Away		Home	Final	Total	Win prob	BCMoore	Match
5A WDM Dowling #3 · 7-4	at	5A WDM Valley #6 · 9-3	31–27cov · over WDM Dowling -3.0	51.5	58%	WDM Dowling -2.5	92
5A Cedar Falls #12 · 6-4	at	5A Bettendorf #14 · 4-5	0–28no cov · under Cedar Falls -7.5	47.5	69%	Cedar Falls -9.0	74
5A Sioux City East #18 · 5-4	at	5A Des Moines Roosevelt #19 · 5-4	26–47push · over PK	48.0	52%	Sioux City East -12.0	73
5A Southeast Polk #2 · 12-1	at	5A Ankeny Centennial #10 · 4-6	16–0no cov · under Southeast Polk -16.5	42.5	87%	Southeast Polk -14.0	69
5A Ankeny #1 · 10-3	at	5A Waukee Northwest #15 · 5-5	48–7cov · over Ankeny -19.0	49.5	90%	Ankeny -6.5	63
5A Dubuque Hempstead #16 · 4-5	at	5A Waterloo West #22 · 4-5	28–14cov · under Dubuque Hempstead -11.0	57.0	77%	Dubuque Hempstead -3.0	57
5A Waukee #21 · 2-7	at	5A Urbandale #11 · 7-3	0–35cov · under Urbandale -14.5	46.0	83%	Urbandale -29.0	57
5A Des Moines Lincoln #26 · 5-4	at	5A Ames #25 · 4-5	38–36no cov · over Ames -2.5	53.0	56%	Ames -3.5	54
5A Iowa City West #17 · 2-6	at	5A CR Prairie #4 · 7-3	14–50cov · over CR Prairie -21.5	54.0	93%	CR Prairie -32.5	54
5A Johnston #20 · 4-6	at	5A CR Kennedy #8 · 9-1	10–24no cov · under CR Kennedy -23.5	46.0	94%	CR Kennedy -30.5	46
5A Davenport North #23 · 4-5	at	5A Muscatine #29 · 1-8	34–13cov · under Davenport North -9.5	48.0	73%	Davenport North -21.0	38
5A Marion Linn-Mar #9 · 7-3	at	5A Davenport Central #27 · 3-6	62–13cov · over Marion Linn-Mar -27.5	51.5	97%	Marion Linn-Mar -39.5	28
5A Ottumwa #33 · 2-6	at	5A Des Moines North #32 · 1-8	36–28no cov · over Des Moines North -1.5	48.0	54%	Ottumwa -4.0	20
5A Des Moines East #34 · 2-7	at	5A CB Lincoln #30 · 4-5	7–37cov · under CB Lincoln -18.5	56.5	89%	CB Lincoln -15.0	-1
5A Davenport West #31 · 1-8	at	5A Iowa City High #5 · 10-2	0–76cov · over Iowa City High -45.0	55.0	100%	Iowa City High -61.5	-4
5A Sioux City West #35 · 1-7	at	5A Sioux City North #28 · 5-3	6–27no cov · under Sioux City North -23.5	49.5	94%	Sioux City North -27.0	-8
5A CR Jefferson #36 · 0-8	at	5A Marshalltown #24 · 4-5	25–68cov · over Marshalltown -38.0	50.0	99%	Marshalltown -65.5	-22

Thursday, Oct 14

Pleasant Valley

#7 · 8-3

Dubuque Senior

#13 · 5-5

28–14cov · u45.5

Friday, Oct 15

WDM Dowling

#3 · 7-4

WDM Valley

#6 · 9-3

31–27cov · o51.5

Cedar Falls

#12 · 6-4

Bettendorf

#14 · 4-5

0–28no cov · u47.5

Sioux City East

#18 · 5-4

Des Moines Roosevelt

#19 · 5-4

26–47push · o48.0

Southeast Polk

#2 · 12-1

Ankeny Centennial

#10 · 4-6

16–0no cov · u42.5

Ankeny

#1 · 10-3

Waukee Northwest

#15 · 5-5

48–7cov · o49.5

Dubuque Hempstead

#16 · 4-5

Waterloo West

#22 · 4-5

28–14cov · u57.0

Waukee

#21 · 2-7

Urbandale

#11 · 7-3

0–35cov · u46.0

Des Moines Lincoln

#26 · 5-4

Ames

#25 · 4-5

38–36no cov · o53.0

Iowa City West

#17 · 2-6

CR Prairie

#4 · 7-3

14–50cov · o54.0

Johnston

#20 · 4-6

CR Kennedy

#8 · 9-1

10–24no cov · u46.0

Davenport North

#23 · 4-5

Muscatine

#29 · 1-8

34–13cov · u48.0

Marion Linn-Mar

#9 · 7-3

Davenport Central

#27 · 3-6

62–13cov · o51.5

Ottumwa

#33 · 2-6

Des Moines North

#32 · 1-8

36–28no cov · o48.0

Des Moines East

#34 · 2-7

CB Lincoln

#30 · 4-5

7–37cov · u56.5

Davenport West

#31 · 1-8

Iowa City High

#5 · 10-2

0–76cov · o55.0

Sioux City West

#35 · 1-7

Sioux City North

#28 · 5-3

6–27no cov · u49.5

CR Jefferson

#36 · 0-8

Marshalltown

#24 · 4-5

25–68cov · o50.0

Lines are the model's projected margin, attached to the favorite. Match is a matchup score: higher for close games between good teams. BCMoore is Brent Moore’s published line for the same game, in the same notation. A second opinion, never an input.