Archive · 2004 season · final
Week 5
Upsets
Urbandale 21, Johnston 22
Urbandale -16.5 · 86%
Runnells SE Polk 24, WDM Dowling 6
WDM Dowling -8.5 · 71%
Sioux City West 23, Sioux City North 13
Sioux City North -6.5 · 66%
Ames 24, Marshalltown 19
Marshalltown -5.0 · 63%
Iowa City High 7, Iowa City West 17
Iowa City High -4.0 · 60%
Our biggest misses
Cedar Falls 35, CR Washington 0
Cedar Falls -5.0 · 30 off
Runnells SE Polk 24, WDM Dowling 6
WDM Dowling -8.5 · 27 off
Dubuque Senior 55, Waterloo East 18
Dubuque Senior -14.5 · 22 off
CB Jefferson 27, CB Lincoln 34
CB Lincoln -26.0 · 19 off
Des Moines Roosevelt 20, Des Moines East 21
Des Moines East -20.0 · 19 off
Thursday, Sep 30
| Away | Home | Final | Total | Win prob | Match | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4A Cedar Falls #7 · 10-1 | at | 4A CR Washington #13 · 4-5 | 35–0cov · under Cedar Falls -5.0 | 50.0 | 63% | 66 |
4A Sioux City Heelan #4 · 9-2 | at | 4A Sioux City East #29 · 5-4 | 38–7cov · under Sioux City Heelan -22.0 | 47.0 | 92% | 32 |
4A Pleasant Valley #15 · 7-3 | at | 4A Davenport West #42 · 2-7 | 34–6cov · under Pleasant Valley -25.5 | 41.5 | 95% | 4 |
Friday, Oct 1
Saturday, Oct 2
| Away | Home | Final | Total | Win prob | Match | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4A Bettendorf #2 · 13-0 | at | 4A Davenport Assumption #8 · 8-3 | 42–24cov · over Bettendorf -11.0 | 46.0 | 76% | 72 |
Thursday, Sep 30
4A
Cedar Falls
#7 · 10-1
4A
CR Washington
#13 · 4-5
35–0cov · u50.0
4A
Sioux City Heelan
#4 · 9-2
4A
Sioux City East
#29 · 5-4
38–7cov · u47.0
4A
Pleasant Valley
#15 · 7-3
4A
Davenport West
#42 · 2-7
34–6cov · u41.5
Friday, Oct 1
4A
Iowa City High
#9 · 9-3
4A
Iowa City West
#11 · 5-4
7–17no cov · u46.5
4A
Dubuque Wahlert
#12 · 6-4
4A
CR Prairie
#16 · 7-3
14–20push · u46.0
4A
Runnells SE Polk
#6 · 9-2
4A
WDM Dowling
#10 · 6-4
24–6no cov · u48.5
4A
Ames
#19 · 5-4
4A
Marshalltown
#17 · 6-3
24–19no cov · u48.5
4A
CR Xavier
#25 · 4-5
4A
Dubuque Hempstead
#24 · 5-4
0–6cov · u46.5
4A
WDM Valley
#1 · 12-1
4A
Newton
#23 · 4-5
28–7no cov · u49.5
4A
Waterloo West
#34 · 2-7
4A
CR Kennedy
#22 · 5-4
14–21no cov · u48.5
4A
Eldridge North Scott
#21 · 6-3
4A
Davenport North
#43 · 2-7
34–13cov · o42.0
4A
Des Moines Roosevelt
#30 · 4-5
4A
Des Moines East
#18 · 7-3
20–21no cov · u49.5
4A
Davenport Central
#36 · 2-7
4A
Burlington
#32 · 3-6
21–23no cov · u45.5
4A
CR Jefferson
#41 · 2-7
4A
Marion Linn-Mar
#27 · 5-4
29–47cov · o51.5
4A
Mason City
#40 · 0-9
4A
Fort Dodge
#28 · 3-6
13–27no cov · u46.0
4A
Sioux City West
#45 · 3-6
4A
Sioux City North
#44 · 0-9
23–13no cov · u41.5
4A
CB Jefferson
#37 · 3-6
4A
CB Lincoln
#20 · 6-4
27–34no cov · o50.0
4A
Dubuque Senior
#38 · 2-7
4A
Waterloo East
#47 · 0-9
55–18cov · o56.0
4A
Des Moines Hoover
#46 · 1-8
4A
Des Moines Lincoln
#33 · 5-4
0–42cov · u55.0
4A
Ottumwa
#3 · 8-2
4A
Des Moines North
#48 · 1-8
48–0no cov · u64.0
Saturday, Oct 2
4A
Bettendorf
#2 · 13-0
4A
Davenport Assumption
#8 · 8-3
42–24cov · o46.0
Lines are the model's projected margin, attached to the favorite. Match is a matchup score: higher for close games between good teams.