Away		Home	Final	Total	Win prob	BCMoore	Match
5A Iowa City High #13 · 6-3	at	5A CR Kennedy #17 · 3-6	43–42push · over PK	51.5	51%	CR Kennedy -5.0	90
5A Muscatine #30 · 3-6	at	5A Davenport West #34 · 0-9	36–6no cov · under Davenport West -2.0	47.5	55%	PK	40

Friday, Sep 27

Away		Home	Final	Total	Win prob	BCMoore	Match
5A Johnston #1 · 8-3	at	5A Waukee #9 · 6-4	21–7no cov · under Waukee -3.0	52.0	58%	Johnston -4.5	94
5A Cedar Falls #11 · 5-5	at	5A Marion Linn-Mar #14 · 7-3	27–28no cov · over Cedar Falls -2.0	51.5	55%	Marion Linn-Mar -2.0	91
5A Iowa City West #15 · 6-5	at	5A Ankeny #6 · 6-5	22–38cov · over Ankeny -8.5	54.5	71%	Ankeny -1.0	82
5A CR Prairie #16 · 4-5	at	5A Iowa City Liberty #7 · 10-2	21–26no cov · under Iowa City Liberty -10.0	59.5	75%	Iowa City Liberty -14.0	79
5A Sioux City East #18 · 6-4	at	5A Southeast Polk #4 · 9-4	3–48cov · over Southeast Polk -17.0	46.5	87%	Southeast Polk -5.5	66
5A CR Jefferson #25 · 5-4	N	5A CR Washington #24 · 3-6	27–30no cov · over CR Jefferson -3.0	49.0	58%	CR Washington -5.5	58
5A Urbandale #19 · 3-6	at	5A Sioux City North #27 · 2-6	42–7cov · over Urbandale -15.5	44.0	85%	Urbandale -25.0	46
5A Waukee Northwest #10 · 4-5	at	5A Waterloo West #21 · 6-4	49–21cov · over Waukee Northwest -25.5	48.0	96%	Waukee Northwest -13.0	43
5A Bettendorf #12 · 8-2	at	5A Dubuque Hempstead #20 · 6-3	30–12no cov · under Bettendorf -29.0	49.5	97%	Bettendorf -37.0	37
5A Davenport North #23 · 5-4	at	5A Davenport Central #33 · 2-7	39–0cov · under Davenport North -11.0	47.5	77%	Davenport North -10.5	34
5A WDM Valley #5 · 10-3	at	5A Ames #26 · 1-8	49–14cov · over WDM Valley -31.5	56.0	98%	WDM Valley -36.5	32
5A Ottumwa #22 · 7-2	at	5A Marshalltown #32 · 2-7	42–28no cov · over Ottumwa -18.0	55.5	89%	Ottumwa -30.5	29
5A Dubuque Senior #29 · 1-8	at	5A Pleasant Valley #8 · 7-3	6–49cov · over Pleasant Valley -41.5	51.5	100%	Pleasant Valley -45.5	13
5A Des Moines Roosevelt #31 · 1-8	at	5A WDM Dowling #3 · 10-2	0–37no cov · under WDM Dowling -42.0	52.0	100%	WDM Dowling -51.5	12
5A Des Moines Lincoln #36 · 1-8	at	5A CB Lincoln #28 · 5-4	7–41cov · under CB Lincoln -24.0	52.0	95%	CB Lincoln -44.5	6
5A Ankeny Centennial #2 · 8-3	at	5A Des Moines East #35 · 3-6	44–7no cov · under Ankeny Centennial -60.0	70.0	100%	Ankeny Centennial -61.5	-25

Thursday, Sep 26

Iowa City High

#13 · 6-3

CR Kennedy

#17 · 3-6

43–42push · o51.5

Muscatine

#30 · 3-6

Davenport West

#34 · 0-9

36–6no cov · u47.5

Friday, Sep 27

Johnston

#1 · 8-3

Waukee

#9 · 6-4

21–7no cov · u52.0

Cedar Falls

#11 · 5-5

Marion Linn-Mar

#14 · 7-3

27–28no cov · o51.5

Iowa City West

#15 · 6-5

Ankeny

#6 · 6-5

22–38cov · o54.5

CR Prairie

#16 · 4-5

Iowa City Liberty

#7 · 10-2

21–26no cov · u59.5

Sioux City East

#18 · 6-4

Southeast Polk

#4 · 9-4

3–48cov · o46.5

CR Jefferson

#25 · 5-4

CR Washington

#24 · 3-6

27–30no cov · o49.0

Urbandale

#19 · 3-6

Sioux City North

#27 · 2-6

42–7cov · o44.0

Waukee Northwest

#10 · 4-5

Waterloo West

#21 · 6-4

49–21cov · o48.0

Bettendorf

#12 · 8-2

Dubuque Hempstead

#20 · 6-3

30–12no cov · u49.5

Davenport North

#23 · 5-4

Davenport Central

#33 · 2-7

39–0cov · u47.5

WDM Valley

#5 · 10-3

Ames

#26 · 1-8

49–14cov · o56.0

Ottumwa

#22 · 7-2

Marshalltown

#32 · 2-7

42–28no cov · o55.5

Dubuque Senior

#29 · 1-8

Pleasant Valley

#8 · 7-3

6–49cov · o51.5

Des Moines Roosevelt

#31 · 1-8

WDM Dowling

#3 · 10-2

0–37no cov · u52.0

Des Moines Lincoln

#36 · 1-8

CB Lincoln

#28 · 5-4

7–41cov · u52.0

Ankeny Centennial

#2 · 8-3

Des Moines East

#35 · 3-6

44–7no cov · u70.0

Lines are the model's projected margin, attached to the favorite. Match is a matchup score: higher for close games between good teams. BCMoore is Brent Moore’s published line for the same game, in the same notation. A second opinion, never an input.