Away		Home	Final	Total	Win prob	BCMoore	Match
5A Iowa City West #17 · 4-5	at	5A CR Jefferson #31 · 4-5	44–0cov · under Iowa City West -11.0	51.5	77%	CR Jefferson -5.5	35
5A Dubuque Senior #28 · 2-7	at	5A Davenport West #23 · 5-4	16–28cov · under Davenport West -8.5	48.5	72%	Davenport West -18.0	32
5A CB Lincoln #34 · 2-7	at	5A Sioux City East #18 · 5-5	27–48no cov · over Sioux City East -34.5	50.5	99%	Sioux City East -32.5	-2

Friday, Sep 29

Away		Home	Final	Total	Win prob	BCMoore	Match
5A Waukee Northwest #4 · 7-3	at	5A WDM Valley #7 · 6-6	31–28push · over Waukee Northwest -3.0	46.5	58%	Waukee Northwest -4.0	91
5A Bettendorf #12 · 8-3	at	5A CR Kennedy #6 · 6-4	14–34cov · under CR Kennedy -3.5	51.5	59%	CR Kennedy -2.5	87
5A WDM Dowling #2 · 9-2	at	5A Ankeny Centennial #3 · 7-5	30–17cov · under WDM Dowling -8.5	49.0	71%	WDM Dowling -4.5	87
5A Cedar Falls #11 · 7-4	at	5A Pleasant Valley #10 · 8-2	28–31no cov · over Pleasant Valley -4.5	53.0	62%	Pleasant Valley -2.0	83
5A Ankeny #5 · 9-4	at	5A CR Prairie #15 · 5-5	17–14no cov · under Ankeny -8.0	52.5	71%	Ankeny -5.5	77
5A Johnston #8 · 5-5	at	5A Southeast Polk #1 · 13-0	35–38no cov · over Southeast Polk -19.5	47.0	91%	Southeast Polk -20.5	66
5A Des Moines Roosevelt #22 · 4-5	at	5A Sioux City North #21 · 2-6	20–14no cov · under Sioux City North -8.0	51.5	70%	Sioux City North -12.5	47
5A Davenport North #26 · 2-7	at	5A Dubuque Hempstead #25 · 5-4	14–21cov · under Dubuque Hempstead -3.5	49.5	59%	Dubuque Hempstead -5.5	37
5A Marshalltown #30 · 2-7	at	5A Waterloo West #27 · 4-5	3–31cov · under Waterloo West -4.0	49.0	60%	Waterloo West -16.0	29
5A CR Washington #29 · 1-8	at	5A Iowa City Liberty #14 · 4-5	10–60cov · over Iowa City Liberty -24.0	53.0	95%	Iowa City Liberty -34.5	25
5A Muscatine #24 · 4-5	at	5A Marion Linn-Mar #16 · 4-6	9–35no cov · under Marion Linn-Mar -26.5	51.0	96%	Marion Linn-Mar -19.5	22
5A Ottumwa #33 · 4-5	at	5A Ames #20 · 3-6	23–62cov · over Ames -18.5	52.0	89%	Ames -23.5	20
5A Des Moines Lincoln #32 · 3-6	at	5A Waukee #9 · 8-3	0–58cov · over Waukee -41.5	51.5	100%	Waukee -59.0	-2
5A Iowa City High #13 · 6-3	at	5A Davenport Central #35 · 2-7	61–0cov · over Iowa City High -42.0	52.5	100%	Iowa City High -31.0	-11
5A Des Moines East #36 · 0-9	at	5A Urbandale #19 · 4-5	0–52cov · over Urbandale -40.5	50.5	100%	Urbandale -43.5	-23

Thursday, Sep 28

Iowa City West

#17 · 4-5

CR Jefferson

#31 · 4-5

44–0cov · u51.5

Dubuque Senior

#28 · 2-7

Davenport West

#23 · 5-4

16–28cov · u48.5

CB Lincoln

#34 · 2-7

Sioux City East

#18 · 5-5

27–48no cov · o50.5

Friday, Sep 29

Waukee Northwest

#4 · 7-3

WDM Valley

#7 · 6-6

31–28push · o46.5

Bettendorf

#12 · 8-3

CR Kennedy

#6 · 6-4

14–34cov · u51.5

WDM Dowling

#2 · 9-2

Ankeny Centennial

#3 · 7-5

30–17cov · u49.0

Cedar Falls

#11 · 7-4

Pleasant Valley

#10 · 8-2

28–31no cov · o53.0

Ankeny

#5 · 9-4

CR Prairie

#15 · 5-5

17–14no cov · u52.5

Johnston

#8 · 5-5

Southeast Polk

#1 · 13-0

35–38no cov · o47.0

Des Moines Roosevelt

#22 · 4-5

Sioux City North

#21 · 2-6

20–14no cov · u51.5

Davenport North

#26 · 2-7

Dubuque Hempstead

#25 · 5-4

14–21cov · u49.5

Marshalltown

#30 · 2-7

Waterloo West

#27 · 4-5

3–31cov · u49.0

CR Washington

#29 · 1-8

Iowa City Liberty

#14 · 4-5

10–60cov · o53.0

Muscatine

#24 · 4-5

Marion Linn-Mar

#16 · 4-6

9–35no cov · u51.0

Ottumwa

#33 · 4-5

Ames

#20 · 3-6

23–62cov · o52.0

Des Moines Lincoln

#32 · 3-6

Waukee

#9 · 8-3

0–58cov · o51.5

Iowa City High

#13 · 6-3

Davenport Central

#35 · 2-7

61–0cov · o52.5

Des Moines East

#36 · 0-9

Urbandale

#19 · 4-5

0–52cov · o50.5

Lines are the model's projected margin, attached to the favorite. Match is a matchup score: higher for close games between good teams. BCMoore is Brent Moore’s published line for the same game, in the same notation. A second opinion, never an input.