Away		Home	Final	Total	Win prob	BCMoore	Match
5A Waukee #9 · 8-3	at	5A Des Moines Roosevelt #22 · 4-5	42–14no cov · over Waukee -30.0	50.0	99%	Waukee -42.5	28
5A CB Lincoln #34 · 2-7	at	5A Sioux City North #21 · 2-6	8–45cov · over Sioux City North -20.0	50.0	95%	Sioux City North -18.0	15

Friday, Oct 13

Away		Home	Final	Total	Win prob	BCMoore	Match
5A WDM Dowling #2 · 9-2	at	5A Southeast Polk #1 · 13-0	34–37push · over Southeast Polk -3.0	51.5	59%	Southeast Polk -2.5	96
5A Ankeny #5 · 9-4	at	5A WDM Valley #7 · 6-6	23–24no cov · under Ankeny -1.0	50.5	53%	PK	94
5A Waukee Northwest #4 · 7-3	at	5A Ankeny Centennial #3 · 7-5	17–7no cov · under Ankeny Centennial -3.5	53.0	61%	Ankeny Centennial -9.5	93
5A CR Kennedy #6 · 6-4	at	5A Cedar Falls #11 · 7-4	14–17no cov · under CR Kennedy -8.0	51.5	75%	CR Kennedy -13.0	80
5A Bettendorf #12 · 8-3	at	5A CR Prairie #15 · 5-5	35–8cov · under Bettendorf -5.0	51.5	65%	Bettendorf -5.5	79
5A Marion Linn-Mar #16 · 4-6	at	5A Iowa City High #13 · 6-3	0–30cov · under Iowa City High -4.5	53.5	64%	Iowa City High -5.5	77
5A Sioux City East #18 · 5-5	at	5A Ames #20 · 3-6	35–28cov · over Sioux City East -5.5	59.0	67%	Sioux City East -2.5	61
5A Iowa City West #17 · 4-5	at	5A Pleasant Valley #10 · 8-2	25–38no cov · over Pleasant Valley -14.0	58.0	87%	Pleasant Valley -17.0	61
5A Urbandale #19 · 4-5	at	5A Johnston #8 · 5-5	2–21cov · under Johnston -18.5	45.0	94%	Johnston -35.0	52
5A Davenport West #23 · 5-4	at	5A Dubuque Hempstead #25 · 5-4	14–8cov · under Davenport West -2.5	45.5	58%	Dubuque Hempstead -1.0	44
5A Davenport North #26 · 2-7	at	5A Muscatine #24 · 4-5	26–28no cov · over Muscatine -6.0	53.0	68%	Muscatine -9.5	35
5A Dubuque Senior #28 · 2-7	at	5A CR Washington #29 · 1-8	10–0no cov · under CR Washington -2.0	53.0	56%	PK	34
5A Marshalltown #30 · 2-7	at	5A Des Moines Lincoln #32 · 3-6	27–14no cov · under Des Moines Lincoln -4.5	51.0	65%	Des Moines Lincoln -12.5	23
5A Waterloo West #27 · 4-5	at	5A Iowa City Liberty #14 · 4-5	0–44cov · under Iowa City Liberty -30.5	56.5	99%	Iowa City Liberty -23.5	17
5A CR Jefferson #31 · 4-5	at	5A Davenport Central #35 · 2-7	3–6no cov · under CR Jefferson -16.5	51.0	91%	CR Jefferson -17.0	-2
5A Des Moines East #36 · 0-9	at	5A Ottumwa #33 · 4-5	32–52cov · over Ottumwa -18.5	55.5	93%	Ottumwa -16.5	-10

Thursday, Oct 12

Waukee

#9 · 8-3

Des Moines Roosevelt

#22 · 4-5

42–14no cov · o50.0

CB Lincoln

#34 · 2-7

Sioux City North

#21 · 2-6

8–45cov · o50.0

Friday, Oct 13

WDM Dowling

#2 · 9-2

Southeast Polk

#1 · 13-0

34–37push · o51.5

Ankeny

#5 · 9-4

WDM Valley

#7 · 6-6

23–24no cov · u50.5

Waukee Northwest

#4 · 7-3

Ankeny Centennial

#3 · 7-5

17–7no cov · u53.0

CR Kennedy

#6 · 6-4

Cedar Falls

#11 · 7-4

14–17no cov · u51.5

Bettendorf

#12 · 8-3

CR Prairie

#15 · 5-5

35–8cov · u51.5

Marion Linn-Mar

#16 · 4-6

Iowa City High

#13 · 6-3

0–30cov · u53.5

Sioux City East

#18 · 5-5

Ames

#20 · 3-6

35–28cov · o59.0

Iowa City West

#17 · 4-5

Pleasant Valley

#10 · 8-2

25–38no cov · o58.0

Urbandale

#19 · 4-5

Johnston

#8 · 5-5

2–21cov · u45.0

Davenport West

#23 · 5-4

Dubuque Hempstead

#25 · 5-4

14–8cov · u45.5

Davenport North

#26 · 2-7

Muscatine

#24 · 4-5

26–28no cov · o53.0

Dubuque Senior

#28 · 2-7

CR Washington

#29 · 1-8

10–0no cov · u53.0

Marshalltown

#30 · 2-7

Des Moines Lincoln

#32 · 3-6

27–14no cov · u51.0

Waterloo West

#27 · 4-5

Iowa City Liberty

#14 · 4-5

0–44cov · u56.5

CR Jefferson

#31 · 4-5

Davenport Central

#35 · 2-7

3–6no cov · u51.0

Des Moines East

#36 · 0-9

Ottumwa

#33 · 4-5

32–52cov · o55.5

Lines are the model's projected margin, attached to the favorite. Match is a matchup score: higher for close games between good teams. BCMoore is Brent Moore’s published line for the same game, in the same notation. A second opinion, never an input.