Archive · 1976 season · final
Week 3
Upsets
Iowa City West 28, Iowa City High 6
Iowa City High -7.5 · 69%
Ames 7, Mason City 6
Mason City -5.0 · 63%
Newton 6, Marshalltown 2
Marshalltown -3.0 · 57%
Clinton 21, Cedar Rapids Kennedy 16
Cedar Rapids Kennedy -1.0 · 52%
Our biggest misses
Sioux City East 54, Sioux City West 12
Sioux City East -4.0 · 38 off
Waterloo Central 0, Cedar Falls 35
Cedar Falls -5.5 · 30 off
Iowa City West 28, Iowa City High 6
Iowa City High -7.5 · 30 off
Sioux City Heelan 29, Carroll Kuemper 20
Sioux City Heelan -36.5 · 27 off
Waterloo West 39, Fort Dodge 3
Waterloo West -9.0 · 27 off
Thursday, Sep 23
| Away | Home | Final | Total | Win prob | Match | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4A Bettendorf #25 · 4-5 | at | 4A CR Washington #17 · 6-2 | 13–14no cov · under CR Washington -14.0 | 34.0 | 81% | 72 |
Friday, Sep 24
| Away | Home | Final | Total | Win prob | Match | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4A Newton #12 · 5-2 | at | 4A Marshalltown #11 · 4-3 | 6–2no cov · under Marshalltown -3.0 | 33.5 | 57% | 92 |
4A Sioux City East #5 · 3-3 | at | 4A Sioux City West #23 · 1-3 | 54–12cov · over Sioux City East -4.0 | 36.0 | 60% | 90 |
4A Clinton #20 · 5-4 | at | 4A Cedar Rapids Kennedy #32 · 2-7 | 21–16no cov · over Cedar Rapids Kennedy -1.0 | 34.0 | 52% | 89 |
4A Ames #19 · 5-4 | at | 4A Mason City #15 · 3-4 | 7–6no cov · under Mason City -5.0 | 30.0 | 63% | 87 |
4A Waterloo West #1 · 8-1 | at | 4A Fort Dodge #8 · 5-2 | 39–3cov · over Waterloo West -9.0 | 34.5 | 72% | 85 |
4A Davenport Central #4 · 8-0 | at | 2A Dubuque Wahlert #8 · 1-4 | 28–12cov · over Davenport Central -8.0 | 34.0 | 70% | 85 |
4A Waterloo Central #33 · 0-8 | at | 4A Cedar Falls #9 · 6-3 | 0–35cov · over Cedar Falls -5.5 | 28.5 | 63% | 83 |
4A Iowa City West #30 · 4-4 | at | 4A Iowa City High #21 · 3-6 | 28–6no cov · under Iowa City High -7.5 | 36.0 | 69% | 79 |
4A CR Jefferson #13 · 7-2 | at | 4A Muscatine #34 · 0-9 | 34–0cov · push CR Jefferson -24.0 | 34.0 | 94% | 39 |
Saturday, Sep 25
| Away | Home | Final | Total | Win prob | Match | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4A Sioux City Heelan #3 · 6-1 | at | 2A Carroll Kuemper #37 · 1-7 | 29–20no cov · over Sioux City Heelan -36.5 | 46.5 | 99% | 37 |
Thursday, Sep 23
4A
Bettendorf
#25 · 4-5
4A
CR Washington
#17 · 6-2
13–14no cov · u34.0
Friday, Sep 24
4A
Newton
#12 · 5-2
4A
Marshalltown
#11 · 4-3
6–2no cov · u33.5
4A
Sioux City East
#5 · 3-3
4A
Sioux City West
#23 · 1-3
54–12cov · o36.0
4A
Clinton
#20 · 5-4
4A
Cedar Rapids Kennedy
#32 · 2-7
21–16no cov · o34.0
4A
Ames
#19 · 5-4
4A
Mason City
#15 · 3-4
7–6no cov · u30.0
4A
Waterloo West
#1 · 8-1
4A
Fort Dodge
#8 · 5-2
39–3cov · o34.5
4A
Davenport Central
#4 · 8-0
2A
Dubuque Wahlert
#8 · 1-4
28–12cov · o34.0
4A
Waterloo Central
#33 · 0-8
4A
Cedar Falls
#9 · 6-3
0–35cov · o28.5
4A
Iowa City West
#30 · 4-4
4A
Iowa City High
#21 · 3-6
28–6no cov · u36.0
4A
CR Jefferson
#13 · 7-2
4A
Muscatine
#34 · 0-9
34–0cov · push34.0
Saturday, Sep 25
4A
Sioux City Heelan
#3 · 6-1
2A
Carroll Kuemper
#37 · 1-7
29–20no cov · o46.5
Lines are the model's projected margin, attached to the favorite. Match is a matchup score: higher for close games between good teams.