Away		Home	Final	Total	Win prob	BCMoore	Match
5A Ankeny Centennial #2 · 8-3	at	5A WDM Dowling #3 · 10-2	35–41no cov · over Ankeny Centennial -1.0	44.0	52%	Ankeny Centennial -10.0	98
5A Southeast Polk #4 · 9-4	at	5A Johnston #1 · 8-3	0–34no cov · under Southeast Polk -4.0	46.5	61%	Johnston -5.5	93
5A Pleasant Valley #8 · 7-3	at	5A Cedar Falls #11 · 5-5	51–28cov · over Pleasant Valley -2.5	57.0	56%	Pleasant Valley -3.0	93
5A WDM Valley #5 · 10-3	at	5A Waukee Northwest #10 · 4-5	45–21cov · over WDM Valley -5.5	54.0	64%	WDM Valley -14.5	89
5A CR Prairie #16 · 4-5	at	5A Ankeny #6 · 6-5	16–35cov · over Ankeny -8.0	47.5	70%	Ankeny -3.5	83
5A CR Kennedy #17 · 3-6	at	5A Bettendorf #12 · 8-2	14–33cov · under Bettendorf -7.0	49.0	68%	Bettendorf -15.0	80
5A Dubuque Hempstead #20 · 6-3	at	5A Davenport North #23 · 5-4	24–21no cov · under Davenport North -2.5	48.5	57%	Dubuque Hempstead -2.0	63
5A Ames #26 · 1-8	at	5A Ottumwa #22 · 7-2	34–41cov · over Ottumwa -3.5	63.5	59%	Ottumwa -12.5	58
5A Sioux City North #27 · 2-6	at	5A Des Moines Roosevelt #31 · 1-8	19–7no cov · under Des Moines Roosevelt -2.5	52.0	57%	Des Moines Roosevelt -5.5	51
5A CR Jefferson #25 · 5-4	at	5A Iowa City West #15 · 6-5	6–48cov · under Iowa City West -18.5	56.0	89%	Iowa City West -17.0	49
5A Sioux City East #18 · 6-4	at	5A CB Lincoln #28 · 5-4	63–35cov · over Sioux City East -14.5	49.0	83%	Sioux City East -12.5	49
5A Iowa City Liberty #7 · 10-2	at	5A CR Washington #24 · 3-6	27–22no cov · under Iowa City Liberty -29.0	58.5	97%	Iowa City Liberty -31.0	36
5A Davenport West #34 · 0-9	at	5A Dubuque Senior #29 · 1-8	12–52cov · over Dubuque Senior -5.5	44.0	64%	Dubuque Senior -27.5	36
5A Waterloo West #21 · 6-4	at	5A Marshalltown #32 · 2-7	44–17cov · over Waterloo West -14.5	47.5	83%	Waterloo West -15.5	35
5A Marion Linn-Mar #14 · 7-3	at	5A Muscatine #30 · 3-6	47–7cov · over Marion Linn-Mar -31.5	49.0	98%	Marion Linn-Mar -42.0	24
5A Davenport Central #33 · 2-7	at	5A Iowa City High #13 · 6-3	7–49cov · over Iowa City High -39.0	52.5	100%	Iowa City High -44.5	6
5A Urbandale #19 · 3-6	at	5A Des Moines East #35 · 3-6	42–0cov · under Urbandale -33.5	45.5	99%	Urbandale -37.0	5

Thursday, Oct 3

Waukee

#9 · 6-4

Des Moines Lincoln

#36 · 1-8

56–0cov · u64.0

Friday, Oct 4

Ankeny Centennial

#2 · 8-3

WDM Dowling

#3 · 10-2

35–41no cov · o44.0

Southeast Polk

#4 · 9-4

Johnston

#1 · 8-3

0–34no cov · u46.5

Pleasant Valley

#8 · 7-3

Cedar Falls

#11 · 5-5

51–28cov · o57.0

WDM Valley

#5 · 10-3

Waukee Northwest

#10 · 4-5

45–21cov · o54.0

CR Prairie

#16 · 4-5

Ankeny

#6 · 6-5

16–35cov · o47.5

CR Kennedy

#17 · 3-6

Bettendorf

#12 · 8-2

14–33cov · u49.0

Dubuque Hempstead

#20 · 6-3

Davenport North

#23 · 5-4

24–21no cov · u48.5

Ames

#26 · 1-8

Ottumwa

#22 · 7-2

34–41cov · o63.5

Sioux City North

#27 · 2-6

Des Moines Roosevelt

#31 · 1-8

19–7no cov · u52.0

CR Jefferson

#25 · 5-4

Iowa City West

#15 · 6-5

6–48cov · u56.0

Sioux City East

#18 · 6-4

CB Lincoln

#28 · 5-4

63–35cov · o49.0

Iowa City Liberty

#7 · 10-2

CR Washington

#24 · 3-6

27–22no cov · u58.5

Davenport West

#34 · 0-9

Dubuque Senior

#29 · 1-8

12–52cov · o44.0

Waterloo West

#21 · 6-4

Marshalltown

#32 · 2-7

44–17cov · o47.5

Marion Linn-Mar

#14 · 7-3

Muscatine

#30 · 3-6

47–7cov · o49.0

Davenport Central

#33 · 2-7

Iowa City High

#13 · 6-3

7–49cov · o52.5

Urbandale

#19 · 3-6

Des Moines East

#35 · 3-6

42–0cov · u45.5

Lines are the model's projected margin, attached to the favorite. Match is a matchup score: higher for close games between good teams. BCMoore is Brent Moore’s published line for the same game, in the same notation. A second opinion, never an input.