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Archive · 1978 season · final

Week 8

Upsets

Ames 14, Waterloo East 13

Waterloo East -10.0 · 75%

Waterloo Central 34, Fort Dodge 3

Fort Dodge -8.0 · 70%

Newton 12, Ottumwa 37

Newton -4.0 · 61%

Eldridge North Scott 9, Burlington 8

Burlington -4.0 · 60%

Our biggest misses

Waterloo Central 34, Fort Dodge 3

Fort Dodge -8.0 · 39 off

WDM Dowling 48, Des Moines East 8

WDM Dowling -5.0 · 35 off

Newton 12, Ottumwa 37

Newton -4.0 · 29 off

Davenport Central 38, Clinton 7

Davenport Central -7.5 · 23 off

Bettendorf 35, Davenport West 6

Bettendorf -11.5 · 18 off

Thursday, Oct 26

Away		Home	Final	Total	Win prob	Match
4A CR Washington #4 · 8-2	at	4A Dubuque Senior #24 · 3-5	36–13cov · over CR Washington -12.5	31.5	79%	75

Friday, Oct 27

Away		Home	Final	Total	Win prob	Match
3A Urbandale #4 · 8-2	at	4A Ankeny #16 · 8-1	14–0cov · under Urbandale -1.5	36.5	54%	93
4A Newton #11 · 4-4	at	4A Ottumwa #19 · 6-3	12–37no cov · over Newton -4.0	33.0	61%	88
4A Cedar Rapids Kennedy #8 · 5-4	at	4A Dubuque Wahlert #18 · 3-6	22–14cov · over Cedar Rapids Kennedy -5.0	27.0	63%	88
4A Davenport Central #2 · 7-2	at	4A Clinton #17 · 6-4	38–7cov · over Davenport Central -7.5	32.5	69%	86
4A Des Moines Roosevelt #29 · 5-3	at	4A Des Moines Tech #31 · 2-4	27–26push · over PK	32.5	50%	84
4A WDM Dowling #10 · 5-2	at	4A Des Moines East #30 · 3-3	48–8cov · over WDM Dowling -5.0	34.0	63%	83
4A Waterloo Central #14 · 4-2	at	4A Fort Dodge #13 · 8-3	34–3no cov · over Fort Dodge -8.0	30.0	70%	83
4A Ames #15 · 4-5	at	4A Waterloo East #7 · 4-3	14–13no cov · under Waterloo East -10.0	34.0	75%	81
4A Mason City #1 · 10-1	at	4A Cedar Falls #20 · 4-5	41–13cov · over Mason City -12.0	33.5	78%	78
4A Bettendorf #5 · 6-1	at	4A Davenport West #27 · 2-5	35–6cov · over Bettendorf -11.5	30.0	77%	75
4A Davenport Assumption #12 · 3-5	at	4A Muscatine #34 · 4-5	21–6cov · under Davenport Assumption -9.5	28.0	73%	73
3A Eldridge North Scott #41 · 1-6	at	4A Burlington #36 · 2-7	9–8no cov · under Burlington -4.0	34.0	60%	68
4A WDM Valley #21 · 5-5	at	4A Des Moines Hoover #38 · 3-5	27–21no cov · over WDM Valley -13.0	32.5	80%	62
4A Dubuque Hempstead #3 · 9-1	at	4A Iowa City High #32 · 2-7	28–16no cov · over Dubuque Hempstead -19.5	31.5	90%	61
4A Iowa City West #35 · 2-7	at	4A CR Jefferson #6 · 6-3	3–16no cov · under CR Jefferson -21.0	34.5	91%	57

Thursday, Oct 26

#4 · 8-2

4A

#24 · 3-5

36–13cov · o31.5

Friday, Oct 27

#4 · 8-2

4A

#16 · 8-1

14–0cov · u36.5

#11 · 4-4

4A

#19 · 6-3

12–37no cov · o33.0

Cedar Rapids Kennedy

#8 · 5-4

4A

Dubuque Wahlert

#18 · 3-6

22–14cov · o27.0

Davenport Central

#2 · 7-2

4A

#17 · 6-4

38–7cov · o32.5

Des Moines Roosevelt

#29 · 5-3

4A

Des Moines Tech

#31 · 2-4

27–26push · o32.5

#10 · 5-2

4A

Des Moines East

#30 · 3-3

48–8cov · o34.0

Waterloo Central

#14 · 4-2

4A

#13 · 8-3

34–3no cov · o30.0

#15 · 4-5

4A

#7 · 4-3

14–13no cov · u34.0

#1 · 10-1

4A

#20 · 4-5

41–13cov · o33.5

#5 · 6-1

4A

#27 · 2-5

35–6cov · o30.0

Davenport Assumption

#12 · 3-5

4A

#34 · 4-5

21–6cov · u28.0

Eldridge North Scott

#41 · 1-6

4A

#36 · 2-7

9–8no cov · u34.0

#21 · 5-5

4A

Des Moines Hoover

#38 · 3-5

27–21no cov · o32.5

Dubuque Hempstead

#3 · 9-1

4A

#32 · 2-7

28–16no cov · o31.5

#35 · 2-7

4A

#6 · 6-3

3–16no cov · u34.5

Lines are the model's projected margin, attached to the favorite. Match is a matchup score: higher for close games between good teams.