Away		Home	Final	Total	Win prob	BCMoore	Match
5A Sioux City East #8 · 8-3	at	5A Waukee Northwest #10 · 6-5	7–17no cov · under Sioux City East -2.5	53.5	58%	Sioux City East -10.5	86
5A Ankeny Centennial #7 · 5-5	at	5A Urbandale #15 · 5-4	28–23cov · over Ankeny Centennial -4.5	45.5	64%	Ankeny Centennial -9.0	81
5A WDM Valley #6 · 8-5	at	5A Ankeny #3 · 9-2	24–34no cov · over Ankeny -11.5	44.0	82%	Ankeny -19.0	79
5A CR Kennedy #9 · 7-3	at	5A Cedar Falls #13 · 8-3	16–23no cov · under CR Kennedy -6.5	46.0	70%	CR Kennedy -15.5	79
5A Southeast Polk #1 · 12-1	at	5A Marion Linn-Mar #12 · 6-4	49–27cov · over Southeast Polk -15.5	49.5	89%	PK	71
5A Johnston #11 · 8-4	at	5A WDM Dowling #2 · 10-2	19–42no cov · over WDM Dowling -25.5	45.5	98%	WDM Dowling -29.5	56
5A Sioux City North #21 · 4-4	at	5A Waukee #16 · 4-5	14–24no cov · under Waukee -12.0	46.0	83%	Waukee -14.5	53
5A Bettendorf #17 · 3-6	at	5A Pleasant Valley #4 · 9-1	14–44cov · over Pleasant Valley -23.5	47.5	97%	Pleasant Valley -43.5	51
5A Dubuque Hempstead #26 · 1-8	at	5A Muscatine #25 · 3-6	31–42no cov · over Dubuque Hempstead -1.0	52.0	54%	Muscatine -13.5	43
5A Davenport West #24 · 7-3	at	5A Dubuque Senior #19 · 4-5	28–10no cov · under Dubuque Senior -15.0	45.0	89%	Dubuque Senior -10.5	38
5A Des Moines Lincoln #31 · 1-8	at	5A Marshalltown #22 · 5-4	13–42cov · over Marshalltown -14.0	53.0	87%	Marshalltown -27.5	24
5A Des Moines Roosevelt #23 · 3-6	at	5A Des Moines North #30 · 4-6	40–36no cov · over Des Moines Roosevelt -17.5	51.0	92%	Des Moines Roosevelt -7.0	19
5A CB Lincoln #32 · 3-6	at	5A Ames #18 · 6-4	13–42cov · over Ames -25.0	54.5	98%	Ames -40.5	15
5A Davenport North #27 · 1-8	at	5A Iowa City High #5 · 6-4	0–55cov · over Iowa City High -39.5	51.5	>99%	Iowa City High -49.5	9
5A Des Moines East #33 · 1-8	at	5A Sioux City West #34 · 2-7	40–45no cov · over Des Moines East -5.0	55.0	66%	Des Moines East -11.0	8
5A Waterloo West #28 · 3-6	at	5A CR Prairie #14 · 7-4	14–45no cov · over CR Prairie -37.5	52.5	>99%	CR Prairie -45.0	6
5A Ottumwa #29 · 4-5	at	5A CR Jefferson #36 · 0-9	54–6cov · over Ottumwa -12.0	54.0	83%	Ottumwa -16.0	3
5A Iowa City West #20 · 4-5	at	5A Davenport Central #35 · 1-8	62–7cov · over Iowa City West -35.0	52.5	>99%	Iowa City West -41.5	-14

Friday, Sep 30

Sioux City East

#8 · 8-3

Waukee Northwest

#10 · 6-5

7–17no cov · u53.5

Ankeny Centennial

#7 · 5-5

Urbandale

#15 · 5-4

28–23cov · o45.5

WDM Valley

#6 · 8-5

Ankeny

#3 · 9-2

24–34no cov · o44.0

CR Kennedy

#9 · 7-3

Cedar Falls

#13 · 8-3

16–23no cov · u46.0

Southeast Polk

#1 · 12-1

Marion Linn-Mar

#12 · 6-4

49–27cov · o49.5

Johnston

#11 · 8-4

WDM Dowling

#2 · 10-2

19–42no cov · o45.5

Sioux City North

#21 · 4-4

Waukee

#16 · 4-5

14–24no cov · u46.0

Bettendorf

#17 · 3-6

Pleasant Valley

#4 · 9-1

14–44cov · o47.5

Dubuque Hempstead

#26 · 1-8

Muscatine

#25 · 3-6

31–42no cov · o52.0

Davenport West

#24 · 7-3

Dubuque Senior

#19 · 4-5

28–10no cov · u45.0

Des Moines Lincoln

#31 · 1-8

Marshalltown

#22 · 5-4

13–42cov · o53.0

Des Moines Roosevelt

#23 · 3-6

Des Moines North

#30 · 4-6

40–36no cov · o51.0

CB Lincoln

#32 · 3-6

Ames

#18 · 6-4

13–42cov · o54.5

Davenport North

#27 · 1-8

Iowa City High

#5 · 6-4

0–55cov · o51.5

Des Moines East

#33 · 1-8

Sioux City West

#34 · 2-7

40–45no cov · o55.0

Waterloo West

#28 · 3-6

CR Prairie

#14 · 7-4

14–45no cov · o52.5

Ottumwa

#29 · 4-5

CR Jefferson

#36 · 0-9

54–6cov · o54.0

Iowa City West

#20 · 4-5

Davenport Central

#35 · 1-8

62–7cov · o52.5

Lines are the model's projected margin, attached to the favorite. Match is a matchup score: higher for close games between good teams. BCMoore is Brent Moore’s published line for the same game, in the same notation. A second opinion, never an input.