Archive · 2025 season · final
Playoffs Round 2
Friday, Nov 7
| Away | Home | Final | Total | Win prob | BCMoore | Match | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5A Southeast Polk #6 · 6-5 | at | 5A Iowa City Liberty #4 · 11-2 | 28–31no cov · over Iowa City Liberty -3.5 | 58.0 | 62% | Iowa City Liberty -7.5 | 93 |
5A WDM Valley #3 · 9-3 | at | 5A Johnston #7 · 8-3 | 28–21cov · under WDM Valley -5.5 | 53.0 | 67% | WDM Valley -6.5 | 90 |
5A Iowa City West #8 · 8-3 | N | 5A WDM Dowling #1 · 12-1 | 0–35cov · under WDM Dowling -9.0 | 56.5 | 76% | WDM Dowling -16.0 | 85 |
5A Sioux City East #14 · 9-2 | at | 5A Waukee Northwest #2 · 10-2 | 34–48no cov · over Waukee Northwest -20.5 | 54.0 | 95% | Waukee Northwest -18.0 | 66 |
Friday, Nov 7
5A
Southeast Polk
#6 · 6-5
5A
Iowa City Liberty
#4 · 11-2
28–31no cov · o58.0
5A
WDM Valley
#3 · 9-3
5A
Johnston
#7 · 8-3
28–21cov · u53.0
5A
Iowa City West
#8 · 8-3
5A
WDM Dowling
#1 · 12-1
0–35cov · u56.5
5A
Sioux City East
#14 · 9-2
5A
Waukee Northwest
#2 · 10-2
34–48no cov · o54.0
Lines are the model's projected margin, attached to the favorite. Match is a matchup score: higher for close games between good teams. BCMoore is Brent Moore’s published line for the same game, in the same notation. A second opinion, never an input.