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Archive · 2015 season · final

Playoffs Round 1

Upsets

Marion Linn-Mar 16, Iowa City High 26

Marion Linn-Mar -1.0 · 53%

CB Lewis Central 21, Urbandale 10

Urbandale -1.0 · 52%

Our biggest misses

Fort Dodge 0, Southeast Polk 42

Southeast Polk -3.0 · 39 off

Clinton 0, CR Kennedy 59

CR Kennedy -32.0 · 27 off

Indianola 7, Ankeny 49

Ankeny -19.0 · 23 off

Muscatine 14, Pleasant Valley 45

Pleasant Valley -9.0 · 22 off

Davenport North 13, Bettendorf 42

Bettendorf -50.0 · 21 off

Wednesday, Oct 28

Away		Home	Final	Total	Win prob	Match
4A CB Lewis Central #10 · 8-4	at	4A Urbandale #12 · 6-4	21–10no cov · under Urbandale -1.0	53.5	52%	94
4A Fort Dodge #13 · 7-3	at	4A Southeast Polk #8 · 6-5	0–42cov · under Southeast Polk -3.0	55.0	58%	91
4A Marion Linn-Mar #21 · 4-6	at	4A Iowa City High #22 · 8-4	16–26no cov · under Marion Linn-Mar -1.0	51.5	53%	83
4A CR Prairie #24 · 4-6	at	4A Iowa City West #18 · 4-7	20–35cov · under Iowa City West -3.5	58.0	60%	79
4A Sioux City East #15 · 5-5	at	4A Waukee #5 · 8-3	24–55cov · over Waukee -13.0	54.0	80%	76
4A Muscatine #23 · 6-4	at	4A Pleasant Valley #14 · 8-3	14–45cov · over Pleasant Valley -9.0	58.5	73%	74
4A Cedar Falls #16 · 6-4	at	4A CR Washington #4 · 10-2	21–28no cov · under CR Washington -16.5	53.5	86%	70
4A Dubuque Hempstead #28 · 6-4	at	4A Eldridge North Scott #20 · 5-6	17–42cov · over Eldridge North Scott -12.0	49.5	78%	59
4A Dubuque Senior #26 · 4-6	at	4A CR Jefferson #17 · 7-4	43–61cov · over CR Jefferson -14.5	54.0	83%	59
4A Indianola #25 · 5-5	at	4A Ankeny #9 · 9-2	7–49cov · over Ankeny -19.0	53.5	89%	58
4A Ames #19 · 4-6	at	4A WDM Valley #2 · 10-3	7–50cov · over WDM Valley -30.5	56.5	98%	47
4A Des Moines East #29 · 5-5	at	4A Ankeny Centennial #11 · 8-3	7–49cov · over Ankeny Centennial -28.0	54.5	97%	39
4A Clinton #31 · 5-5	at	4A CR Kennedy #3 · 13-1	0–59cov · over CR Kennedy -32.0	52.5	98%	32
4A Des Moines Hoover #33 · 6-4	at	4A Johnston #6 · 9-3	13–45no cov · over Johnston -36.5	48.5	99%	21
4A Davenport North #40 · 1-9	at	4A Bettendorf #7 · 12-1	13–42no cov · under Bettendorf -50.0	60.0	100%	-7
4A Des Moines Lincoln #37 · 4-6	at	4A WDM Dowling #1 · 13-0	0–64cov · under WDM Dowling -59.5	69.5	100%	-17

Wednesday, Oct 28

CB Lewis Central

#10 · 8-4

4A

#12 · 6-4

21–10no cov · u53.5

#13 · 7-3

4A

#8 · 6-5

0–42cov · u55.0

Marion Linn-Mar

#21 · 4-6

4A

#22 · 8-4

16–26no cov · u51.5

#24 · 4-6

4A

#18 · 4-7

20–35cov · u58.0

Sioux City East

#15 · 5-5

4A

#5 · 8-3

24–55cov · o54.0

#23 · 6-4

4A

Pleasant Valley

#14 · 8-3

14–45cov · o58.5

#16 · 6-4

4A

#4 · 10-2

21–28no cov · u53.5

Dubuque Hempstead

#28 · 6-4

4A

Eldridge North Scott

#20 · 5-6

17–42cov · o49.5

#26 · 4-6

4A

#17 · 7-4

43–61cov · o54.0

#25 · 5-5

4A

#9 · 9-2

7–49cov · o53.5

#19 · 4-6

4A

#2 · 10-3

7–50cov · o56.5

Des Moines East

#29 · 5-5

4A

Ankeny Centennial

#11 · 8-3

7–49cov · o54.5

#31 · 5-5

4A

#3 · 13-1

0–59cov · o52.5

Des Moines Hoover

#33 · 6-4

4A

#6 · 9-3

13–45no cov · o48.5

Davenport North

#40 · 1-9

4A

#7 · 12-1

13–42no cov · u60.0

Des Moines Lincoln

#37 · 4-6

4A

#1 · 13-0

0–64cov · u69.5

Lines are the model's projected margin, attached to the favorite. Match is a matchup score: higher for close games between good teams.