Archive · 2024 season · final
Playoffs Round 1
Our biggest misses
Marion Linn-Mar 21, Ankeny 47
Ankeny -8.0 · 18 off
Sioux City East 28, WDM Valley 31
WDM Valley -20.5 · 17 off
Waukee 14, Iowa City Liberty 31
Waukee PK · 17 off
Cedar Falls 21, WDM Dowling 41
WDM Dowling -6.0 · 14 off
Iowa City High 28, Ankeny Centennial 52
Ankeny Centennial -13.0 · 11 off
BCMoore's biggest misses
Sioux City East 28, WDM Valley 31
WDM Valley -29.5 · 26 off
Marion Linn-Mar 21, Ankeny 47
Ankeny -7.5 · 19 off
Cedar Falls 21, WDM Dowling 41
WDM Dowling -3.0 · 17 off
Southeast Polk 24, Pleasant Valley 21
Pleasant Valley -5.0 · 8 off
Waukee 14, Iowa City Liberty 31
Iowa City Liberty -9.5 · 7 off
Friday, Nov 1
| Away | Home | Final | Total | Win prob | BCMoore | Match | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5A Waukee #9 · 6-4 | at | 5A Iowa City Liberty #7 · 10-2 | 14–31push · under PK | 61.0 | 51% | Iowa City Liberty -9.5 | 96 |
5A Southeast Polk #4 · 9-4 | at | 5A Pleasant Valley #8 · 7-3 | 24–21cov · under Southeast Polk -1.0 | 56.5 | 54% | Pleasant Valley -5.0 | 96 |
5A Iowa City West #15 · 6-5 | at | 5A Bettendorf #12 · 8-2 | 21–16no cov · under Bettendorf -2.5 | 61.0 | 58% | Iowa City West -2.0 | 89 |
5A Cedar Falls #11 · 5-5 | N | 5A WDM Dowling #3 · 10-2 | 21–41cov · over WDM Dowling -6.0 | 55.5 | 68% | WDM Dowling -3.0 | 89 |
5A Marion Linn-Mar #14 · 7-3 | at | 5A Ankeny #6 · 6-5 | 21–47cov · over Ankeny -8.0 | 47.0 | 74% | Ankeny -7.5 | 83 |
5A Iowa City High #13 · 6-3 | at | 5A Ankeny Centennial #2 · 8-3 | 28–52cov · over Ankeny Centennial -13.0 | 57.5 | 85% | Ankeny Centennial -19.0 | 77 |
5A Sioux City East #18 · 6-4 | at | 5A WDM Valley #5 · 10-3 | 28–31no cov · over WDM Valley -20.5 | 54.0 | 95% | WDM Valley -29.5 | 61 |
5A Waterloo West #21 · 6-4 | at | 5A Johnston #1 · 8-3 | 14–49no cov · over Johnston -40.0 | 50.0 | >99% | Johnston -41.0 | 23 |
Friday, Nov 1
5A
Waukee
#9 · 6-4
5A
Iowa City Liberty
#7 · 10-2
14–31push · u61.0
5A
Southeast Polk
#4 · 9-4
5A
Pleasant Valley
#8 · 7-3
24–21cov · u56.5
5A
Iowa City West
#15 · 6-5
5A
Bettendorf
#12 · 8-2
21–16no cov · u61.0
5A
Cedar Falls
#11 · 5-5
5A
WDM Dowling
#3 · 10-2
21–41cov · o55.5
5A
Marion Linn-Mar
#14 · 7-3
5A
Ankeny
#6 · 6-5
21–47cov · o47.0
5A
Iowa City High
#13 · 6-3
5A
Ankeny Centennial
#2 · 8-3
28–52cov · o57.5
5A
Sioux City East
#18 · 6-4
5A
WDM Valley
#5 · 10-3
28–31no cov · o54.0
5A
Waterloo West
#21 · 6-4
5A
Johnston
#1 · 8-3
14–49no cov · o50.0
Lines are the model's projected margin, attached to the favorite. Match is a matchup score: higher for close games between good teams. BCMoore is Brent Moore’s published line for the same game, in the same notation. A second opinion, never an input.