbandale
1-1 · RPI 0.56332%
13RPI #13
Ankeny Centennial
1-1 · RPI 0.53176%
14RPI #14
Iowa City High
1-1 · RPI 0.53166%
15RPI #15
Johnston
1-1 · RPI 0.531>99%
16RPI #16
WDM Valley
1-1 · RPI 0.531>99%
Chances
| Team | Rec | District | RPI | Today | Playoffs | Dist. title | Avg seed | Left | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southeast Polk | 2-0 | D1 · 0-0 · 1 | 0.719 #3 | In | >99% | 65% | 4.1 | 7 | |
| WDM Dowling | 2-0 | D2 · 0-0 · 2 | 0.688 #5 | In | >99% | 89% | 1.8 | 7 | |
| Ankeny | 2-0 | D3 · 0-0 · 3 | 0.563 #10 | In | >99% | 32% | 5.5 | 7 | |
| Johnston | 1-1 | D3 · 0-0 · 4 | 0.531 #15 | In | >99% | 46% | 5.8 | 7 | |
| Sioux City East | 2-0 | D3 · 0-0 · 2 | 0.625 #8 | In | >99% | 22% | 6.2 | 7 | |
| WDM Valley | 1-1 | D4 · 0-0 · 3 | 0.531 #16 | In | >99% | 81% | 6.1 | 7 | |
| Iowa City West | 2-0 | D6 · 0-0 · 2 | 0.656 #6 | In | 99% | 40% | 7.3 | 7 | |
| Iowa City Liberty | 1-1 | D6 · 0-0 · 3 | 0.563 #11 | In | 99% | 54% | 7.2 | 7 | |
| CR Prairie | 2-0 | D5 · 0-0 · 1 | 0.625 #7 | In | 98% | 57% | 7.9 | 7 | |
| Dallas Center-Grimes | 2-0 | D2 · 0-0 · 1 | 0.719 #2 | In | 98% | 7% | 9.3 | 7 | |
| Cedar Falls | 1-1 | D5 · 0-0 · 4 | 0.438 #25 | Out | 90% | 39% | 10.3 | 7 | |
| Waukee Northwest | 0-2 | D1 · 0-0 · 6 | 0.344 #32 | Out | 89% | 32% | 10.4 | 7 | |
| Ankeny Centennial | 1-1 | D4 · 0-0 · 2 | 0.531 #13 | In | 76% | 13% | 12.1 | 7 | |
| Iowa City High | 1-1 | D1 · 0-0 · 2 | 0.531 #14 | In | 66% | 3% | 12.6 | 7 | |
| Norwalk | 1-1 | D1 · 0-0 · 4 | 0.500 #20 | Out | 59% | 1% | 13.4 | 7 | |
| CR Kennedy | 1-1 | D2 · 0-0 · 3 | 0.500 #17 | Out | 40% | 1% | 13.3 | 7 | |
| Urbandale | 1-1 | D4 · 0-0 · 1 | 0.563 #12 | In | 32% | 2% | 13.8 | 7 | |
| Waukee | 0-2 | D2 · 0-0 · 5 | 0.344 #33 | Out | 31% | 2% | 13.4 | 7 | |
| Bettendorf | 1-1 | D5 · 0-0 · 3 | 0.438 #24 | Out | 28% | 4% | 13.8 | 7 | |
| Indianola | 0-2 | D4 · 0-0 · 5 | 0.344 #30 | Out | 27% | 4% | 14.1 | 7 | |
| Marion Linn-Mar | 0-2 | D6 · 0-0 · 4 | 0.375 #29 | Out | 25% | 5% | 13.5 | 7 | |
| Pleasant Valley | 0-2 | D6 · 0-0 · 6 | 0.250 #36 | Out | 13% | 2% | 14.7 | 7 | |
| CB Lincoln | 1-1 | D3 · 0-0 · 6 | 0.438 #26 | Out | 7% | <1% | 15.2 | 7 | |
| Waterloo West | 1-1 | D2 · 0-0 · 4 | 0.500 #22 | Out | 7% | <1% | 14.5 | 7 | |
| Davenport Central | 2-0 | D6 · 0-0 · 1 | 0.741 #1 | In | 6% | <1% | 14.7 | 7 | |
| Dubuque Senior | 1-1 | D5 · 0-0 · 2 | 0.594 #9 | In | 6% | <1% | 14.6 | 7 | |
| Des Moines Roosevelt | 2-0 | D3 · 0-0 · 1 | 0.688 #4 | In | 6% | <1% | 15.2 | 7 | |
| Ottumwa | 1-1 | D1 · 0-0 · 5 | 0.500 #21 | Out | <1% | <1% | 15.0 | 7 | |
| CR Jefferson | 1-1 | D5 · 0-0 · 5 | 0.406 #27 | Out | <1% | <1% | 16.0 | 7 | |
| Dubuque Hempstead | 0-2 | D5 · 0-0 · 6 | 0.375 #28 | Out | <1% | <1% | 16.0 | 7 | |
| Des Moines East | 1-1 | D1 · 0-0 · 3 | 0.500 #18 | Out | <1% | <1% | — | 7 | |
| Des Moines Lincoln | 1-1 | D4 · 0-0 · 4 | 0.500 #19 | Out | <1% | <1% | — | 7 | |
| Ames | 1-1 | D3 · 0-0 · 5 | 0.438 #23 | Out | <1% | <1% | — | 7 | |
| Sioux City North | 0-2 | D4 · 0-0 · 6 | 0.344 #31 | Out | <1% | <1% | — | 7 | |
| Muscatine | 0-2 | D6 · 0-0 · 5 | 0.281 #34 | Out | <1% | <1% | — | 7 | |
| Marshalltown | 0-2 | D2 · 0-0 · 6 | 0.250 #35 | Out | <1% | <1% | — | 7 |
Districts
District 1
| 1 | Southeast Polk | 0-0 | 2-0 | #3 | >99% |
| 2 | Iowa City High | 0-0 | 1-1 | #14 | 66% |
| 3 | Des Moines East | 0-0 | 1-1 | #18 | <1% |
| 4 | Norwalk | 0-0 | 1-1 | #20 | 59% |
| 5 | Ottumwa | 0-0 | 1-1 | #21 | <1% |
| 6 | Waukee Northwest | 0-0 | 0-2 | #32 | 89% |
District 2
| 1 | Dallas Center-Grimes | 0-0 | 2-0 | #2 | 98% |
| 2 | WDM Dowling | 0-0 | 2-0 | #5 | >99% |
| 3 | CR Kennedy | 0-0 | 1-1 | #17 | 40% |
| 4 | Waterloo West | 0-0 | 1-1 | #22 | 7% |
| 5 | Waukee | 0-0 | 0-2 | #33 | 31% |
| 6 | Marshalltown | 0-0 | 0-2 | #35 | <1% |
District 3
| 1 | Des Moines Roosevelt | 0-0 | 2-0 | #4 | 6% |
| 2 | Sioux City East | 0-0 | 2-0 | #8 | >99% |
| 3 | Ankeny | 0-0 | 2-0 | #10 | >99% |
| 4 | Johnston | 0-0 | 1-1 | #15 | >99% |
| 5 | Ames | 0-0 | 1-1 | #23 | <1% |
| 6 | CB Lincoln | 0-0 | 1-1 | #26 | 7% |
District 4
| 1 | Urbandale | 0-0 | 1-1 | #12 | 32% |
| 2 | Ankeny Centennial | 0-0 | 1-1 | #13 | 76% |
| 3 | WDM Valley | 0-0 | 1-1 | #16 | >99% |
| 4 | Des Moines Lincoln | 0-0 | 1-1 | #19 | <1% |
| 5 | Indianola | 0-0 | 0-2 | #30 | 27% |
| 6 | Sioux City North | 0-0 | 0-2 | #31 | <1% |
District 5
| 1 | CR Prairie | 0-0 | 2-0 | #7 | 98% |
| 2 | Dubuque Senior | 0-0 | 1-1 | #9 | 6% |
| 3 | Bettendorf | 0-0 | 1-1 | #24 | 28% |
| 4 | Cedar Falls | 0-0 | 1-1 | #25 | 90% |
| 5 | CR Jefferson | 0-0 | 1-1 | #27 | <1% |
| 6 | Dubuque Hempstead | 0-0 | 0-2 | #28 | <1% |
District 6
| 1 | Davenport Central | 0-0 | 2-0 | #1 | 6% |
| 2 | Iowa City West | 0-0 | 2-0 | #6 | 99% |
| 3 | Iowa City Liberty | 0-0 | 1-1 | #11 | 99% |
| 4 | Marion Linn-Mar | 0-0 | 0-2 | #29 | 25% |
| 5 | Muscatine | 0-0 | 0-2 | #34 | <1% |
| 6 | Pleasant Valley | 0-0 | 0-2 | #36 | 13% |
District place · district record · overall · RPI rank · playoff chance. RPI = .375·WP + .375·OWP + .25·OOWP on regular-season results (forfeits count, cancellations don't). Two-way district ties break on head-to-head, others on RPI. Chances come from 1,500 simulations of the remaining schedule using the model's win probabilities.