Away		Home	Final	Total	Win prob	BCMoore	Match
5A Ottumwa #30 · 4-5	at	5A Des Moines Roosevelt #32 · 2-7	20–18no cov · under Ottumwa -4.5	51.0	61%	Ottumwa -13.5	46
5A Indianola #16 · 6-4	at	5A Sioux City North #29 · 1-8	38–0cov · under Indianola -29.0	50.5	97%	Indianola -39.5	29

Friday, Oct 17

Away		Home	Final	Total	Win prob	BCMoore	Match
5A Johnston #7 · 8-3	at	5A Southeast Polk #6 · 6-5	38–37no cov · over Southeast Polk -1.0	52.5	53%	Johnston -1.0	96
5A WDM Valley #3 · 9-3	at	5A Ankeny #5 · 7-3	26–34no cov · over WDM Valley -4.5	49.0	62%	WDM Valley -8.0	92
5A Iowa City West #8 · 8-3	at	5A CR Prairie #10 · 6-4	31–45no cov · over Iowa City West -4.0	57.0	61%	CR Prairie -2.0	91
5A CR Kennedy #19 · 3-6	at	5A Bettendorf #18 · 4-5	9–17cov · under Bettendorf -2.5	45.5	57%	CR Kennedy -1.0	84
5A Norwalk #17 · 5-4	at	5A Urbandale #21 · 4-5	20–13cov · under Norwalk -3.0	52.0	58%	Norwalk -2.5	83
5A Ankeny Centennial #9 · 5-5	at	5A WDM Dowling #1 · 12-1	10–27cov · under WDM Dowling -13.0	47.5	81%	WDM Dowling -18.5	79
5A Cedar Falls #11 · 7-3	at	5A Marion Linn-Mar #15 · 4-5	13–21no cov · under Cedar Falls -11.5	48.5	78%	Cedar Falls -14.0	76
5A Waukee #12 · 4-6	at	5A Waukee Northwest #2 · 10-2	31–28no cov · over Waukee Northwest -18.5	54.0	89%	Waukee Northwest -29.0	70
5A CR Jefferson #26 · 1-8	at	5A Dubuque Hempstead #25 · 3-6	48–56cov · over Dubuque Hempstead -2.5	56.0	57%	Dubuque Hempstead -10.5	64
5A Dubuque Senior #23 · 5-4	at	5A Pleasant Valley #13 · 5-4	14–45cov · over Pleasant Valley -15.5	48.0	85%	Pleasant Valley -6.0	64
5A Iowa City High #22 · 2-7	at	5A Iowa City Liberty #4 · 11-2	29–48no cov · over Iowa City Liberty -28.0	57.0	97%	Iowa City Liberty -41.5	50
5A Davenport Central #33 · 1-8	at	5A Muscatine #34 · 1-8	28–31push · over PK	52.5	51%	PK	44
5A Marshalltown #28 · 3-6	at	5A Waterloo West #24 · 5-5	13–45cov · over Waterloo West -18.5	54.5	89%	Waterloo West -26.0	40
5A CB Lincoln #27 · 4-5	at	5A Sioux City East #14 · 9-2	7–48cov · over Sioux City East -27.0	49.5	97%	Sioux City East -35.5	36
5A Des Moines East #36 · 1-8	at	5A Des Moines Lincoln #35 · 3-6	36–43cov · over Des Moines Lincoln -1.5	53.0	54%	Des Moines Lincoln -8.5	35
5A Ames #31 · 1-8	at	5A Dallas Center-Grimes #20 · 7-3	3–45cov · under Dallas Center-Grimes -28.0	50.0	97%	Dallas Center-Grimes -40.0	28

Thursday, Oct 16

Ottumwa

#30 · 4-5

Des Moines Roosevelt

#32 · 2-7

20–18no cov · u51.0

Indianola

#16 · 6-4

Sioux City North

#29 · 1-8

38–0cov · u50.5

Friday, Oct 17

Johnston

#7 · 8-3

Southeast Polk

#6 · 6-5

38–37no cov · o52.5

WDM Valley

#3 · 9-3

Ankeny

#5 · 7-3

26–34no cov · o49.0

Iowa City West

#8 · 8-3

CR Prairie

#10 · 6-4

31–45no cov · o57.0

CR Kennedy

#19 · 3-6

Bettendorf

#18 · 4-5

9–17cov · u45.5

Norwalk

#17 · 5-4

Urbandale

#21 · 4-5

20–13cov · u52.0

Ankeny Centennial

#9 · 5-5

WDM Dowling

#1 · 12-1

10–27cov · u47.5

Cedar Falls

#11 · 7-3

Marion Linn-Mar

#15 · 4-5

13–21no cov · u48.5

Waukee

#12 · 4-6

Waukee Northwest

#2 · 10-2

31–28no cov · o54.0

CR Jefferson

#26 · 1-8

Dubuque Hempstead

#25 · 3-6

48–56cov · o56.0

Dubuque Senior

#23 · 5-4

Pleasant Valley

#13 · 5-4

14–45cov · o48.0

Iowa City High

#22 · 2-7

Iowa City Liberty

#4 · 11-2

29–48no cov · o57.0

Davenport Central

#33 · 1-8

Muscatine

#34 · 1-8

28–31push · o52.5

Marshalltown

#28 · 3-6

Waterloo West

#24 · 5-5

13–45cov · o54.5

CB Lincoln

#27 · 4-5

Sioux City East

#14 · 9-2

7–48cov · o49.5

Des Moines East

#36 · 1-8

Des Moines Lincoln

#35 · 3-6

36–43cov · o53.0

Ames

#31 · 1-8

Dallas Center-Grimes

#20 · 7-3

3–45cov · u50.0

Lines are the model's projected margin, attached to the favorite. Match is a matchup score: higher for close games between good teams. BCMoore is Brent Moore’s published line for the same game, in the same notation. A second opinion, never an input.