Away		Home	Final	Total	Win prob	BCMoore	Match
5A Iowa City High #13 · 6-3	at	5A Davenport North #26 · 2-7	47–13cov · over Iowa City High -28.5	52.5	97%	Iowa City High -26.0	23
5A Sioux City East #18 · 5-5	at	5A Des Moines Lincoln #32 · 3-6	45–18cov · over Sioux City East -26.5	52.5	96%	Sioux City East -23.5	11
5A Dubuque Hempstead #25 · 5-4	at	5A CR Kennedy #6 · 6-4	0–44cov · under CR Kennedy -39.0	51.0	100%	CR Kennedy -51.5	10

Friday, Oct 6

Away		Home	Final	Total	Win prob	BCMoore	Match
5A Southeast Polk #1 · 13-0	at	5A Waukee #9 · 8-3	38–0cov · under Southeast Polk -10.0	51.0	75%	Southeast Polk -3.5	81
5A Iowa City Liberty #14 · 4-5	at	5A Ankeny #5 · 9-4	21–40cov · over Ankeny -7.5	55.5	70%	Ankeny -15.0	80
5A Urbandale #19 · 4-5	at	5A WDM Dowling #2 · 9-2	0–29no cov · under WDM Dowling -36.5	46.5	99%	WDM Dowling -54.0	29
5A Marion Linn-Mar #16 · 4-6	at	5A Davenport West #23 · 5-4	14–12no cov · under Marion Linn-Mar -24.0	45.5	95%	Marion Linn-Mar -24.5	29
5A CR Washington #29 · 1-8	at	5A Iowa City West #17 · 4-5	8–58cov · over Iowa City West -19.5	50.0	90%	Iowa City West -37.5	25
5A Ankeny Centennial #3 · 7-5	at	5A Des Moines Roosevelt #22 · 4-5	43–7cov · under Ankeny Centennial -34.0	52.5	99%	Ankeny Centennial -51.0	25
5A Pleasant Valley #10 · 8-2	at	5A Muscatine #24 · 4-5	48–21no cov · over Pleasant Valley -30.5	55.5	98%	Pleasant Valley -34.5	22
5A WDM Valley #7 · 6-6	at	5A Waterloo West #27 · 4-5	49–0cov · over WDM Valley -33.0	48.0	99%	WDM Valley -34.5	17
5A Ames #20 · 3-6	at	5A Marshalltown #30 · 2-7	48–14cov · over Ames -21.5	52.0	93%	Ames -31.5	16
5A CR Prairie #15 · 5-5	at	5A CR Jefferson #31 · 4-5	48–7cov · over CR Prairie -29.0	49.0	97%	CR Prairie -29.0	13
5A Cedar Falls #11 · 7-4	at	5A Dubuque Senior #28 · 2-7	42–7cov · under Cedar Falls -34.5	50.5	99%	Cedar Falls -49.0	12
5A Johnston #8 · 5-5	at	5A CB Lincoln #34 · 2-7	42–10no cov · under Johnston -43.0	53.0	100%	Johnston -57.0	-5
5A Ottumwa #33 · 4-5	at	5A Waukee Northwest #4 · 7-3	14–76cov · over Waukee Northwest -47.0	57.0	100%	Waukee Northwest -65.0	-8
5A Sioux City North #21 · 2-6	at	5A Des Moines East #36 · 0-9	49–3cov · over Sioux City North -35.0	48.5	99%	Sioux City North -34.5	-18
5A Davenport Central #35 · 2-7	at	5A Bettendorf #12 · 8-3	0–63cov · under Bettendorf -55.5	65.5	100%	Bettendorf -62.0	-31

Thursday, Oct 5

Iowa City High

#13 · 6-3

Davenport North

#26 · 2-7

47–13cov · o52.5

Sioux City East

#18 · 5-5

Des Moines Lincoln

#32 · 3-6

45–18cov · o52.5

Dubuque Hempstead

#25 · 5-4

CR Kennedy

#6 · 6-4

0–44cov · u51.0

Friday, Oct 6

Southeast Polk

#1 · 13-0

Waukee

#9 · 8-3

38–0cov · u51.0

Iowa City Liberty

#14 · 4-5

Ankeny

#5 · 9-4

21–40cov · o55.5

Urbandale

#19 · 4-5

WDM Dowling

#2 · 9-2

0–29no cov · u46.5

Marion Linn-Mar

#16 · 4-6

Davenport West

#23 · 5-4

14–12no cov · u45.5

CR Washington

#29 · 1-8

Iowa City West

#17 · 4-5

8–58cov · o50.0

Ankeny Centennial

#3 · 7-5

Des Moines Roosevelt

#22 · 4-5

43–7cov · u52.5

Pleasant Valley

#10 · 8-2

Muscatine

#24 · 4-5

48–21no cov · o55.5

WDM Valley

#7 · 6-6

Waterloo West

#27 · 4-5

49–0cov · o48.0

Ames

#20 · 3-6

Marshalltown

#30 · 2-7

48–14cov · o52.0

CR Prairie

#15 · 5-5

CR Jefferson

#31 · 4-5

48–7cov · o49.0

Cedar Falls

#11 · 7-4

Dubuque Senior

#28 · 2-7

42–7cov · u50.5

Johnston

#8 · 5-5

CB Lincoln

#34 · 2-7

42–10no cov · u53.0

Ottumwa

#33 · 4-5

Waukee Northwest

#4 · 7-3

14–76cov · o57.0

Sioux City North

#21 · 2-6

Des Moines East

#36 · 0-9

49–3cov · o48.5

Davenport Central

#35 · 2-7

Bettendorf

#12 · 8-3

0–63cov · u65.5

Lines are the model's projected margin, attached to the favorite. Match is a matchup score: higher for close games between good teams. BCMoore is Brent Moore’s published line for the same game, in the same notation. A second opinion, never an input.