Away		Home	Final	Total	Win prob	BCMoore	Match
5A Dubuque Senior #27 · 2-6	at	5A CR Jefferson #29 · 3-5	15–32no cov · under Dubuque Senior -14.5	54.0	88%	Dubuque Senior -12.0	26
5A Sioux City East #9 · 6-2	at	5A Des Moines Roosevelt #24 · 5-3	35–28no cov · over Sioux City East -36.0	48.5	>99%	Sioux City East -39.5	23

Friday, Oct 2

Away		Home	Final	Total	Win prob	BCMoore	Match
5A Ankeny #4 · 6-2	at	5A Johnston #2 · 7-1	0–27cov · under Johnston -1.0	52.5	52%	Johnston -18.5	98
5A Marion Linn-Mar #20 · 2-6	at	5A Pleasant Valley #13 · 6-2	14–42cov · over Pleasant Valley -4.0	52.0	62%	Pleasant Valley -3.5	80
5A Bettendorf #18 · 5-3	at	5A Cedar Falls #10 · 6-2	0–37cov · under Cedar Falls -6.0	48.0	68%	Cedar Falls -12.0	79
5A Iowa City High #17 · 3-5	at	5A Southeast Polk #5 · 7-1	21–49cov · over Southeast Polk -15.0	56.0	89%	Southeast Polk -24.0	68
5A WDM Valley #6 · 5-3	at	5A Ankeny Centennial #21 · 2-6	45–20cov · over WDM Valley -15.0	57.0	88%	WDM Valley -14.0	65
5A CR Kennedy #16 · 5-3	at	5A WDM Dowling #1 · 7-1	0–36cov · under WDM Dowling -28.5	49.5	99%	WDM Dowling -42.5	51
5A Waterloo West #23 · 3-5	at	5A Dallas Center-Grimes #12 · 6-2	14–55cov · over Dallas Center-Grimes -21.5	48.0	96%	Dallas Center-Grimes -31.5	44
5A Ames #28 · 2-6	at	5A CB Lincoln #25 · 3-5	20–13no cov · under CB Lincoln -11.5	46.5	82%	CB Lincoln -15.0	34
5A Indianola #14 · 6-2	at	5A Des Moines Lincoln #26 · 4-4	42–16no cov · over Indianola -30.0	51.0	99%	Indianola -24.5	25
5A CR Prairie #8 · 6-2	at	5A Dubuque Hempstead #32 · 1-7	70–7cov · over CR Prairie -32.0	52.0	99%	CR Prairie -33.5	17
5A Urbandale #15 · 6-2	at	5A Sioux City North #33 · 0-8	66–13cov · over Urbandale -29.5	52.5	99%	Urbandale -31.5	16
5A Norwalk #22 · 4-4	at	5A Des Moines East #35 · 1-7	21–7no cov · under Norwalk -23.5	47.5	97%	Norwalk -23.0	15
5A Iowa City Liberty #7 · 5-3	at	5A Davenport Central #30 · 3-5	48–6cov · over Iowa City Liberty -37.5	52.5	>99%	Iowa City Liberty -30.5	13
5A Iowa City West #19 · 4-4	at	5A Muscatine #34 · 1-7	33–0no cov · under Iowa City West -35.5	58.5	>99%	Iowa City West -32.0	4
5A Waukee Northwest #3 · 5-3	at	5A Ottumwa #31 · 2-6	49–0cov · under Waukee Northwest -48.0	58.0	>99%	Waukee Northwest -52.0	-3
5A Waukee #11 · 4-4	at	5A Marshalltown #36 · 1-7	41–0no cov · under Waukee -52.0	62.0	>99%	Waukee -66.0	-18

Thursday, Oct 1

Dubuque Senior

#27 · 2-6

CR Jefferson

#29 · 3-5

15–32no cov · u54.0

Sioux City East

#9 · 6-2

Des Moines Roosevelt

#24 · 5-3

35–28no cov · o48.5

Friday, Oct 2

Ankeny

#4 · 6-2

Johnston

#2 · 7-1

0–27cov · u52.5

Marion Linn-Mar

#20 · 2-6

Pleasant Valley

#13 · 6-2

14–42cov · o52.0

Bettendorf

#18 · 5-3

Cedar Falls

#10 · 6-2

0–37cov · u48.0

Iowa City High

#17 · 3-5

Southeast Polk

#5 · 7-1

21–49cov · o56.0

WDM Valley

#6 · 5-3

Ankeny Centennial

#21 · 2-6

45–20cov · o57.0

CR Kennedy

#16 · 5-3

WDM Dowling

#1 · 7-1

0–36cov · u49.5

Waterloo West

#23 · 3-5

Dallas Center-Grimes

#12 · 6-2

14–55cov · o48.0

Ames

#28 · 2-6

CB Lincoln

#25 · 3-5

20–13no cov · u46.5

Indianola

#14 · 6-2

Des Moines Lincoln

#26 · 4-4

42–16no cov · o51.0

CR Prairie

#8 · 6-2

Dubuque Hempstead

#32 · 1-7

70–7cov · o52.0

Urbandale

#15 · 6-2

Sioux City North

#33 · 0-8

66–13cov · o52.5

Norwalk

#22 · 4-4

Des Moines East

#35 · 1-7

21–7no cov · u47.5

Iowa City Liberty

#7 · 5-3

Davenport Central

#30 · 3-5

48–6cov · o52.5

Iowa City West

#19 · 4-4

Muscatine

#34 · 1-7

33–0no cov · u58.5

Waukee Northwest

#3 · 5-3

Ottumwa

#31 · 2-6

49–0cov · u58.0

Waukee

#11 · 4-4

Marshalltown

#36 · 1-7

41–0no cov · u62.0

Lines are the model's projected margin, attached to the favorite. Match is a matchup score: higher for close games between good teams. BCMoore is Brent Moore’s published line for the same game, in the same notation. A second opinion, never an input.