Away		Home	Final	Total	Win prob	BCMoore	Match
5A Dubuque Hempstead #26 · 1-8	at	5A Davenport West #24 · 7-3	7–14cov · under Davenport West -3.5	48.0	59%	Davenport West -9.0	43
5A Waukee Northwest #10 · 6-5	at	5A Sioux City West #34 · 2-7	56–0cov · under Waukee Northwest -50.0	60.0	100%	Waukee Northwest -73.0	-24

Friday, Sep 23

Away		Home	Final	Total	Win prob	BCMoore	Match
5A Sioux City East #9 · 8-3	at	5A Ankeny Centennial #7 · 5-5	28–31cov · over Ankeny Centennial -2.5	48.5	57%	Ankeny Centennial -1.5	87
5A Waukee #16 · 4-5	at	5A Johnston #11 · 8-4	6–10no cov · under Johnston -8.5	42.5	71%	Johnston -15.5	72
5A CR Kennedy #8 · 7-3	at	5A Dubuque Senior #19 · 4-5	38–0cov · under CR Kennedy -9.5	47.0	74%	CR Kennedy -24.0	64
5A Iowa City High #5 · 6-4	at	5A Iowa City West #20 · 4-5	49–0cov · under Iowa City High -14.5	52.0	84%	PK	59
5A Ames #18 · 6-4	at	5A Sioux City North #21 · 4-4	57–28cov · over Ames -8.5	50.5	72%	Ames -3.0	57
5A Marshalltown #22 · 5-4	at	5A WDM Valley #6 · 8-5	14–35no cov · over WDM Valley -27.5	45.0	97%	WDM Valley -43.5	36
5A Ankeny #3 · 9-2	at	5A Des Moines Roosevelt #23 · 3-6	35–18no cov · over Ankeny -34.5	45.0	99%	Ankeny -52.0	26
5A Muscatine #25 · 3-6	at	5A Cedar Falls #13 · 8-3	0–35cov · under Cedar Falls -29.0	50.0	97%	Cedar Falls -11.0	23
5A Des Moines North #30 · 4-6	at	5A Des Moines Lincoln #31 · 1-8	36–17no cov · over Des Moines Lincoln -7.0	51.0	69%	Des Moines North -16.0	21
5A Pleasant Valley #4 · 9-1	at	5A Davenport North #27 · 1-8	49–12push · over Pleasant Valley -37.0	47.0	99%	Pleasant Valley -51.5	14
5A Southeast Polk #1 · 12-1	at	5A Waterloo West #28 · 3-6	56–0cov · under Southeast Polk -49.5	59.5	100%	Southeast Polk -74.0	-5
5A Davenport Central #35 · 1-8	at	5A Bettendorf #17 · 3-6	0–48cov · over Bettendorf -35.0	47.5	99%	Bettendorf -41.5	-8
5A Ottumwa #29 · 4-5	at	5A CR Prairie #14 · 7-4	14–49no cov · over CR Prairie -46.5	56.5	100%	CR Prairie -52.0	-10
5A WDM Dowling #2 · 10-2	at	5A CB Lincoln #32 · 3-6	52–0cov · under WDM Dowling -50.5	60.5	100%	WDM Dowling -82.0	-11
5A Urbandale #15 · 5-4	at	5A Des Moines East #33 · 1-8	48–0cov · under Urbandale -44.0	54.0	100%	Urbandale -55.5	-14
5A CR Jefferson #36 · 0-9	at	5A Marion Linn-Mar #12 · 6-4	6–55no cov · under Marion Linn-Mar -59.5	69.5	100%	Marion Linn-Mar -79.5	-41

Thursday, Sep 22

Dubuque Hempstead

#26 · 1-8

Davenport West

#24 · 7-3

7–14cov · u48.0

Waukee Northwest

#10 · 6-5

Sioux City West

#34 · 2-7

56–0cov · u60.0

Friday, Sep 23

Sioux City East

#9 · 8-3

Ankeny Centennial

#7 · 5-5

28–31cov · o48.5

Waukee

#16 · 4-5

Johnston

#11 · 8-4

6–10no cov · u42.5

CR Kennedy

#8 · 7-3

Dubuque Senior

#19 · 4-5

38–0cov · u47.0

Iowa City High

#5 · 6-4

Iowa City West

#20 · 4-5

49–0cov · u52.0

Ames

#18 · 6-4

Sioux City North

#21 · 4-4

57–28cov · o50.5

Marshalltown

#22 · 5-4

WDM Valley

#6 · 8-5

14–35no cov · o45.0

Ankeny

#3 · 9-2

Des Moines Roosevelt

#23 · 3-6

35–18no cov · o45.0

Muscatine

#25 · 3-6

Cedar Falls

#13 · 8-3

0–35cov · u50.0

Des Moines North

#30 · 4-6

Des Moines Lincoln

#31 · 1-8

36–17no cov · o51.0

Pleasant Valley

#4 · 9-1

Davenport North

#27 · 1-8

49–12push · o47.0

Southeast Polk

#1 · 12-1

Waterloo West

#28 · 3-6

56–0cov · u59.5

Davenport Central

#35 · 1-8

Bettendorf

#17 · 3-6

0–48cov · o47.5

Ottumwa

#29 · 4-5

CR Prairie

#14 · 7-4

14–49no cov · o56.5

WDM Dowling

#2 · 10-2

CB Lincoln

#32 · 3-6

52–0cov · u60.5

Urbandale

#15 · 5-4

Des Moines East

#33 · 1-8

48–0cov · u54.0

CR Jefferson

#36 · 0-9

Marion Linn-Mar

#12 · 6-4

6–55no cov · u69.5

Lines are the model's projected margin, attached to the favorite. Match is a matchup score: higher for close games between good teams. BCMoore is Brent Moore’s published line for the same game, in the same notation. A second opinion, never an input.