Archive · 2021 season · final
Week 4
Upsets
Davenport North 23, Iowa City West 10
Iowa City West -25.5 · 96%
Waukee Northwest 31, Johnston 0
Johnston -10.5 · 76%
Sioux City Heelan 10, Sioux City North 27
Sioux City Heelan -7.0 · 68%
WDM Dowling 17, Iowa City High 21
WDM Dowling -3.0 · 58%
Our biggest misses
Waukee Northwest 31, Johnston 0
Johnston -10.5 · 41 off
Davenport North 23, Iowa City West 10
Iowa City West -25.5 · 39 off
Urbandale 30, Des Moines Roosevelt 0
Urbandale PK · 30 off
Dubuque Hempstead 35, Western Dubuque 65
Western Dubuque -2.0 · 28 off
Ottumwa 0, Burlington 42
Burlington -14.5 · 27 off
BCMoore's biggest misses
Sioux City Heelan 10, Sioux City North 27
Sioux City Heelan -20.5 · 37 off
Ankeny Centennial 14, Cedar Falls 28
Ankeny Centennial -23.5 · 37 off
Ames 49, Des Moines East 7
Ames -7.5 · 35 off
Des Moines Lincoln 6, Carlisle 35
Des Moines Lincoln -1.5 · 31 off
Davenport North 23, Iowa City West 10
Iowa City West -17.0 · 30 off
Thursday, Sep 16
| Away | Home | Final | Total | Win prob | BCMoore | Match | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5A CB Lincoln #30 · 4-5 | at | 5A Sioux City West #35 · 1-7 | 55–33no cov · over CB Lincoln -24.0 | 54.5 | 95% | CB Lincoln -35.5 | -12 |
Friday, Sep 17
Thursday, Sep 16
5A
CB Lincoln
#30 · 4-5
5A
Sioux City West
#35 · 1-7
55–33no cov · o54.5
Friday, Sep 17
5A
WDM Dowling
#3 · 7-4
5A
Iowa City High
#5 · 10-2
17–21no cov · u47.5
5A
Southeast Polk
#2 · 12-1
5A
Ankeny
#1 · 10-3
7–21cov · u46.5
5A
Urbandale
#11 · 7-3
5A
Des Moines Roosevelt
#19 · 5-4
30–0push · u45.0
5A
Ankeny Centennial
#10 · 4-6
5A
Cedar Falls
#12 · 6-4
14–28cov · u48.5
5A
Dubuque Hempstead
#16 · 4-5
4A
Western Dubuque
#11 · 4-5
35–65cov · o49.0
4A
CR Washington
#15 · 5-5
5A
Marion Linn-Mar
#9 · 7-3
7–36cov · u48.5
5A
Sioux City East
#18 · 5-4
3A
Sergeant Bluff-Luton
#7 · 8-3
7–35cov · u55.0
5A
Bettendorf
#14 · 4-5
5A
CR Prairie
#4 · 7-3
20–54cov · o44.5
5A
Waukee
#21 · 2-7
5A
WDM Valley
#6 · 9-3
6–35cov · u50.5
5A
Waukee Northwest
#15 · 5-5
5A
Johnston
#20 · 4-6
31–0no cov · u47.5
5A
Waterloo West
#22 · 4-5
5A
Dubuque Senior
#13 · 5-5
14–41cov · o49.5
5A
Des Moines Lincoln
#26 · 5-4
4A
Carlisle
#18 · 5-5
6–35cov · u54.5
4A
Fort Dodge
#13 · 7-3
5A
Marshalltown
#24 · 4-5
22–21no cov · u48.5
3A
Sioux City Heelan
#26 · 0-9
5A
Sioux City North
#28 · 5-3
10–27no cov · u49.0
5A
Davenport North
#23 · 4-5
5A
Iowa City West
#17 · 2-6
23–10no cov · u50.5
5A
Des Moines North
#32 · 1-8
4A
Waterloo East
#30 · 2-7
12–37cov · o46.0
5A
Pleasant Valley
#7 · 8-3
5A
Muscatine
#29 · 1-8
42–10cov · o46.5
5A
Ottumwa
#33 · 2-6
4A
Burlington
#25 · 7-3
0–42cov · u49.5
5A
Ames
#25 · 4-5
5A
Des Moines East
#34 · 2-7
49–7cov · o50.0
5A
Davenport Central
#27 · 3-6
5A
Davenport West
#31 · 1-8
17–7no cov · u49.0
Lines are the model's projected margin, attached to the favorite. Match is a matchup score: higher for close games between good teams. BCMoore is Brent Moore’s published line for the same game, in the same notation. A second opinion, never an input.