Away		Home	Final	Total	Win prob	BCMoore	Match
5A Des Moines Roosevelt #23 · 3-6	at	5A Sioux City East #8 · 8-3	28–60cov · over Sioux City East -21.5	55.0	96%	Sioux City East -33.5	42
5A Muscatine #25 · 3-6	at	5A Davenport North #27 · 1-8	41–13no cov · push Davenport North -2.5	54.0	57%	Muscatine -3.5	40
5A Marshalltown #22 · 5-4	at	5A CR Jefferson #36 · 0-9	48–0cov · under Marshalltown -39.5	53.5	>99%	Marshalltown -56.5	-24

Friday, Oct 14

Away		Home	Final	Total	Win prob	BCMoore	Match
5A WDM Valley #6 · 8-5	at	5A WDM Dowling #2 · 10-2	3–35cov · under WDM Dowling -14.0	50.0	87%	WDM Dowling -22.0	76
5A CR Kennedy #9 · 7-3	at	5A Johnston #11 · 8-4	7–28no cov · under CR Kennedy -10.0	44.5	79%	CR Kennedy -6.5	75
5A Waukee Northwest #10 · 6-5	at	5A Ankeny #3 · 9-2	7–31cov · under Ankeny -15.5	46.0	90%	Ankeny -15.0	71
5A Urbandale #15 · 5-4	at	5A Waukee #16 · 4-5	7–30no cov · under Urbandale -9.0	45.5	77%	Urbandale -6.0	68
5A Ankeny Centennial #7 · 5-5	at	5A Southeast Polk #1 · 12-1	16–42cov · over Southeast Polk -18.5	49.5	93%	Southeast Polk -20.5	68
5A Bettendorf #17 · 3-6	at	5A Cedar Falls #13 · 8-3	7–10no cov · under Cedar Falls -11.0	46.0	82%	Cedar Falls -13.5	65
5A CR Prairie #14 · 7-4	at	5A Iowa City West #20 · 4-5	49–28cov · over CR Prairie -14.0	52.5	87%	CR Prairie -13.5	55
5A Dubuque Senior #19 · 4-5	at	5A Pleasant Valley #4 · 9-1	7–49cov · over Pleasant Valley -28.5	51.5	99%	Pleasant Valley -48.0	39
5A Waterloo West #28 · 3-6	at	5A Dubuque Hempstead #26 · 1-8	13–27cov · under Dubuque Hempstead -4.5	52.0	64%	Dubuque Hempstead -4.0	34
5A Des Moines North #30 · 4-6	at	5A Ottumwa #29 · 4-5	20–32push · under PK	52.5	50%	Des Moines North -1.0	33
5A Iowa City High #5 · 6-4	at	5A Davenport West #24 · 7-3	55–6cov · over Iowa City High -31.5	49.0	99%	Iowa City High -29.5	28
5A Ames #18 · 6-4	at	5A Des Moines Lincoln #31 · 1-8	60–13cov · over Ames -23.5	58.0	97%	Ames -37.5	18
5A CB Lincoln #32 · 3-6	at	5A Des Moines East #33 · 1-8	10–6no cov · under CB Lincoln -10.5	55.0	81%	CB Lincoln -12.5	8
5A Sioux City North #21 · 4-4	at	5A Sioux City West #34 · 2-7	70–0cov · over Sioux City North -27.0	54.5	99%	Sioux City North -37.5	-3
5A Davenport Central #35 · 1-8	at	5A Marion Linn-Mar #12 · 6-4	0–72cov · over Marion Linn-Mar -54.5	64.5	>99%	Marion Linn-Mar -73.0	-32

Thursday, Oct 13

Des Moines Roosevelt

#23 · 3-6

Sioux City East

#8 · 8-3

28–60cov · o55.0

Muscatine

#25 · 3-6

Davenport North

#27 · 1-8

41–13no cov · push54.0

Marshalltown

#22 · 5-4

CR Jefferson

#36 · 0-9

48–0cov · u53.5

Friday, Oct 14

WDM Valley

#6 · 8-5

WDM Dowling

#2 · 10-2

3–35cov · u50.0

CR Kennedy

#9 · 7-3

Johnston

#11 · 8-4

7–28no cov · u44.5

Waukee Northwest

#10 · 6-5

Ankeny

#3 · 9-2

7–31cov · u46.0

Urbandale

#15 · 5-4

Waukee

#16 · 4-5

7–30no cov · u45.5

Ankeny Centennial

#7 · 5-5

Southeast Polk

#1 · 12-1

16–42cov · o49.5

Bettendorf

#17 · 3-6

Cedar Falls

#13 · 8-3

7–10no cov · u46.0

CR Prairie

#14 · 7-4

Iowa City West

#20 · 4-5

49–28cov · o52.5

Dubuque Senior

#19 · 4-5

Pleasant Valley

#4 · 9-1

7–49cov · o51.5

Waterloo West

#28 · 3-6

Dubuque Hempstead

#26 · 1-8

13–27cov · u52.0

Des Moines North

#30 · 4-6

Ottumwa

#29 · 4-5

20–32push · u52.5

Iowa City High

#5 · 6-4

Davenport West

#24 · 7-3

55–6cov · o49.0

Ames

#18 · 6-4

Des Moines Lincoln

#31 · 1-8

60–13cov · o58.0

CB Lincoln

#32 · 3-6

Des Moines East

#33 · 1-8

10–6no cov · u55.0

Sioux City North

#21 · 4-4

Sioux City West

#34 · 2-7

70–0cov · o54.5

Davenport Central

#35 · 1-8

Marion Linn-Mar

#12 · 6-4

0–72cov · o64.5

Lines are the model's projected margin, attached to the favorite. Match is a matchup score: higher for close games between good teams. BCMoore is Brent Moore’s published line for the same game, in the same notation. A second opinion, never an input.