Away		Home	Final	Total	Win prob	BCMoore	Match
5A Ankeny Centennial #3 · 7-5	at	5A Waukee Northwest #4 · 7-3	35–7no cov · under Waukee Northwest -1.5	47.5	54%	PK	96
5A Johnston #8 · 5-5	at	5A Ankeny #5 · 9-4	9–21cov · under Ankeny -1.0	48.0	53%	Ankeny -1.0	92
5A WDM Valley #7 · 6-6	at	5A Pleasant Valley #10 · 8-2	31–21no cov · under Pleasant Valley -1.0	53.5	52%	Pleasant Valley -1.5	91
5A Iowa City High #13 · 6-3	at	5A Bettendorf #12 · 8-3	21–32cov · under Bettendorf -1.5	53.5	54%	Bettendorf -6.5	87
5A CR Kennedy #6 · 6-4	at	5A Cedar Falls #11 · 7-4	26–30no cov · over CR Kennedy -6.5	49.0	67%	CR Kennedy -11.0	83
5A CR Prairie #15 · 5-5	at	5A Waukee #9 · 8-3	10–21push · under Waukee -11.0	48.5	77%	Waukee -13.5	71
5A Marion Linn-Mar #16 · 4-6	at	5A Southeast Polk #1 · 13-0	9–49cov · over Southeast Polk -30.0	50.0	98%	Southeast Polk -35.0	44
5A Sioux City East #18 · 5-5	N	5A WDM Dowling #2 · 9-2	0–45cov · under WDM Dowling -30.0	53.0	98%	WDM Dowling -41.5	41

Friday, Oct 27

Ankeny Centennial

#3 · 7-5

Waukee Northwest

#4 · 7-3

35–7no cov · u47.5

Johnston

#8 · 5-5

Ankeny

#5 · 9-4

9–21cov · u48.0

WDM Valley

#7 · 6-6

Pleasant Valley

#10 · 8-2

31–21no cov · u53.5

Iowa City High

#13 · 6-3

Bettendorf

#12 · 8-3

21–32cov · u53.5

CR Kennedy

#6 · 6-4

Cedar Falls

#11 · 7-4

26–30no cov · o49.0

CR Prairie

#15 · 5-5

Waukee

#9 · 8-3

10–21push · u48.5

Marion Linn-Mar

#16 · 4-6

Southeast Polk

#1 · 13-0

9–49cov · o50.0

Sioux City East

#18 · 5-5

WDM Dowling

#2 · 9-2

0–45cov · u53.0

Lines are the model's projected margin, attached to the favorite. Match is a matchup score: higher for close games between good teams. BCMoore is Brent Moore’s published line for the same game, in the same notation. A second opinion, never an input.