Archive · 2022 season · final
Playoffs Round 3
Friday, Nov 11
| Away | Home | Final | Total | Win prob | BCMoore | Match | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5A WDM Valley #6 · 8-5 | N | 5A WDM Dowling #2 · 10-2 | 22–21no cov · under WDM Dowling -16.0 | 48.0 | 86% | WDM Dowling -23.5 | 73 |
5A Johnston #11 · 8-4 | N | 5A Southeast Polk #1 · 12-1 | 14–35cov · over Southeast Polk -20.0 | 47.0 | 91% | Southeast Polk -18.0 | 65 |
Friday, Nov 11
5A
WDM Valley
#6 · 8-5
5A
WDM Dowling
#2 · 10-2
22–21no cov · u48.0
5A
Johnston
#11 · 8-4
5A
Southeast Polk
#1 · 12-1
14–35cov · o47.0
Lines are the model's projected margin, attached to the favorite. Match is a matchup score: higher for close games between good teams. BCMoore is Brent Moore’s published line for the same game, in the same notation. A second opinion, never an input.