Away		Home	Final	Total	Win prob	BCMoore	Match
5A Waukee #9 · 8-3	at	5A Johnston #8 · 5-5	14–10cov · under Waukee -3.5	44.0	59%	Waukee -8.5	87
5A Iowa City Liberty #14 · 4-5	at	5A CR Prairie #15 · 5-5	30–38push · over PK	54.5	52%	CR Prairie -14.0	84
5A Marion Linn-Mar #16 · 4-6	at	5A Cedar Falls #11 · 7-4	21–33push · over PK	47.5	51%	Cedar Falls -12.0	83
5A CR Kennedy #6 · 6-4	at	5A Iowa City High #13 · 6-3	61–34cov · over CR Kennedy -7.0	51.0	68%	CR Kennedy -25.5	82
5A Ankeny #5 · 9-4	at	5A Iowa City West #17 · 4-5	48–21cov · over Ankeny -17.5	50.5	88%	Ankeny -21.5	58
5A Sioux City North #21 · 2-6	at	5A Urbandale #19 · 4-5	12–14no cov · under Urbandale -6.0	47.5	65%	Urbandale -7.5	57
5A Ames #20 · 3-6	at	5A WDM Valley #7 · 6-6	13–52cov · over WDM Valley -16.0	48.0	86%	WDM Valley -27.5	56
5A Southeast Polk #1 · 13-0	at	5A Sioux City East #18 · 5-5	48–14cov · over Southeast Polk -24.0	51.0	95%	Southeast Polk -35.0	50
5A Davenport West #23 · 5-4	at	5A Muscatine #24 · 4-5	14–35no cov · over Davenport West -4.5	48.5	62%	Davenport West -6.0	42
5A CR Jefferson #31 · 4-5	N	5A CR Washington #29 · 1-8	13–21push · under PK	50.5	51%	CR Jefferson -15.5	32
5A Waterloo West #27 · 4-5	at	5A Waukee Northwest #4 · 7-3	0–64cov · over Waukee Northwest -32.5	48.5	99%	Waukee Northwest -41.0	19
5A Dubuque Hempstead #25 · 5-4	at	5A Bettendorf #12 · 8-3	7–49cov · over Bettendorf -33.0	48.0	99%	Bettendorf -47.0	16
5A CB Lincoln #34 · 2-7	at	5A Des Moines Lincoln #32 · 3-6	14–21no cov · under Des Moines Lincoln -8.0	51.5	71%	PK	16
5A Marshalltown #30 · 2-7	at	5A Ottumwa #33 · 4-5	44–7no cov · over Ottumwa -11.0	47.5	77%	Ottumwa -28.5	13
5A Pleasant Valley #10 · 8-2	at	5A Dubuque Senior #28 · 2-7	56–19cov · over Pleasant Valley -36.5	53.5	99%	Pleasant Valley -47.5	9
5A Davenport Central #35 · 2-7	N	5A Davenport North #26 · 2-7	14–49cov · over Davenport North -13.0	45.0	81%	Davenport North -5.5	8
5A Des Moines East #36 · 0-9	at	5A Ankeny Centennial #3 · 7-5	0–72cov · under Ankeny Centennial -64.0	74.0	100%	Ankeny Centennial -95.0	-44

Thursday, Sep 21

WDM Dowling

#2 · 9-2

Des Moines Roosevelt

#22 · 4-5

50–0cov · u52.0

Friday, Sep 22

Waukee

#9 · 8-3

Johnston

#8 · 5-5

14–10cov · u44.0

Iowa City Liberty

#14 · 4-5

CR Prairie

#15 · 5-5

30–38push · o54.5

Marion Linn-Mar

#16 · 4-6

Cedar Falls

#11 · 7-4

21–33push · o47.5

CR Kennedy

#6 · 6-4

Iowa City High

#13 · 6-3

61–34cov · o51.0

Ankeny

#5 · 9-4

Iowa City West

#17 · 4-5

48–21cov · o50.5

Sioux City North

#21 · 2-6

Urbandale

#19 · 4-5

12–14no cov · u47.5

Ames

#20 · 3-6

WDM Valley

#7 · 6-6

13–52cov · o48.0

Southeast Polk

#1 · 13-0

Sioux City East

#18 · 5-5

48–14cov · o51.0

Davenport West

#23 · 5-4

Muscatine

#24 · 4-5

14–35no cov · o48.5

CR Jefferson

#31 · 4-5

CR Washington

#29 · 1-8

13–21push · u50.5

Waterloo West

#27 · 4-5

Waukee Northwest

#4 · 7-3

0–64cov · o48.5

Dubuque Hempstead

#25 · 5-4

Bettendorf

#12 · 8-3

7–49cov · o48.0

CB Lincoln

#34 · 2-7

Des Moines Lincoln

#32 · 3-6

14–21no cov · u51.5

Marshalltown

#30 · 2-7

Ottumwa

#33 · 4-5

44–7no cov · o47.5

Pleasant Valley

#10 · 8-2

Dubuque Senior

#28 · 2-7

56–19cov · o53.5

Davenport Central

#35 · 2-7

Davenport North

#26 · 2-7

14–49cov · o45.0

Des Moines East

#36 · 0-9

Ankeny Centennial

#3 · 7-5

0–72cov · u74.0

Lines are the model's projected margin, attached to the favorite. Match is a matchup score: higher for close games between good teams. BCMoore is Brent Moore’s published line for the same game, in the same notation. A second opinion, never an input.