Archive · 2021 season · final
Playoffs Round 1
Upsets
None.
Our biggest misses
Johnston 7, Southeast Polk 57
Southeast Polk -29.5 · 20 off
Cedar Falls 14, Pleasant Valley 42
Pleasant Valley -9.0 · 19 off
Marion Linn-Mar 13, WDM Dowling 38
WDM Dowling -8.0 · 17 off
Urbandale 21, Iowa City High 47
Iowa City High -11.5 · 15 off
Waukee Northwest 3, Ankeny 42
Ankeny -25.0 · 14 off
BCMoore's biggest misses
Waukee Northwest 3, Ankeny 42
Ankeny -20.0 · 19 off
Marion Linn-Mar 13, WDM Dowling 38
WDM Dowling -8.0 · 17 off
Urbandale 21, Iowa City High 47
Iowa City High -9.5 · 16 off
Cedar Falls 14, Pleasant Valley 42
Pleasant Valley -14.5 · 14 off
Johnston 7, Southeast Polk 57
Southeast Polk -37.0 · 13 off
Friday, Oct 29
| Away | Home | Final | Total | Win prob | BCMoore | Match | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5A Marion Linn-Mar #9 · 7-3 | at | 5A WDM Dowling #3 · 7-4 | 13–38cov · over WDM Dowling -8.0 | 50.5 | 71% | WDM Dowling -8.0 | 82 |
5A Ankeny Centennial #10 · 4-6 | at | 5A WDM Valley #6 · 9-3 | 21–35cov · over WDM Valley -8.5 | 48.0 | 72% | WDM Valley -8.0 | 79 |
5A Cedar Falls #12 · 6-4 | at | 5A Pleasant Valley #7 · 8-3 | 14–42cov · over Pleasant Valley -9.0 | 48.5 | 72% | Pleasant Valley -14.5 | 78 |
5A Dubuque Senior #13 · 5-5 | at | 5A CR Kennedy #8 · 9-1 | 9–23cov · under CR Kennedy -8.5 | 50.0 | 72% | CR Kennedy -14.0 | 76 |
5A Urbandale #11 · 7-3 | at | 5A Iowa City High #5 · 10-2 | 21–47cov · over Iowa City High -11.5 | 48.0 | 78% | Iowa City High -9.5 | 76 |
5A Bettendorf #14 · 4-5 | at | 5A CR Prairie #4 · 7-3 | 6–24push · under CR Prairie -18.0 | 46.5 | 89% | CR Prairie -22.0 | 63 |
5A Waukee Northwest #15 · 5-5 | at | 5A Ankeny #1 · 10-3 | 3–42cov · under Ankeny -25.0 | 49.5 | 95% | Ankeny -20.0 | 54 |
5A Johnston #20 · 4-6 | at | 5A Southeast Polk #2 · 12-1 | 7–57cov · over Southeast Polk -29.5 | 42.5 | 98% | Southeast Polk -37.0 | 40 |
Friday, Oct 29
5A
Marion Linn-Mar
#9 · 7-3
5A
WDM Dowling
#3 · 7-4
13–38cov · o50.5
5A
Ankeny Centennial
#10 · 4-6
5A
WDM Valley
#6 · 9-3
21–35cov · o48.0
5A
Cedar Falls
#12 · 6-4
5A
Pleasant Valley
#7 · 8-3
14–42cov · o48.5
5A
Dubuque Senior
#13 · 5-5
5A
CR Kennedy
#8 · 9-1
9–23cov · u50.0
5A
Urbandale
#11 · 7-3
5A
Iowa City High
#5 · 10-2
21–47cov · o48.0
5A
Bettendorf
#14 · 4-5
5A
CR Prairie
#4 · 7-3
6–24push · u46.5
5A
Waukee Northwest
#15 · 5-5
5A
Ankeny
#1 · 10-3
3–42cov · u49.5
5A
Johnston
#20 · 4-6
5A
Southeast Polk
#2 · 12-1
7–57cov · o42.5
Lines are the model's projected margin, attached to the favorite. Match is a matchup score: higher for close games between good teams. BCMoore is Brent Moore’s published line for the same game, in the same notation. A second opinion, never an input.