Archive · 2022 season · final
Playoffs Round 1
Upsets
Iowa City High 31, Johnston 38
Iowa City High -11.0 · 82%
WDM Valley 15, Pleasant Valley 10
Pleasant Valley -10.0 · 80%
Ankeny Centennial 10, Cedar Falls 14
Ankeny Centennial -3.0 · 60%
Marion Linn-Mar 28, CR Prairie 50
Marion Linn-Mar -2.0 · 57%
Waukee Northwest 9, CR Kennedy 0
CR Kennedy -2.0 · 56%
Our biggest misses
Marion Linn-Mar 28, CR Prairie 50
Marion Linn-Mar -2.0 · 24 off
Iowa City High 31, Johnston 38
Iowa City High -11.0 · 18 off
WDM Valley 15, Pleasant Valley 10
Pleasant Valley -10.0 · 15 off
Ames 3, Southeast Polk 49
Southeast Polk -32.0 · 14 off
Davenport West 0, WDM Dowling 35
WDM Dowling -46.0 · 11 off
BCMoore's biggest misses
Marion Linn-Mar 28, CR Prairie 50
Marion Linn-Mar -9.0 · 31 off
WDM Valley 15, Pleasant Valley 10
Pleasant Valley -19.5 · 25 off
Davenport West 0, WDM Dowling 35
WDM Dowling -52.0 · 17 off
Ankeny Centennial 10, Cedar Falls 14
Ankeny Centennial -8.0 · 12 off
Ames 3, Southeast Polk 49
Southeast Polk -36.0 · 10 off
Friday, Oct 28
| Away | Home | Final | Total | Win prob | BCMoore | Match | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5A Waukee Northwest #10 · 6-5 | at | 5A CR Kennedy #9 · 7-3 | 9–0no cov · under CR Kennedy -2.0 | 43.5 | 56% | PK | 87 |
5A Ankeny Centennial #7 · 5-5 | at | 5A Cedar Falls #13 · 8-3 | 10–14no cov · under Ankeny Centennial -3.0 | 44.5 | 60% | Ankeny Centennial -8.0 | 85 |
5A Marion Linn-Mar #12 · 6-4 | at | 5A CR Prairie #14 · 7-4 | 28–50no cov · over Marion Linn-Mar -2.0 | 51.0 | 57% | Marion Linn-Mar -9.0 | 84 |
5A WDM Valley #6 · 8-5 | at | 5A Pleasant Valley #4 · 9-1 | 15–10no cov · under Pleasant Valley -10.0 | 51.5 | 80% | Pleasant Valley -19.5 | 80 |
5A Iowa City High #5 · 6-4 | at | 5A Johnston #11 · 8-4 | 31–38no cov · over Iowa City High -11.0 | 49.5 | 82% | Johnston -1.5 | 76 |
5A Sioux City East #8 · 8-3 | at | 5A Ankeny #3 · 9-2 | 0–17cov · under Ankeny -15.0 | 54.0 | 89% | Ankeny -13.0 | 72 |
5A Ames #18 · 6-4 | at | 5A Southeast Polk #1 · 12-1 | 3–49cov · under Southeast Polk -32.0 | 58.0 | >99% | Southeast Polk -36.0 | 40 |
5A Davenport West #24 · 7-3 | N | 5A WDM Dowling #2 · 10-2 | 0–35no cov · under WDM Dowling -46.0 | 56.0 | >99% | WDM Dowling -52.0 | 7 |
Friday, Oct 28
5A
Waukee Northwest
#10 · 6-5
5A
CR Kennedy
#9 · 7-3
9–0no cov · u43.5
5A
Ankeny Centennial
#7 · 5-5
5A
Cedar Falls
#13 · 8-3
10–14no cov · u44.5
5A
Marion Linn-Mar
#12 · 6-4
5A
CR Prairie
#14 · 7-4
28–50no cov · o51.0
5A
WDM Valley
#6 · 8-5
5A
Pleasant Valley
#4 · 9-1
15–10no cov · u51.5
5A
Iowa City High
#5 · 6-4
5A
Johnston
#11 · 8-4
31–38no cov · o49.5
5A
Sioux City East
#8 · 8-3
5A
Ankeny
#3 · 9-2
0–17cov · u54.0
5A
Ames
#18 · 6-4
5A
Southeast Polk
#1 · 12-1
3–49cov · u58.0
5A
Davenport West
#24 · 7-3
5A
WDM Dowling
#2 · 10-2
0–35no cov · u56.0
Lines are the model's projected margin, attached to the favorite. Match is a matchup score: higher for close games between good teams. BCMoore is Brent Moore’s published line for the same game, in the same notation. A second opinion, never an input.