Away		Home	Final	Total	Win prob	BCMoore	Match
5A WDM Valley #6 · 8-5	at	5A Cedar Falls #13 · 8-3	27–13cov · under WDM Valley -5.0	42.5	64%	WDM Valley -7.0	83
5A Waukee Northwest #10 · 6-5	N	5A WDM Dowling #2 · 10-2	7–41cov · over WDM Dowling -17.5	43.0	88%	WDM Dowling -23.0	68
5A Johnston #11 · 8-4	at	5A Ankeny #3 · 9-2	23–13no cov · under Ankeny -18.5	43.0	89%	Ankeny -17.0	66
5A CR Prairie #14 · 7-4	at	5A Southeast Polk #1 · 12-1	0–41cov · under Southeast Polk -21.5	53.5	93%	Southeast Polk -30.5	61

Friday, Nov 4

WDM Valley

#6 · 8-5

Cedar Falls

#13 · 8-3

27–13cov · u42.5

Waukee Northwest

#10 · 6-5

WDM Dowling

#2 · 10-2

7–41cov · o43.0

Johnston

#11 · 8-4

Ankeny

#3 · 9-2

23–13no cov · u43.0

CR Prairie

#14 · 7-4

Southeast Polk

#1 · 12-1

0–41cov · u53.5

Lines are the model's projected margin, attached to the favorite. Match is a matchup score: higher for close games between good teams. BCMoore is Brent Moore’s published line for the same game, in the same notation. A second opinion, never an input.