Away		Home	Final	Total	Win prob	BCMoore	Match
5A CB Lincoln #32 · 3-6	at	5A Sioux City North #21 · 4-4	0–49cov · over Sioux City North -18.5	45.5	89%	Sioux City North -24.5	19
5A Dubuque Hempstead #26 · 1-8	at	5A CR Kennedy #8 · 7-3	0–41cov · under CR Kennedy -32.5	46.5	99%	CR Kennedy -44.5	18

Friday, Oct 21

Away		Home	Final	Total	Win prob	BCMoore	Match
5A Marion Linn-Mar #12 · 6-4	at	5A CR Prairie #14 · 7-4	28–13push · under PK	51.0	51%	Marion Linn-Mar -8.5	87
5A Urbandale #15 · 5-4	at	5A Waukee Northwest #10 · 6-5	7–20cov · under Waukee Northwest -7.0	43.5	68%	Waukee Northwest -12.5	77
5A Johnston #11 · 8-4	at	5A Ames #18 · 6-4	31–9cov · under Johnston -6.5	51.0	67%	Johnston -9.5	73
5A Cedar Falls #13 · 8-3	at	5A Dubuque Senior #19 · 4-5	24–14no cov · under Cedar Falls -14.0	45.0	83%	Cedar Falls -19.0	56
5A Muscatine #25 · 3-6	at	5A Davenport West #24 · 7-3	13–35cov · under Davenport West -2.0	50.5	55%	Davenport West -3.5	46
5A Waukee #16 · 4-5	at	5A WDM Dowling #2 · 10-2	7–43cov · over WDM Dowling -30.5	46.0	98%	WDM Dowling -34.0	43
5A WDM Valley #6 · 8-5	at	5A Des Moines Roosevelt #23 · 3-6	54–29cov · over WDM Valley -23.5	50.5	94%	WDM Valley -28.0	41
5A Iowa City West #20 · 4-5	at	5A Pleasant Valley #4 · 9-1	14–35no cov · under Pleasant Valley -32.5	53.5	99%	Pleasant Valley -46.5	32
5A Ottumwa #29 · 4-5	at	5A Waterloo West #28 · 3-6	34–42cov · over Waterloo West -3.0	49.5	58%	Ottumwa -10.0	31
5A Davenport North #27 · 1-8	at	5A Bettendorf #17 · 3-6	15–48cov · over Bettendorf -22.5	44.5	94%	Bettendorf -31.0	26
5A Des Moines North #30 · 4-6	at	5A Marshalltown #22 · 5-4	14–30no cov · under Marshalltown -19.5	51.0	91%	Marshalltown -15.0	16
5A Ankeny #3 · 9-2	at	5A Des Moines Lincoln #31 · 1-8	54–6no cov · under Ankeny -56.5	66.5	100%	Ankeny -69.5	-21
5A Des Moines East #33 · 1-8	at	5A Ankeny Centennial #7 · 5-5	0–56cov · under Ankeny Centennial -53.0	63.0	100%	Ankeny Centennial -61.5	-25
5A Sioux City East #9 · 8-3	at	5A Sioux City West #34 · 2-7	62–14no cov · over Sioux City East -60.5	70.5	100%	Sioux City East -69.0	-40
5A Davenport Central #35 · 1-8	at	5A Iowa City High #5 · 6-4	0–79cov · over Iowa City High -67.0	77.0	100%	Iowa City High -73.5	-46
5A Southeast Polk #1 · 12-1	at	5A CR Jefferson #36 · 0-9	63–7no cov · under Southeast Polk -82.0	92.0	100%	Southeast Polk -105.5	-69

Thursday, Oct 20

CB Lincoln

#32 · 3-6

Sioux City North

#21 · 4-4

0–49cov · o45.5

Dubuque Hempstead

#26 · 1-8

CR Kennedy

#8 · 7-3

0–41cov · u46.5

Friday, Oct 21

Marion Linn-Mar

#12 · 6-4

CR Prairie

#14 · 7-4

28–13push · u51.0

Urbandale

#15 · 5-4

Waukee Northwest

#10 · 6-5

7–20cov · u43.5

Johnston

#11 · 8-4

Ames

#18 · 6-4

31–9cov · u51.0

Cedar Falls

#13 · 8-3

Dubuque Senior

#19 · 4-5

24–14no cov · u45.0

Muscatine

#25 · 3-6

Davenport West

#24 · 7-3

13–35cov · u50.5

Waukee

#16 · 4-5

WDM Dowling

#2 · 10-2

7–43cov · o46.0

WDM Valley

#6 · 8-5

Des Moines Roosevelt

#23 · 3-6

54–29cov · o50.5

Iowa City West

#20 · 4-5

Pleasant Valley

#4 · 9-1

14–35no cov · u53.5

Ottumwa

#29 · 4-5

Waterloo West

#28 · 3-6

34–42cov · o49.5

Davenport North

#27 · 1-8

Bettendorf

#17 · 3-6

15–48cov · o44.5

Des Moines North

#30 · 4-6

Marshalltown

#22 · 5-4

14–30no cov · u51.0

Ankeny

#3 · 9-2

Des Moines Lincoln

#31 · 1-8

54–6no cov · u66.5

Des Moines East

#33 · 1-8

Ankeny Centennial

#7 · 5-5

0–56cov · u63.0

Sioux City East

#9 · 8-3

Sioux City West

#34 · 2-7

62–14no cov · o70.5

Davenport Central

#35 · 1-8

Iowa City High

#5 · 6-4

0–79cov · o77.0

Southeast Polk

#1 · 12-1

CR Jefferson

#36 · 0-9

63–7no cov · u92.0

Lines are the model's projected margin, attached to the favorite. Match is a matchup score: higher for close games between good teams. BCMoore is Brent Moore’s published line for the same game, in the same notation. A second opinion, never an input.