Away		Home	Final	Total	Win prob	BCMoore	Match
5A Pleasant Valley #4 · 9-1	at	5A Iowa City High #5 · 6-4	51–21no cov · over Iowa City High -2.5	50.0	57%	Pleasant Valley -1.0	93
5A Waukee Northwest #10 · 6-5	at	5A Ankeny Centennial #7 · 5-5	20–14no cov · under Ankeny Centennial -4.0	45.0	61%	Ankeny Centennial -5.5	84
5A Iowa City West #20 · 4-5	at	5A Bettendorf #17 · 3-6	6–42no cov · under Iowa City West -1.0	49.5	52%	Iowa City West -7.0	70
5A CR Prairie #14 · 7-4	at	5A Southeast Polk #1 · 12-1	0–41cov · under Southeast Polk -18.5	52.0	89%	Southeast Polk -28.0	66
5A Marshalltown #22 · 5-4	at	5A Des Moines Roosevelt #23 · 3-6	30–26no cov · over Des Moines Roosevelt -2.0	51.0	56%	PK	56
5A WDM Dowling #2 · 10-2	at	5A Ames #18 · 6-4	51–7cov · over WDM Dowling -27.0	55.5	96%	WDM Dowling -30.5	48
5A Dubuque Senior #19 · 4-5	at	5A Muscatine #25 · 3-6	48–28cov · over Dubuque Senior -13.5	50.5	82%	Muscatine -2.5	36
5A Davenport West #24 · 7-3	at	5A CR Kennedy #8 · 7-3	0–44cov · over CR Kennedy -27.0	42.5	97%	CR Kennedy -31.0	31
5A Waukee #16 · 4-5	at	5A CB Lincoln #32 · 3-6	58–14cov · over Waukee -19.5	42.0	91%	Waukee -27.5	25
5A Cedar Falls #13 · 8-3	at	5A Dubuque Hempstead #26 · 1-8	34–7no cov · under Cedar Falls -28.5	47.0	97%	Cedar Falls -33.5	22
5A Marion Linn-Mar #12 · 6-4	at	5A Ottumwa #29 · 4-5	35–7no cov · under Marion Linn-Mar -36.5	50.0	99%	Marion Linn-Mar -35.5	6
5A Des Moines Lincoln #31 · 1-8	at	5A WDM Valley #6 · 8-5	0–54cov · over WDM Valley -41.0	51.0	100%	WDM Valley -53.0	1
5A Davenport North #27 · 1-8	at	5A Davenport Central #35 · 1-8	39–0cov · under Davenport North -22.0	50.5	93%	Davenport North -16.5	-7
5A Ankeny #3 · 9-2	at	5A Des Moines North #30 · 4-6	72–0cov · over Ankeny -47.5	57.5	100%	Ankeny -50.0	-7
5A CR Jefferson #36 · 0-9	at	5A Waterloo West #28 · 3-6	3–42cov · under Waterloo West -25.0	54.0	96%	Waterloo West -30.0	-15
5A Des Moines East #33 · 1-8	at	5A Sioux City East #9 · 8-3	16–65no cov · over Sioux City East -51.5	61.5	100%	Sioux City East -64.0	-23
5A Sioux City West #34 · 2-7	at	5A Urbandale #15 · 5-4	6–62cov · over Urbandale -51.0	61.0	100%	Urbandale -58.5	-28

Thursday, Oct 6

Johnston

#11 · 8-4

Sioux City North

#21 · 4-4

27–6cov · u45.5

Friday, Oct 7

Pleasant Valley

#4 · 9-1

Iowa City High

#5 · 6-4

51–21no cov · o50.0

Waukee Northwest

#10 · 6-5

Ankeny Centennial

#7 · 5-5

20–14no cov · u45.0

Iowa City West

#20 · 4-5

Bettendorf

#17 · 3-6

6–42no cov · u49.5

CR Prairie

#14 · 7-4

Southeast Polk

#1 · 12-1

0–41cov · u52.0

Marshalltown

#22 · 5-4

Des Moines Roosevelt

#23 · 3-6

30–26no cov · o51.0

WDM Dowling

#2 · 10-2

Ames

#18 · 6-4

51–7cov · o55.5

Dubuque Senior

#19 · 4-5

Muscatine

#25 · 3-6

48–28cov · o50.5

Davenport West

#24 · 7-3

CR Kennedy

#8 · 7-3

0–44cov · o42.5

Waukee

#16 · 4-5

CB Lincoln

#32 · 3-6

58–14cov · o42.0

Cedar Falls

#13 · 8-3

Dubuque Hempstead

#26 · 1-8

34–7no cov · u47.0

Marion Linn-Mar

#12 · 6-4

Ottumwa

#29 · 4-5

35–7no cov · u50.0

Des Moines Lincoln

#31 · 1-8

WDM Valley

#6 · 8-5

0–54cov · o51.0

Davenport North

#27 · 1-8

Davenport Central

#35 · 1-8

39–0cov · u50.5

Ankeny

#3 · 9-2

Des Moines North

#30 · 4-6

72–0cov · o57.5

CR Jefferson

#36 · 0-9

Waterloo West

#28 · 3-6

3–42cov · u54.0

Des Moines East

#33 · 1-8

Sioux City East

#9 · 8-3

16–65no cov · o61.5

Sioux City West

#34 · 2-7

Urbandale

#15 · 5-4

6–62cov · o61.0

Lines are the model's projected margin, attached to the favorite. Match is a matchup score: higher for close games between good teams. BCMoore is Brent Moore’s published line for the same game, in the same notation. A second opinion, never an input.