Archive · 2025 season · final
Playoffs Round 1
Our biggest misses
Southeast Polk 21, Ankeny 14
Ankeny -5.5 · 13 off
Ankeny Centennial 26, Johnston 34
Johnston -2.0 · 6 off
Dallas Center-Grimes 14, Sioux City East 28
Sioux City East -8.0 · 6 off
Waukee 20, Iowa City Liberty 34
Iowa City Liberty -9.0 · 5 off
Indianola 7, Waukee Northwest 28
Waukee Northwest -25.5 · 4 off
BCMoore's biggest misses
Southeast Polk 21, Ankeny 14
Ankeny -10.0 · 17 off
Indianola 7, Waukee Northwest 28
Waukee Northwest -34.5 · 14 off
CR Prairie 20, WDM Valley 26
WDM Valley -12.5 · 7 off
Waukee 20, Iowa City Liberty 34
Iowa City Liberty -7.5 · 6 off
Ankeny Centennial 26, Johnston 34
Johnston -2.5 · 6 off
Friday, Oct 31
| Away | Home | Final | Total | Win prob | BCMoore | Match | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5A Ankeny Centennial #9 · 5-5 | at | 5A Johnston #7 · 8-3 | 26–34cov · over Johnston -2.0 | 51.0 | 56% | Johnston -2.5 | 94 |
5A Iowa City West #8 · 8-3 | at | 5A Cedar Falls #11 · 7-3 | 38–31cov · over Iowa City West -3.0 | 56.0 | 60% | Iowa City West -3.0 | 92 |
5A Southeast Polk #6 · 6-5 | at | 5A Ankeny #5 · 7-3 | 21–14no cov · under Ankeny -5.5 | 55.5 | 68% | Ankeny -10.0 | 90 |
5A Waukee #12 · 4-6 | at | 5A Iowa City Liberty #4 · 11-2 | 20–34cov · under Iowa City Liberty -9.0 | 59.0 | 76% | Iowa City Liberty -7.5 | 84 |
5A CR Prairie #10 · 6-4 | at | 5A WDM Valley #3 · 9-3 | 20–26no cov · under WDM Valley -10.0 | 56.0 | 79% | WDM Valley -12.5 | 83 |
5A Dallas Center-Grimes #20 · 7-3 | at | 5A Sioux City East #14 · 9-2 | 14–28cov · under Sioux City East -8.0 | 49.5 | 74% | Sioux City East -16.0 | 78 |
5A Indianola #16 · 6-4 | at | 5A Waukee Northwest #2 · 10-2 | 7–28no cov · under Waukee Northwest -25.5 | 49.5 | 98% | Waukee Northwest -34.5 | 57 |
5A Waterloo West #24 · 5-5 | N | 5A WDM Dowling #1 · 12-1 | 6–44cov · under WDM Dowling -37.0 | 53.5 | >99% | WDM Dowling -40.0 | 34 |
Friday, Oct 31
5A
Ankeny Centennial
#9 · 5-5
5A
Johnston
#7 · 8-3
26–34cov · o51.0
5A
Iowa City West
#8 · 8-3
5A
Cedar Falls
#11 · 7-3
38–31cov · o56.0
5A
Southeast Polk
#6 · 6-5
5A
Ankeny
#5 · 7-3
21–14no cov · u55.5
5A
Waukee
#12 · 4-6
5A
Iowa City Liberty
#4 · 11-2
20–34cov · u59.0
5A
CR Prairie
#10 · 6-4
5A
WDM Valley
#3 · 9-3
20–26no cov · u56.0
5A
Dallas Center-Grimes
#20 · 7-3
5A
Sioux City East
#14 · 9-2
14–28cov · u49.5
5A
Indianola
#16 · 6-4
5A
Waukee Northwest
#2 · 10-2
7–28no cov · u49.5
5A
Waterloo West
#24 · 5-5
5A
WDM Dowling
#1 · 12-1
6–44cov · u53.5
Lines are the model's projected margin, attached to the favorite. Match is a matchup score: higher for close games between good teams. BCMoore is Brent Moore’s published line for the same game, in the same notation. A second opinion, never an input.