Matchup · 2026
Ames at Johnston
This season
Final
Ames 0 · Johnston 38
Our line before the week
Johnston -50.0no cover
Total
60.0under
If they played today
Johnston at home
Johnston -50.5o/u 60.5
Ames 5 · Johnston 56
>99%
Ames at home
Johnston -48.5o/u 58.5
Johnston 54 · Ames 5
>99%
Neutral site
Johnston -49.5o/u 59.5
Ames 5 · Johnston 55
>99%
| Site | Line | Total | Win prob | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnston at home | Johnston -50.5 | 60.5 | >99% | Ames 5 · Johnston 56 |
| Ames at home | Johnston -48.5 | 58.5 | >99% | Johnston 54 · Ames 5 |
| Neutral site | Johnston -49.5 | 59.5 | >99% | Ames 5 · Johnston 55 |
Computed from today's ratings, which already include the result above — so this is what the line would be if they met again now, not a forecast of the game that was played.
Line movement
Opened
Johnston -50.0
Sep 5 · o/u 60.0
Closed
Johnston -50.0
last capture before kickoff · o/u 60.0
Moves
0
Line move
0.0
unmoved · o/u 0.0
Our line, captured three mornings a week; a point is added when the line or total moves half a point or more.
Series history
7–3
Johnston leads
10
Meetings · 1998–2026
7–3
Last 10 · Johnston
4
Johnston streak
Biggest wins
Ames
41-7 · 2013+34
37-6 · 1998+31
40-13 · 1999+27
Johnston
38-0 · 2026+38
62-24 · 2012+38
49-14 · 2025+35
Runs & venue
Longest streak: Johnston 4 straight, 2021–2026
Home team: 6-4
Playoff meetings: 0
Average margin: 27.7 · decided by 7 or less: 0
By decade · avg margin, Johnston view
| 2020s | 4-0 | +28.3 |
| 2010s | 1-1 | +2.0 |
| 2000s | 2-0 | +17.0 |
| 1990s | 0-2 | -29.0 |
| Season | Result | Model line |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 Sep 11 | Johnston 38-0 at Johnston | Johnston -50.0 no cover |
| 2025 Sep 12 | Johnston 49-14 at Ames | Johnston -41.0 no cover |
| 2022 Oct 21 | Johnston 31-9 at Ames | Johnston -6.5 covered |
| 2021 Oct 22 | Johnston 37-19 at Johnston | Johnston -9.5 covered |
| 2013 Oct 25 | Ames 41-7 at Ames | — — |
| 2012 Oct 19 | Johnston 62-24 at Johnston | — — |
| 2009 Aug 28 | Johnston 30-17 at Ames | — — |
| 2008 Aug 29 | Johnston 35-14 at Johnston | — — |
| 1999 Oct 15 | Ames 40-13 at Johnston | — — |
| 1998 Oct 16 | Ames 37-6 at Ames | — — |
Every recorded meeting in Brent Moore's all-time archive. Model lines appear for seasons whose archive pages have been built (2021 on, plus any older season you have opened).