Away		Home	Final	Total	Win prob	BCMoore	Match
5A Dubuque Hempstead #32 · 1-7	at	5A CR Jefferson #29 · 3-5	6–42push · under PK	57.0	50%	CR Jefferson -11.5	40
5A Muscatine #34 · 1-7	at	5A Davenport Central #30 · 3-5	28–13no cov · under Davenport Central -10.0	56.0	79%	Davenport Central -24.0	22

Friday, Oct 16

Away		Home	Final	Total	Win prob	BCMoore	Match
5A Waukee Northwest #3 · 5-3	at	5A Waukee #11 · 4-4	44–0cov · under Waukee Northwest -4.0	52.0	63%	Waukee -3.5	90
5A Ankeny #4 · 6-2	at	5A WDM Valley #6 · 5-3	35–36no cov · over Ankeny -5.5	56.0	67%	Ankeny -6.0	90
5A Southeast Polk #5 · 7-1	at	5A Johnston #2 · 7-1	30–38cov · over Johnston -7.0	56.0	71%	Johnston -16.5	88
5A Bettendorf #18 · 5-3	at	5A CR Kennedy #16 · 5-3	0–37push · under PK	49.0	51%	CR Kennedy -2.0	84
5A Iowa City Liberty #7 · 5-3	at	5A Iowa City High #17 · 3-5	41–14cov · push Iowa City Liberty -9.5	55.0	79%	Iowa City Liberty -2.5	75
5A CR Prairie #8 · 6-2	at	5A Iowa City West #19 · 4-4	32–11cov · under CR Prairie -9.5	53.5	78%	CR Prairie -8.0	74
5A Marion Linn-Mar #20 · 2-6	at	5A Cedar Falls #10 · 6-2	7–35cov · under Cedar Falls -14.0	47.5	87%	Cedar Falls -21.0	66
5A Urbandale #15 · 6-2	at	5A Norwalk #22 · 4-4	15–0cov · under Urbandale -10.0	48.0	79%	Urbandale -10.0	65
5A WDM Dowling #1 · 7-1	at	5A Ankeny Centennial #21 · 2-6	37–10no cov · under WDM Dowling -34.0	52.0	>99%	WDM Dowling -38.0	38
5A Des Moines Roosevelt #24 · 5-3	at	5A Ottumwa #31 · 2-6	28–7cov · under Des Moines Roosevelt -10.0	45.0	79%	Des Moines Roosevelt -16.0	34
5A Des Moines Lincoln #26 · 4-4	at	5A Des Moines East #35 · 1-7	41–14cov · over Des Moines Lincoln -5.0	50.5	66%	Des Moines Lincoln -2.5	32
5A Pleasant Valley #13 · 6-2	at	5A Dubuque Senior #27 · 2-6	57–6cov · over Pleasant Valley -26.5	55.0	98%	Pleasant Valley -38.5	31
5A Sioux City East #9 · 6-2	at	5A CB Lincoln #25 · 3-5	55–7cov · over Sioux City East -31.0	52.0	99%	Sioux City East -37.0	28
5A Dallas Center-Grimes #12 · 6-2	at	5A Ames #28 · 2-6	42–3cov · under Dallas Center-Grimes -32.0	47.5	>99%	Dallas Center-Grimes -35.0	22
5A Waterloo West #23 · 3-5	at	5A Marshalltown #36 · 1-7	31–0cov · under Waterloo West -16.0	52.5	90%	Waterloo West -15.0	19
5A Sioux City North #33 · 0-8	at	5A Indianola #14 · 6-2	7–38no cov · under Indianola -40.0	56.5	>99%	Indianola -41.5	2

Thursday, Oct 15

Dubuque Hempstead

#32 · 1-7

CR Jefferson

#29 · 3-5

6–42push · u57.0

Muscatine

#34 · 1-7

Davenport Central

#30 · 3-5

28–13no cov · u56.0

Friday, Oct 16

Waukee Northwest

#3 · 5-3

Waukee

#11 · 4-4

44–0cov · u52.0

Ankeny

#4 · 6-2

WDM Valley

#6 · 5-3

35–36no cov · o56.0

Southeast Polk

#5 · 7-1

Johnston

#2 · 7-1

30–38cov · o56.0

Bettendorf

#18 · 5-3

CR Kennedy

#16 · 5-3

0–37push · u49.0

Iowa City Liberty

#7 · 5-3

Iowa City High

#17 · 3-5

41–14cov · push55.0

CR Prairie

#8 · 6-2

Iowa City West

#19 · 4-4

32–11cov · u53.5

Marion Linn-Mar

#20 · 2-6

Cedar Falls

#10 · 6-2

7–35cov · u47.5

Urbandale

#15 · 6-2

Norwalk

#22 · 4-4

15–0cov · u48.0

WDM Dowling

#1 · 7-1

Ankeny Centennial

#21 · 2-6

37–10no cov · u52.0

Des Moines Roosevelt

#24 · 5-3

Ottumwa

#31 · 2-6

28–7cov · u45.0

Des Moines Lincoln

#26 · 4-4

Des Moines East

#35 · 1-7

41–14cov · o50.5

Pleasant Valley

#13 · 6-2

Dubuque Senior

#27 · 2-6

57–6cov · o55.0

Sioux City East

#9 · 6-2

CB Lincoln

#25 · 3-5

55–7cov · o52.0

Dallas Center-Grimes

#12 · 6-2

Ames

#28 · 2-6

42–3cov · u47.5

Waterloo West

#23 · 3-5

Marshalltown

#36 · 1-7

31–0cov · u52.5

Sioux City North

#33 · 0-8

Indianola

#14 · 6-2

7–38no cov · u56.5

Lines are the model's projected margin, attached to the favorite. Match is a matchup score: higher for close games between good teams. BCMoore is Brent Moore’s published line for the same game, in the same notation. A second opinion, never an input.