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Archive · 2011 season · final

Week 6

Upsets

Fort Dodge 28, Ames 20

Ames -5.5 · 65%

Our biggest misses

Muscatine 49, Davenport Central 17

Muscatine PK · 32 off

Mason City 6, Waukee 42

Waukee -13.5 · 22 off

Bettendorf 28, Eldridge North Scott 3

Bettendorf -3.0 · 22 off

Pleasant Valley 48, Burlington 6

Pleasant Valley -21.5 · 21 off

Cedar Falls 27, CR Xavier 7

Cedar Falls -1.0 · 19 off

Thursday, Sep 22

Away		Home	Final	Total	Win prob	Match
4A Iowa City High #8 · 8-3	at	4A CR Kennedy #18 · 5-5	34–13cov · under Iowa City High -17.0	51.5	86%	69
4A CB Lincoln #29 · 5-5	at	4A Sioux City West #44 · 1-7	51–17no cov · over CB Lincoln -35.5	48.0	99%	1
4A Davenport West #45 · 0-9	at	4A Davenport Assumption #17 · 7-3	0–55cov · under Davenport Assumption -49.5	59.5	100%	-16

Friday, Sep 23

Away		Home	Final	Total	Win prob	Match
4A WDM Dowling #6 · 9-3	at	4A Southeast Polk #1 · 10-2	9–27cov · under Southeast Polk -2.0	48.0	55%	96
4A Cedar Falls #7 · 11-2	at	4A CR Xavier #15 · 5-5	27–7cov · under Cedar Falls -1.0	48.5	53%	94
4A Bettendorf #4 · 12-2	at	4A Eldridge North Scott #14 · 9-2	28–3cov · under Bettendorf -3.0	49.0	58%	92
4A Muscatine #24 · 5-5	at	4A Davenport Central #22 · 4-6	49–17push · over PK	52.5	51%	84
4A Urbandale #19 · 6-5	at	4A Ankeny #3 · 11-2	13–28cov · under Ankeny -12.0	46.5	78%	77
4A Sioux City East #20 · 5-6	at	4A Sioux City North #33 · 4-7	27–20cov · under Sioux City East -2.5	52.5	57%	76
4A Fort Dodge #26 · 3-7	at	4A Ames #27 · 4-6	28–20no cov · over Ames -5.5	46.5	65%	72
4A Dubuque Hempstead #31 · 3-6	at	4A Dubuque Wahlert #25 · 5-5	28–32no cov · over Dubuque Wahlert -7.5	49.5	69%	67
4A Indianola #23 · 1-6	at	4A Johnston #21 · 4-6	7–14no cov · under Johnston -14.0	50.0	82%	65
4A Mason City #35 · 2-7	at	4A Waukee #16 · 6-4	6–42cov · under Waukee -13.5	49.0	81%	58
4A CR Washington #11 · 8-4	at	4A Dubuque Senior #36 · 1-8	35–10cov · under CR Washington -18.5	48.0	88%	51
4A Waterloo West #39 · 0-9	at	4A Waterloo East #28 · 5-5	7–26cov · under Waterloo East -10.5	51.0	75%	51
4A Marion Linn-Mar #5 · 10-1	at	4A CR Prairie #30 · 2-7	44–14cov · over Marion Linn-Mar -25.0	52.5	95%	50
4A Pleasant Valley #13 · 8-3	at	4A Burlington #41 · 2-7	48–6cov · over Pleasant Valley -21.5	51.0	92%	39
4A Iowa City West #9 · 9-3	at	4A CR Jefferson #38 · 0-9	63–14cov · over Iowa City West -30.5	51.0	98%	31
4A Davenport North #43 · 1-8	at	4A Clinton #37 · 3-7	21–35cov · over Clinton -11.0	52.0	77%	30
4A Des Moines Lincoln #10 · 9-2	at	4A Des Moines Roosevelt #40 · 3-7	39–13no cov · under Des Moines Lincoln -32.5	54.0	98%	26
4A Des Moines Hoover #47 · 0-8	at	4A Ottumwa #32 · 3-7	10–56cov · over Ottumwa -28.0	55.0	97%	1
4A Des Moines East #34 · 4-6	at	4A Des Moines North #46 · 1-8	36–7no cov · under Des Moines East -30.0	54.0	97%	1

Thursday, Sep 22

#8 · 8-3

4A

#18 · 5-5

34–13cov · u51.5

#29 · 5-5

4A

Sioux City West

#44 · 1-7

51–17no cov · o48.0

#45 · 0-9

4A

Davenport Assumption

#17 · 7-3

0–55cov · u59.5

Friday, Sep 23

#6 · 9-3

4A

#1 · 10-2

9–27cov · u48.0

#7 · 11-2

4A

#15 · 5-5

27–7cov · u48.5

#4 · 12-2

4A

Eldridge North Scott

#14 · 9-2

28–3cov · u49.0

#24 · 5-5

4A

Davenport Central

#22 · 4-6

49–17push · o52.5

#19 · 6-5

4A

#3 · 11-2

13–28cov · u46.5

Sioux City East

#20 · 5-6

4A

Sioux City North

#33 · 4-7

27–20cov · u52.5

#26 · 3-7

4A

#27 · 4-6

28–20no cov · o46.5

Dubuque Hempstead

#31 · 3-6

4A

Dubuque Wahlert

#25 · 5-5

28–32no cov · o49.5

#23 · 1-6

4A

#21 · 4-6

7–14no cov · u50.0

#35 · 2-7

4A

#16 · 6-4

6–42cov · u49.0

#11 · 8-4

4A

#36 · 1-8

35–10cov · u48.0

#39 · 0-9

4A

#28 · 5-5

7–26cov · u51.0

Marion Linn-Mar

#5 · 10-1

4A

#30 · 2-7

44–14cov · o52.5

Pleasant Valley

#13 · 8-3

4A

#41 · 2-7

48–6cov · o51.0

#9 · 9-3

4A

#38 · 0-9

63–14cov · o51.0

Davenport North

#43 · 1-8

4A

#37 · 3-7

21–35cov · o52.0

Des Moines Lincoln

#10 · 9-2

4A

Des Moines Roosevelt

#40 · 3-7

39–13no cov · u54.0

Des Moines Hoover

#47 · 0-8

4A

#32 · 3-7

10–56cov · o55.0

Des Moines East

#34 · 4-6

4A

Des Moines North

#46 · 1-8

36–7no cov · u54.0

Lines are the model's projected margin, attached to the favorite. Match is a matchup score: higher for close games between good teams.