Away		Home	Final	Total	Win prob	BCMoore	Match
5A CR Prairie #10 · 6-4	at	5A CR Jefferson #26 · 1-8	49–21no cov · over CR Prairie -28.5	52.5	97%	CR Prairie -30.0	38
5A Sioux City North #29 · 1-8	at	5A Des Moines Lincoln #35 · 3-6	33–39no cov · over Sioux City North -8.0	49.0	70%	Sioux City North -19.5	34
5A Marion Linn-Mar #15 · 4-5	at	5A Davenport Central #33 · 1-8	41–10cov · over Marion Linn-Mar -28.5	46.0	97%	Marion Linn-Mar -7.5	25

Friday, Sep 26

Away		Home	Final	Total	Win prob	BCMoore	Match
5A Iowa City Liberty #4 · 11-2	at	5A Iowa City West #8 · 8-3	44–31no cov · over Iowa City West -3.5	54.0	59%	Iowa City West -14.0	93
5A Norwalk #17 · 5-4	at	5A Iowa City High #22 · 2-7	40–19push · over PK	51.5	52%	Iowa City High -1.5	86
5A Waukee #12 · 4-6	at	5A Dallas Center-Grimes #20 · 7-3	28–29no cov · over Waukee -11.0	48.5	77%	PK	74
5A Ankeny Centennial #9 · 5-5	at	5A Urbandale #21 · 4-5	42–0cov · under Ankeny Centennial -13.5	50.5	82%	PK	70
5A Sioux City East #14 · 9-2	at	5A Ankeny #5 · 7-3	20–26no cov · under Ankeny -19.5	51.0	91%	Ankeny -6.0	67
5A WDM Valley #3 · 9-3	at	5A Indianola #16 · 6-4	24–0cov · under WDM Valley -22.5	51.5	94%	WDM Valley -20.0	61
5A Bettendorf #18 · 4-5	at	5A Dubuque Senior #23 · 5-4	16–34no cov · over Bettendorf -18.5	45.5	89%	Bettendorf -16.0	57
5A Ames #31 · 1-8	at	5A Des Moines Roosevelt #32 · 2-7	14–20cov · under Des Moines Roosevelt -3.0	56.0	58%	Des Moines Roosevelt -9.0	47
5A Dubuque Hempstead #25 · 3-6	at	5A Cedar Falls #11 · 7-3	13–56cov · over Cedar Falls -26.5	54.0	96%	Cedar Falls -27.0	43
5A CR Kennedy #19 · 3-6	at	5A Marshalltown #28 · 3-6	49–0cov · under CR Kennedy -24.0	52.5	95%	CR Kennedy -22.0	37
5A Waterloo West #24 · 5-5	at	5A WDM Dowling #1 · 12-1	7–55cov · over WDM Dowling -39.0	53.5	100%	WDM Dowling -50.0	31
5A Johnston #7 · 8-3	at	5A CB Lincoln #27 · 4-5	49–7cov · over Johnston -35.5	48.5	99%	Johnston -7.0	26
5A Ottumwa #30 · 4-5	at	5A Southeast Polk #6 · 6-5	6–70cov · over Southeast Polk -34.5	52.0	99%	Southeast Polk -35.5	24
5A Muscatine #34 · 1-8	at	5A Pleasant Valley #13 · 5-4	6–56cov · over Pleasant Valley -45.5	55.5	100%	Pleasant Valley -48.0	1
5A Des Moines East #36 · 1-8	at	5A Waukee Northwest #2 · 10-2	6–63no cov · over Waukee Northwest -57.5	67.5	100%	Waukee Northwest -76.0	-18

Thursday, Sep 25

CR Prairie

#10 · 6-4

CR Jefferson

#26 · 1-8

49–21no cov · o52.5

Sioux City North

#29 · 1-8

Des Moines Lincoln

#35 · 3-6

33–39no cov · o49.0

Marion Linn-Mar

#15 · 4-5

Davenport Central

#33 · 1-8

41–10cov · o46.0

Friday, Sep 26

Iowa City Liberty

#4 · 11-2

Iowa City West

#8 · 8-3

44–31no cov · o54.0

Norwalk

#17 · 5-4

Iowa City High

#22 · 2-7

40–19push · o51.5

Waukee

#12 · 4-6

Dallas Center-Grimes

#20 · 7-3

28–29no cov · o48.5

Ankeny Centennial

#9 · 5-5

Urbandale

#21 · 4-5

42–0cov · u50.5

Sioux City East

#14 · 9-2

Ankeny

#5 · 7-3

20–26no cov · u51.0

WDM Valley

#3 · 9-3

Indianola

#16 · 6-4

24–0cov · u51.5

Bettendorf

#18 · 4-5

Dubuque Senior

#23 · 5-4

16–34no cov · o45.5

Ames

#31 · 1-8

Des Moines Roosevelt

#32 · 2-7

14–20cov · u56.0

Dubuque Hempstead

#25 · 3-6

Cedar Falls

#11 · 7-3

13–56cov · o54.0

CR Kennedy

#19 · 3-6

Marshalltown

#28 · 3-6

49–0cov · u52.5

Waterloo West

#24 · 5-5

WDM Dowling

#1 · 12-1

7–55cov · o53.5

Johnston

#7 · 8-3

CB Lincoln

#27 · 4-5

49–7cov · o48.5

Ottumwa

#30 · 4-5

Southeast Polk

#6 · 6-5

6–70cov · o52.0

Muscatine

#34 · 1-8

Pleasant Valley

#13 · 5-4

6–56cov · o55.5

Des Moines East

#36 · 1-8

Waukee Northwest

#2 · 10-2

6–63no cov · o67.5

Lines are the model's projected margin, attached to the favorite. Match is a matchup score: higher for close games between good teams. BCMoore is Brent Moore’s published line for the same game, in the same notation. A second opinion, never an input.