Matchup · 2026
Iowa Falls-Alden at Independence
This season
Final
Iowa Falls-Alden 34 · Independence 10
Our line before the week
Independence -4.5no cover
Total
49.0under
If they played today
Independence at home
PKo/u 49.0
Iowa Falls-Alden 24 · Independence 24
50%
Iowa Falls-Alden at home
Iowa Falls-Alden -2.0o/u 49.0
Independence 23 · Iowa Falls-Alden 25
56%
Neutral site
Iowa Falls-Alden -1.0o/u 49.0
Iowa Falls-Alden 25 · Independence 24
53%
| Site | Line | Total | Win prob | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independence at home | PK | 49.0 | 50% | Iowa Falls-Alden 24 · Independence 24 |
| Iowa Falls-Alden at home | Iowa Falls-Alden -2.0 | 49.0 | 56% | Independence 23 · Iowa Falls-Alden 25 |
| Neutral site | Iowa Falls-Alden -1.0 | 49.0 | 53% | Iowa Falls-Alden 25 · Independence 24 |
Computed from today's ratings, which already include the result above — so this is what the line would be if they met again now, not a forecast of the game that was played.
Line movement
Opened
Independence -4.0
Sep 5 · o/u 50.0
Closed
Independence -4.5
last capture before kickoff · o/u 49.0
Moves
9
Line move
+0.5
toward Independence · o/u -1.0
Sep 5 Independence -4.0 / 50.0Sep 12 Independence -2.0 / 49.0Sep 13 Independence -2.0 / 50.5Sep 20 Independence -3.0 / 51.0Sep 26 PK / 51.5Oct 3 Independence -1.5 / 50.0Oct 4 PK / 48.0Oct 9 PK / 48.5Oct 10 Independence -3.5 / 48.5Oct 11 Independence -4.5 / 49.0
Our line, captured three mornings a week; a point is added when the line or total moves half a point or more.
Series history
2–1
Independence leads
3
Meetings · 2020–2026
2–1
Last 3 · Independence
1
Iowa Falls-Alden streak
Biggest wins
Iowa Falls-Alden
34-10 · 2026+24
Independence
35-0 · 2025+35
44-9 · 2020 PO+35
Runs & venue
Longest streak: Independence 2 straight, 2020–2025
Home team: 1-2
Playoff meetings: 1
Average margin: 31.3 · decided by 7 or less: 0
By decade · avg margin, Independence view
| 2020s | 2-1 | +15.3 |
| Season | Result | Model line |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 Oct 16 | Iowa Falls-Alden 34-10 at Independence | Independence -4.5 no cover |
| 2025 Oct 17 | Independence 35-0 at Iowa Falls-Alden | Independence -28.0 covered |
| 2020PO Oct 23 | Independence 44-9 at Independence | — — |
Every recorded meeting in Brent Moore's all-time archive. Model lines appear for seasons whose archive pages have been built (2021 on, plus any older season you have opened).