Away		Home	Final	Total	Win prob	BCMoore	Match
5A CR Washington #29 · 1-8	at	5A Davenport West #23 · 5-4	20–28no cov · over CR Washington -1.5	45.0	54%	Davenport West -8.5	42
5A Ottumwa #33 · 4-5	at	5A Des Moines Lincoln #32 · 3-6	29–12push · under PK	50.0	52%	Des Moines Lincoln -9.0	28

Friday, Sep 8

Away		Home	Final	Total	Win prob	BCMoore	Match
5A WDM Valley #7 · 6-6	at	5A Johnston #8 · 5-5	9–21no cov · under WDM Valley -4.0	45.0	60%	WDM Valley -9.5	87
5A Cedar Falls #11 · 7-4	at	5A Ankeny Centennial #3 · 7-5	13–42cov · over Ankeny Centennial -6.5	49.0	67%	Cedar Falls -4.0	84
5A Pleasant Valley #10 · 8-2	at	5A Iowa City Liberty #14 · 4-5	56–39no cov · over Iowa City Liberty -3.5	52.0	59%	Iowa City Liberty -6.0	84
5A Ankeny #5 · 9-4	at	5A WDM Dowling #2 · 9-2	14–35cov · under WDM Dowling -14.5	51.0	84%	WDM Dowling -27.0	76
5A CR Kennedy #6 · 6-4	at	5A Marion Linn-Mar #16 · 4-6	34–0no cov · under Marion Linn-Mar -9.5	53.0	73%	Marion Linn-Mar -18.5	73
5A Bettendorf #12 · 8-3	at	5A Urbandale #19 · 4-5	48–10cov · over Bettendorf -8.0	46.5	70%	Bettendorf -20.0	67
5A Waukee #9 · 8-3	at	5A Sioux City North #21 · 2-6	42–0cov · under Waukee -13.5	47.5	82%	Waukee -13.5	57
5A Iowa City High #13 · 6-3	at	5A Ames #20 · 3-6	49–28cov · over Iowa City High -14.0	52.0	83%	Iowa City High -4.0	57
5A Sioux City East #18 · 5-5	at	3A Bishop Heelan #13 · 11-2	21–29no cov · over Sioux City East -13.5	48.0	82%	—	56
5A CR Prairie #15 · 5-5	at	5A Southeast Polk #1 · 13-0	7–42cov · under Southeast Polk -24.0	52.5	95%	Southeast Polk -26.5	55
5A Des Moines Roosevelt #22 · 4-5	at	5A Waukee Northwest #4 · 7-3	14–51cov · over Waukee Northwest -21.0	50.5	92%	Waukee Northwest -12.5	44
5A Davenport North #26 · 2-7	at	5A Marshalltown #30 · 2-7	35–21cov · over Davenport North -1.0	47.0	53%	Davenport North -14.0	34
5A Dubuque Senior #28 · 2-7	at	5A Dubuque Hempstead #25 · 5-4	7–28cov · under Dubuque Hempstead -7.0	51.5	68%	Dubuque Hempstead -28.0	29
5A Muscatine #24 · 4-5	at	5A Iowa City West #17 · 4-5	20–42cov · over Iowa City West -21.0	51.5	92%	Iowa City West -21.5	28
4A Des Moines North #34 · 2-7	at	5A CR Jefferson #31 · 4-5	8–41cov · under CR Jefferson -2.5	50.0	57%	CR Jefferson -27.0	18
5A CB Lincoln #34 · 2-7	at	5A Des Moines East #36 · 0-9	40–20cov · over CB Lincoln -5.0	48.0	63%	CB Lincoln -10.5	10
5A Waterloo West #27 · 4-5	at	5A Davenport Central #35 · 2-7	28–23no cov · over Waterloo West -17.5	49.5	88%	Waterloo West -13.5	-0

Thursday, Sep 7

CR Washington

#29 · 1-8

Davenport West

#23 · 5-4

20–28no cov · o45.0

Ottumwa

#33 · 4-5

Des Moines Lincoln

#32 · 3-6

29–12push · u50.0

Friday, Sep 8

WDM Valley

#7 · 6-6

Johnston

#8 · 5-5

9–21no cov · u45.0

Cedar Falls

#11 · 7-4

Ankeny Centennial

#3 · 7-5

13–42cov · o49.0

Pleasant Valley

#10 · 8-2

Iowa City Liberty

#14 · 4-5

56–39no cov · o52.0

Ankeny

#5 · 9-4

WDM Dowling

#2 · 9-2

14–35cov · u51.0

CR Kennedy

#6 · 6-4

Marion Linn-Mar

#16 · 4-6

34–0no cov · u53.0

Bettendorf

#12 · 8-3

Urbandale

#19 · 4-5

48–10cov · o46.5

Waukee

#9 · 8-3

Sioux City North

#21 · 2-6

42–0cov · u47.5

Iowa City High

#13 · 6-3

Ames

#20 · 3-6

49–28cov · o52.0

Sioux City East

#18 · 5-5

Bishop Heelan

#13 · 11-2

21–29no cov · o48.0

CR Prairie

#15 · 5-5

Southeast Polk

#1 · 13-0

7–42cov · u52.5

Des Moines Roosevelt

#22 · 4-5

Waukee Northwest

#4 · 7-3

14–51cov · o50.5

Davenport North

#26 · 2-7

Marshalltown

#30 · 2-7

35–21cov · o47.0

Dubuque Senior

#28 · 2-7

Dubuque Hempstead

#25 · 5-4

7–28cov · u51.5

Muscatine

#24 · 4-5

Iowa City West

#17 · 4-5

20–42cov · o51.5

Des Moines North

#34 · 2-7

CR Jefferson

#31 · 4-5

8–41cov · u50.0

CB Lincoln

#34 · 2-7

Des Moines East

#36 · 0-9

40–20cov · o48.0

Waterloo West

#27 · 4-5

Davenport Central

#35 · 2-7

28–23no cov · o49.5

Lines are the model's projected margin, attached to the favorite. Match is a matchup score: higher for close games between good teams. BCMoore is Brent Moore’s published line for the same game, in the same notation. A second opinion, never an input.