Archive · 2015 season · final
Playoffs Round 2
Upsets
Iowa City High 13, Pleasant Valley 7
Pleasant Valley -12.5 · 84%
CB Lewis Central 17, Ankeny 7
Ankeny -3.0 · 60%
CR Kennedy 21, CR Washington 7
CR Washington -2.0 · 57%
Johnston 28, Ankeny Centennial 10
Ankeny Centennial -1.0 · 53%
Our biggest misses
Eldridge North Scott 7, CR Kennedy 49
CR Kennedy -17.5 · 25 off
WDM Valley 42, Waukee 7
WDM Valley -11.5 · 24 off
CB Lewis Central 0, WDM Dowling 43
WDM Dowling -19.5 · 23 off
Johnston 28, Ankeny Centennial 10
Ankeny Centennial -1.0 · 19 off
Iowa City High 13, Pleasant Valley 7
Pleasant Valley -12.5 · 19 off
Monday, Nov 2
| Away | Home | Final | Total | Win prob | Match | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4A Johnston #6 · 9-3 | at | 4A Ankeny Centennial #11 · 8-3 | 28–10no cov · under Ankeny Centennial -1.0 | 47.0 | 53% | 96 |
4A CB Lewis Central #10 · 8-4 | at | 4A Ankeny #9 · 9-2 | 17–7no cov · under Ankeny -3.0 | 51.0 | 60% | 92 |
4A WDM Valley #2 · 10-3 | at | 4A Waukee #5 · 8-3 | 42–7cov · under WDM Valley -11.5 | 55.5 | 81% | 82 |
4A Southeast Polk #8 · 6-5 | at | 4A WDM Dowling #1 · 13-0 | 21–50cov · over WDM Dowling -16.0 | 55.0 | 90% | 75 |
4A CR Jefferson #17 · 7-4 | N | 4A CR Washington #4 · 10-2 | 21–42cov · over CR Washington -15.0 | 59.0 | 88% | 72 |
4A Iowa City West #18 · 4-7 | at | 4A Bettendorf #7 · 12-1 | 18–43cov · over Bettendorf -15.0 | 56.5 | 88% | 70 |
4A Iowa City High #22 · 8-4 | at | 4A Pleasant Valley #14 · 8-3 | 13–7no cov · under Pleasant Valley -12.5 | 50.5 | 84% | 69 |
4A Eldridge North Scott #20 · 5-6 | at | 4A CR Kennedy #3 · 13-1 | 7–49cov · over CR Kennedy -17.5 | 48.0 | 92% | 66 |
Friday, Nov 6
| Away | Home | Final | Total | Win prob | Match | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4A CR Kennedy #3 · 13-1 | N | 4A CR Washington #4 · 10-2 | 21–7no cov · under CR Washington -2.0 | 51.0 | 57% | 95 |
4A WDM Valley #2 · 10-3 | at | 4A Johnston #6 · 9-3 | 20–17no cov · under WDM Valley -16.0 | 49.0 | 90% | 75 |
4A CB Lewis Central #10 · 8-4 | at | 4A WDM Dowling #1 · 13-0 | 0–43cov · under WDM Dowling -19.5 | 55.0 | 94% | 69 |
4A Iowa City High #22 · 8-4 | at | 4A Bettendorf #7 · 12-1 | 7–31cov · under Bettendorf -19.5 | 54.5 | 94% | 61 |
Monday, Nov 2
4A
Johnston
#6 · 9-3
4A
Ankeny Centennial
#11 · 8-3
28–10no cov · u47.0
4A
CB Lewis Central
#10 · 8-4
4A
Ankeny
#9 · 9-2
17–7no cov · u51.0
4A
WDM Valley
#2 · 10-3
4A
Waukee
#5 · 8-3
42–7cov · u55.5
4A
Southeast Polk
#8 · 6-5
4A
WDM Dowling
#1 · 13-0
21–50cov · o55.0
4A
CR Jefferson
#17 · 7-4
4A
CR Washington
#4 · 10-2
21–42cov · o59.0
4A
Iowa City West
#18 · 4-7
4A
Bettendorf
#7 · 12-1
18–43cov · o56.5
4A
Iowa City High
#22 · 8-4
4A
Pleasant Valley
#14 · 8-3
13–7no cov · u50.5
4A
Eldridge North Scott
#20 · 5-6
4A
CR Kennedy
#3 · 13-1
7–49cov · o48.0
Friday, Nov 6
4A
CR Kennedy
#3 · 13-1
4A
CR Washington
#4 · 10-2
21–7no cov · u51.0
4A
WDM Valley
#2 · 10-3
4A
Johnston
#6 · 9-3
20–17no cov · u49.0
4A
CB Lewis Central
#10 · 8-4
4A
WDM Dowling
#1 · 13-0
0–43cov · u55.0
4A
Iowa City High
#22 · 8-4
4A
Bettendorf
#7 · 12-1
7–31cov · u54.5
Lines are the model's projected margin, attached to the favorite. Match is a matchup score: higher for close games between good teams.