Archive · 2012 season · final
Week 1
Upsets
Des Moines Roosevelt 21, Des Moines Hoover 24
Des Moines Roosevelt -23.5 · 94%
Ottumwa 34, Keokuk 21
Keokuk -11.0 · 76%
Southeast Polk 12, WDM Dowling 35
Southeast Polk -10.5 · 75%
Johnston 38, Des Moines Lincoln 15
Des Moines Lincoln -7.5 · 69%
Iowa City West 49, Marion Linn-Mar 14
Marion Linn-Mar -5.0 · 63%
Our biggest misses
Iowa City West 49, Marion Linn-Mar 14
Marion Linn-Mar -5.0 · 40 off
Southeast Polk 12, WDM Dowling 35
Southeast Polk -10.5 · 33 off
CB Lincoln 0, CB Lewis Central 38
CB Lewis Central -4.5 · 33 off
Johnston 38, Des Moines Lincoln 15
Des Moines Lincoln -7.5 · 31 off
Waterloo East 40, Dubuque Wahlert 14
Dubuque Wahlert -3.5 · 30 off
Friday, Aug 17
| Away | Home | Final | Total | Win prob | Match | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4A Marshalltown #12 · 7-4 | at | 4A Ankeny #1 · 14-0 | 14–49cov · over Ankeny -12.5 | 53.5 | 79% | 78 |
4A WDM Dowling #5 · 9-3 | at | 4A Johnston #15 · 6-5 | 34–16cov · push WDM Dowling -13.5 | 50.0 | 81% | 74 |
4A Ames #24 · 5-5 | at | 4A Mason City #37 · 1-9 | 24–7cov · under Ames -6.0 | 50.5 | 65% | 56 |
4A WDM Valley #6 · 9-3 | at | 4A Ottumwa #31 · 4-6 | 27–0no cov · under WDM Valley -35.0 | 53.0 | 99% | 27 |
4A Indianola #30 · 6-5 | at | 4A Des Moines Hoover #46 · 1-8 | 42–18no cov · over Indianola -43.5 | 53.5 | 100% | -21 |
Thursday, Aug 23
| Away | Home | Final | Total | Win prob | Match | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4A CB Lincoln #36 · 3-7 | at | 3A CB Lewis Central #8 · 9-3 | 0–38cov · under CB Lewis Central -4.5 | 48.0 | 62% | 62 |
4A Clinton #32 · 2-7 | at | 4A Davenport North #45 · 0-9 | 34–20cov · over Clinton -9.0 | 53.0 | 72% | 25 |
Friday, Aug 24
Friday, Aug 17
4A
Marshalltown
#12 · 7-4
4A
Ankeny
#1 · 14-0
14–49cov · o53.5
4A
WDM Dowling
#5 · 9-3
4A
Johnston
#15 · 6-5
34–16cov · push50.0
4A
Ames
#24 · 5-5
4A
Mason City
#37 · 1-9
24–7cov · u50.5
4A
WDM Valley
#6 · 9-3
4A
Ottumwa
#31 · 4-6
27–0no cov · u53.0
4A
Indianola
#30 · 6-5
4A
Des Moines Hoover
#46 · 1-8
42–18no cov · o53.5
Thursday, Aug 23
4A
CB Lincoln
#36 · 3-7
3A
CB Lewis Central
#8 · 9-3
0–38cov · u48.0
4A
Clinton
#32 · 2-7
4A
Davenport North
#45 · 0-9
34–20cov · o53.0
Friday, Aug 24
4A
Sioux City East
#9 · 8-3
3A
Sioux City Heelan
#2 · 12-2
28–38push · o50.5
4A
Iowa City High
#21 · 4-6
4A
Cedar Falls
#8 · 11-2
14–28cov · u51.0
4A
Iowa City West
#4 · 10-1
4A
Marion Linn-Mar
#20 · 3-6
49–14no cov · o53.0
4A
Southeast Polk
#2 · 10-3
4A
WDM Dowling
#5 · 9-3
12–35no cov · u51.5
3A
Pella
#16 · 7-4
4A
Marshalltown
#12 · 7-4
7–31cov · u51.5
4A
Muscatine
#17 · 7-3
4A
Davenport Central
#26 · 4-6
41–31no cov · o53.5
4A
CR Kennedy
#16 · 5-6
4A
CR Washington
#22 · 3-6
6–17cov · u54.0
4A
Ames
#24 · 5-5
4A
Des Moines East
#27 · 6-4
63–47cov · o49.5
4A
WDM Valley
#6 · 9-3
4A
Waukee
#11 · 8-3
45–21cov · o51.5
4A
Dubuque Senior
#23 · 7-3
4A
Waterloo West
#28 · 3-7
21–20no cov · u51.5
4A
Bettendorf
#14 · 6-4
4A
Eldridge North Scott
#18 · 7-4
36–28no cov · o51.5
4A
Johnston
#15 · 6-5
4A
Des Moines Lincoln
#29 · 2-7
38–15no cov · push53.0
4A
Urbandale
#10 · 7-3
4A
Fort Dodge
#33 · 3-7
42–14cov · o51.0
4A
Waterloo East
#25 · 6-5
4A
Dubuque Wahlert
#38 · 1-8
40–14no cov · o52.5
4A
CR Jefferson
#40 · 1-8
4A
CR Prairie
#13 · 8-4
7–28cov · u51.5
4A
Dubuque Hempstead
#35 · 0-9
4A
CR Xavier
#3 · 13-1
7–48cov · o52.0
3A
Clear Lake
#7 · 8-3
4A
Mason City
#37 · 1-9
34–7cov · u49.5
4A
Davenport Assumption
#19 · 7-3
4A
Burlington
#39 · 3-7
21–0no cov · u52.5
4A
Des Moines North
#47 · 1-8
4A
CB Jefferson
#42 · 3-6
14–37cov · u52.0
4A
Davenport West
#43 · 1-8
4A
Pleasant Valley
#7 · 11-1
6–49no cov · u55.5
4A
Des Moines Roosevelt
#44 · 1-8
4A
Des Moines Hoover
#46 · 1-8
21–24no cov · u52.0
Lines are the model's projected margin, attached to the favorite. Match is a matchup score: higher for close games between good teams.