Away		Home	Final	Total	Win prob	BCMoore	Match
5A Waukee Northwest #15 · 5-5	at	5A Sioux City East #18 · 5-4	37–24cov · over Waukee Northwest -5.0	49.5	63%	Waukee Northwest -19.5	71
5A Iowa City High #5 · 10-2	at	5A Davenport North #23 · 4-5	42–0cov · under Iowa City High -25.5	48.0	96%	Iowa City High -44.5	42

Friday, Oct 1

Away		Home	Final	Total	Win prob	BCMoore	Match
5A Cedar Falls #12 · 6-4	at	5A CR Kennedy #8 · 9-1	14–42push · over PK	50.5	51%	Cedar Falls -1.0	90
5A Urbandale #11 · 7-3	at	5A Ankeny Centennial #10 · 4-6	19–18no cov · under Ankeny Centennial -3.5	43.0	59%	Ankeny Centennial -9.0	83
5A Marion Linn-Mar #9 · 7-3	at	5A Southeast Polk #2 · 12-1	15–38cov · over Southeast Polk -14.0	47.5	82%	Southeast Polk -13.0	75
5A Ankeny #1 · 10-3	at	5A WDM Valley #6 · 9-3	35–38no cov · over Ankeny -16.0	49.0	86%	Ankeny -14.0	73
5A Pleasant Valley #7 · 8-3	at	5A Bettendorf #14 · 4-5	14–13no cov · under Pleasant Valley -13.0	44.5	81%	Pleasant Valley -19.0	69
5A WDM Dowling #3 · 7-4	at	5A Johnston #20 · 4-6	38–3cov · under WDM Dowling -18.5	44.5	89%	WDM Dowling -24.5	56
5A Marshalltown #24 · 4-5	at	5A Des Moines Lincoln #26 · 5-4	18–27cov · under Des Moines Lincoln -2.0	48.0	56%	PK	55
5A CR Prairie #4 · 7-3	at	5A Waterloo West #22 · 4-5	55–7cov · over CR Prairie -26.0	55.0	96%	CR Prairie -30.5	43
5A Ames #25 · 4-5	at	5A CB Lincoln #30 · 4-5	52–31cov · over Ames -4.5	55.0	62%	Ames -10.5	42
5A Davenport Central #27 · 3-6	at	5A Iowa City West #17 · 2-6	21–36no cov · over Iowa City West -17.0	52.5	88%	Iowa City West -23.0	35
5A Muscatine #29 · 1-8	at	5A Dubuque Hempstead #16 · 4-5	14–55cov · over Dubuque Hempstead -19.5	51.0	91%	Dubuque Hempstead -25.5	31
5A Waukee #21 · 2-7	at	5A Sioux City North #28 · 5-3	18–21no cov · under Waukee -26.0	46.5	96%	Waukee -18.0	18
5A Dubuque Senior #13 · 5-5	at	5A Davenport West #31 · 1-8	45–7cov · over Dubuque Senior -35.5	45.5	99%	Dubuque Senior -37.0	5
5A CR Jefferson #36 · 0-8	at	5A Ottumwa #33 · 2-6	6–54cov · over Ottumwa -9.5	51.5	74%	Ottumwa -12.0	1
5A Sioux City West #35 · 1-7	at	5A Des Moines East #34 · 2-7	21–27no cov · under Des Moines East -9.5	55.5	74%	Des Moines East -7.5	-2
5A Des Moines North #32 · 1-8	at	5A Des Moines Roosevelt #19 · 5-4	0–40cov · under Des Moines Roosevelt -34.5	45.0	99%	Des Moines Roosevelt -50.5	-3

Thursday, Sep 30

Waukee Northwest

#15 · 5-5

Sioux City East

#18 · 5-4

37–24cov · o49.5

Iowa City High

#5 · 10-2

Davenport North

#23 · 4-5

42–0cov · u48.0

Friday, Oct 1

Cedar Falls

#12 · 6-4

CR Kennedy

#8 · 9-1

14–42push · o50.5

Urbandale

#11 · 7-3

Ankeny Centennial

#10 · 4-6

19–18no cov · u43.0

Marion Linn-Mar

#9 · 7-3

Southeast Polk

#2 · 12-1

15–38cov · o47.5

Ankeny

#1 · 10-3

WDM Valley

#6 · 9-3

35–38no cov · o49.0

Pleasant Valley

#7 · 8-3

Bettendorf

#14 · 4-5

14–13no cov · u44.5

WDM Dowling

#3 · 7-4

Johnston

#20 · 4-6

38–3cov · u44.5

Marshalltown

#24 · 4-5

Des Moines Lincoln

#26 · 5-4

18–27cov · u48.0

CR Prairie

#4 · 7-3

Waterloo West

#22 · 4-5

55–7cov · o55.0

Ames

#25 · 4-5

CB Lincoln

#30 · 4-5

52–31cov · o55.0

Davenport Central

#27 · 3-6

Iowa City West

#17 · 2-6

21–36no cov · o52.5

Muscatine

#29 · 1-8

Dubuque Hempstead

#16 · 4-5

14–55cov · o51.0

Waukee

#21 · 2-7

Sioux City North

#28 · 5-3

18–21no cov · u46.5

Dubuque Senior

#13 · 5-5

Davenport West

#31 · 1-8

45–7cov · o45.5

CR Jefferson

#36 · 0-8

Ottumwa

#33 · 2-6

6–54cov · o51.5

Sioux City West

#35 · 1-7

Des Moines East

#34 · 2-7

21–27no cov · u55.5

Des Moines North

#32 · 1-8

Des Moines Roosevelt

#19 · 5-4

0–40cov · u45.0

Lines are the model's projected margin, attached to the favorite. Match is a matchup score: higher for close games between good teams. BCMoore is Brent Moore’s published line for the same game, in the same notation. A second opinion, never an input.