Away		Home	Final	Total	Win prob	BCMoore	Match
5A Southeast Polk #6 · 6-5	at	5A Iowa City Liberty #4 · 11-2	28–31no cov · over Iowa City Liberty -3.5	56.5	60%	Iowa City Liberty -7.5	93
5A WDM Valley #3 · 9-3	at	5A Johnston #7 · 8-3	28–21cov · under WDM Valley -5.5	51.5	64%	WDM Valley -6.5	90
5A Iowa City West #8 · 8-3	N	5A WDM Dowling #1 · 12-1	0–35cov · under WDM Dowling -9.0	54.5	72%	WDM Dowling -16.0	85
5A Sioux City East #14 · 9-2	at	5A Waukee Northwest #2 · 10-2	34–48no cov · over Waukee Northwest -20.5	52.5	92%	Waukee Northwest -18.0	66

Friday, Nov 7

Southeast Polk

#6 · 6-5

Iowa City Liberty

#4 · 11-2

28–31no cov · o56.5

WDM Valley

#3 · 9-3

Johnston

#7 · 8-3

28–21cov · u51.5

Iowa City West

#8 · 8-3

WDM Dowling

#1 · 12-1

0–35cov · u54.5

Sioux City East

#14 · 9-2

Waukee Northwest

#2 · 10-2

34–48no cov · o52.5

Lines are the model's projected margin, attached to the favorite. Match is a matchup score: higher for close games between good teams. BCMoore is Brent Moore’s published line for the same game, in the same notation. A second opinion, never an input.