Matchup · 2026
Independence at Charles City
Projected line
Charles City at home · Fri Oct 23
Independence -22.0o/u 46.0
Independence 34 · Charles City 12
94%
If Independence hosted
Independence -24.0o/u 46.0
Charles City 11 · Independence 35
95%
If a neutral site
Independence -23.0o/u 46.0
Independence 34 · Charles City 11
95%
| Site | Line | Total | Win prob | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles City at home Scheduled · Fri Oct 23 | Independence -22.0 | 46.0 | 94% | Independence 34 · Charles City 12 |
| If Independence hosted | Independence -24.0 | 46.0 | 95% | Charles City 11 · Independence 35 |
| If a neutral site | Independence -23.0 | 46.0 | 95% | Independence 34 · Charles City 11 |
Line movement
Opened
Independence -20.0
Sep 5 · o/u 47.0
Now
Independence -22.0
live · o/u 45.5
Moves
11
Line move
+2.0
toward Independence · o/u -1.5
Sep 5 Independence -20.0 / 47.0Sep 12 Independence -19.0 / 45.0Sep 13 Independence -19.0 / 46.5Sep 20 Independence -23.0 / 45.5Sep 26 Independence -22.5 / 47.0Oct 3 Independence -22.0 / 45.5Oct 4 Independence -21.0 / 44.0Oct 9 Independence -21.0 / 44.5Oct 10 Independence -24.0 / 44.5Oct 11 Independence -24.5 / 44.5Oct 17 Independence -24.5 / 45.0Oct 18 Independence -22.0 / 45.5
Our line, captured three mornings a week; a point is added when the line or total moves half a point or more. The last point is the line as it stands right now, which is what the table above shows.
Series history
9–6
Independence leads
15
Meetings · 2002–2025
8–2
Last 10 · Independence
6
Independence streak
Biggest wins
Independence
42-0 · 2021+42
47-7 · 2022+40
49-13 · 2025+36
Charles City
29-0 · 2004+29
21-0 · 2016+21
28-7 · 2005+21
Runs & venue
Longest streak: Independence 6 straight, 2017–2025
Home team: 6-9
Playoff meetings: 0
Average margin: 21.9 · decided by 7 or less: 1
By decade · avg margin, Charles City view
| 2020s | 0-3 | -39.3 |
| 2010s | 3-5 | -4.8 |
| 2000s | 3-1 | +11.3 |
| Season | Result | Model line |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 Oct 24 | Independence 49-13 at Independence | Independence -41.0 no cover |
| 2022 Oct 7 | Independence 47-7 at Independence | Independence -37.5 covered |
| 2021 Oct 8 | Independence 42-0 at Charles City | Independence -29.0 covered |
| 2019 Oct 11 | Independence 30-7 at Independence | — — |
| 2018 Oct 5 | Independence 38-13 at Charles City | — — |
| 2017 Sep 22 | Independence 47-32 at Charles City | — — |
| 2016 Sep 23 | Charles City 21-0 at Independence | — — |
| 2015 Oct 9 | Independence 40-16 at Charles City | — — |
| 2014 Oct 10 | Independence 16-14 at Independence | — — |
| 2011 Sep 16 | Charles City 28-14 at Independence | — — |
| 2010 Sep 17 | Charles City 26-10 at Charles City | — — |
| 2005 Sep 30 | Charles City 28-7 at Charles City | — — |
| 2004 Oct 1 | Charles City 29-0 at Independence | — — |
| 2003 Sep 12 | Charles City 14-6 at Independence | — — |
| 2002 Sep 13 | Independence 19-6 at Charles City | — — |
Every recorded meeting in Brent Moore's all-time archive. Model lines appear for seasons whose archive pages have been built (2021 on, plus any older season you have opened).