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Archive · 1978 season · final

Week 7

Upsets

Des Moines Lincoln 6, Des Moines Hoover 7

Des Moines Lincoln -13.5 · 85%

Sioux City West 0, Carroll Kuemper 12

Sioux City West -9.5 · 78%

Mason City 24, Fort Dodge 26

Mason City -9.0 · 76%

Ames 21, Waterloo West 27

Ames -6.5 · 69%

Bettendorf 15, Davenport Central 14

Davenport Central -6.0 · 68%

Our biggest misses

WDM Valley 34, Des Moines East 8

Des Moines East -3.0 · 29 off

Sioux City West 0, Carroll Kuemper 12

Sioux City West -9.5 · 22 off

Burlington 0, Clinton 28

Clinton -13.0 · 15 off

Des Moines Lincoln 6, Des Moines Hoover 7

Des Moines Lincoln -13.5 · 14 off

WDM Dowling 40, Des Moines Tech 20

WDM Dowling -6.0 · 14 off

Thursday, Oct 19

Away		Home	Final	Total	Win prob	Match
4A Iowa City High #32 · 2-7	at	4A Cedar Rapids Kennedy #8 · 5-4	8–28cov · over Cedar Rapids Kennedy -17.5	27.5	91%	63

Friday, Oct 20

Away		Home	Final	Total	Win prob	Match
4A Bettendorf #5 · 6-1	at	4A Davenport Central #2 · 7-2	15–14no cov · under Davenport Central -6.0	32.0	68%	90
3A Tama South Tama #12 · 7-2	at	4A Ankeny #16 · 8-1	18–21cov · over Ankeny -2.5	33.0	58%	89
4A Cedar Falls #20 · 4-5	at	4A Marshalltown #23 · 2-6	22–25no cov · over Cedar Falls -3.0	27.5	59%	86
4A Mason City #1 · 10-1	at	4A Fort Dodge #13 · 8-3	24–26OTno cov · over Mason City -9.0	31.5	76%	84
4A WDM Valley #21 · 5-5	at	4A Des Moines East #30 · 3-3	34–8no cov · over Des Moines East -3.0	32.5	60%	82
4A WDM Dowling #10 · 5-2	at	4A Des Moines Tech #31 · 2-4	40–20cov · over WDM Dowling -6.0	33.5	68%	81
4A Ames #15 · 4-5	at	4A Waterloo West #28 · 2-5	21–27no cov · over Ames -6.5	32.5	69%	81
4A Dubuque Senior #24 · 3-5	at	4A CR Jefferson #6 · 6-3	20–41cov · over CR Jefferson -9.5	31.5	77%	79
4A Davenport West #27 · 2-5	at	4A Muscatine #34 · 4-5	13–19no cov · over Davenport West -5.5	31.0	67%	73
4A Dubuque Wahlert #18 · 3-6	at	4A Iowa City West #35 · 2-7	31–13cov · over Dubuque Wahlert -9.0	31.5	76%	72
4A Burlington #36 · 2-7	at	4A Clinton #17 · 6-4	0–28cov · under Clinton -13.0	33.0	84%	66
4A Ottumwa #19 · 6-3	at	3A Mount Pleasant #39 · 4-4	33–18cov · over Ottumwa -13.5	34.5	85%	64
3A Eldridge North Scott #41 · 1-6	at	4A Davenport Assumption #12 · 3-5	12–33cov · over Davenport Assumption -16.5	33.5	90%	59
4A Sioux City West #39 · 1-4	at	2A Carroll Kuemper #66 · 5-4	0–12no cov · under Sioux City West -9.5	33.5	78%	45
4A Des Moines Roosevelt #29 · 5-3	at	4A Des Moines North #40 · 0-5	23–6no cov · under Des Moines Roosevelt -20.5	33.5	95%	32

Saturday, Oct 21

Away		Home	Final	Total	Win prob	Match
4A Des Moines Lincoln #25 · 3-4	at	4A Des Moines Hoover #38 · 3-5	6–7no cov · under Des Moines Lincoln -13.5	31.5	85%	60

Thursday, Oct 19

4A

#32 · 2-7

4A

Cedar Rapids Kennedy

#8 · 5-4

8–28cov · o27.5

Friday, Oct 20

4A

#5 · 6-1

4A

Davenport Central

#2 · 7-2

15–14no cov · u32.0

3A

Tama South Tama

#12 · 7-2

4A

#16 · 8-1

18–21cov · o33.0

4A

#20 · 4-5

4A

#23 · 2-6

22–25no cov · o27.5

4A

#1 · 10-1

4A

#13 · 8-3

24–26no cov · o31.5

4A

#21 · 5-5

4A

Des Moines East

#30 · 3-3

34–8no cov · o32.5

4A

#10 · 5-2

4A

Des Moines Tech

#31 · 2-4

40–20cov · o33.5

4A

#15 · 4-5

4A

#28 · 2-5

21–27no cov · o32.5

4A

#24 · 3-5

4A

#6 · 6-3

20–41cov · o31.5

4A

#27 · 2-5

4A

#34 · 4-5

13–19no cov · o31.0

4A

Dubuque Wahlert

#18 · 3-6

4A

#35 · 2-7

31–13cov · o31.5

4A

#36 · 2-7

4A

#17 · 6-4

0–28cov · u33.0

4A

#19 · 6-3

3A

#39 · 4-4

33–18cov · o34.5

3A

Eldridge North Scott

#41 · 1-6

4A

Davenport Assumption

#12 · 3-5

12–33cov · o33.5

4A

Sioux City West

#39 · 1-4

2A

Carroll Kuemper

#66 · 5-4

0–12no cov · u33.5

4A

Des Moines Roosevelt

#29 · 5-3

4A

Des Moines North

#40 · 0-5

23–6no cov · u33.5

Saturday, Oct 21

4A

Des Moines Lincoln

#25 · 3-4

4A

Des Moines Hoover

#38 · 3-5

6–7no cov · u31.5

Lines are the model's projected margin, attached to the favorite. Match is a matchup score: higher for close games between good teams.