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Archive · 2014 season · final

Playoffs Round 1

Upsets

Johnston 34, Ankeny Centennial 6

Ankeny Centennial -5.5 · 68%

CR Kennedy 20, Muscatine 17

Muscatine -1.5 · 55%

Our biggest misses

Johnston 34, Ankeny Centennial 6

Ankeny Centennial -5.5 · 34 off

CB Lincoln 0, CB Lewis Central 42

CB Lewis Central -17.0 · 25 off

Ottumwa 0, Iowa City West 28

Iowa City West -12.5 · 16 off

Dubuque Hempstead 15, Eldridge North Scott 34

Eldridge North Scott -4.5 · 14 off

Sioux City East 7, Waukee 45

Waukee -25.0 · 13 off

Wednesday, Oct 29

Away		Home	Final	Total	Win prob	Match
4A Johnston #5 · 7-4	at	4A Ankeny Centennial #6 · 7-3	34–6no cov · under Ankeny Centennial -5.5	53.5	68%	89
4A Ames #8 · 6-4	at	4A Urbandale #13 · 5-5	31–28no cov · push Ames -7.5	59.0	73%	81
4A CR Kennedy #26 · 3-8	at	4A Muscatine #24 · 7-3	20–17no cov · under Muscatine -1.5	55.5	55%	66
4A Dubuque Hempstead #27 · 6-4	at	4A Eldridge North Scott #20 · 9-3	15–34cov · under Eldridge North Scott -4.5	52.5	64%	65
4A CR Prairie #21 · 4-6	at	4A Pleasant Valley #14 · 7-4	24–31OTno cov · over Pleasant Valley -11.5	48.5	82%	62
4A Dubuque Senior #25 · 5-5	at	4A Cedar Falls #15 · 8-3	16–20no cov · under Cedar Falls -12.0	45.5	83%	59
4A Sioux City East #12 · 6-4	at	4A Waukee #3 · 11-2	7–45cov · under Waukee -25.0	57.0	98%	57
4A CB Lincoln #23 · 4-6	at	4A CB Lewis Central #10 · 9-2	0–42cov · under CB Lewis Central -17.0	57.5	91%	56
4A Fort Dodge #19 · 6-4	at	4A Southeast Polk #4 · 6-5	15–37no cov · under Southeast Polk -23.5	55.5	97%	53
4A Ottumwa #30 · 5-5	at	4A Iowa City West #16 · 7-5	0–28cov · under Iowa City West -12.5	49.5	84%	53
4A Davenport Central #34 · 4-6	at	4A Marion Linn-Mar #18 · 9-2	14–34cov · under Marion Linn-Mar -16.0	53.0	89%	43
4A CR Jefferson #32 · 4-6	at	4A Bettendorf #11 · 12-1	7–35cov · under Bettendorf -21.5	52.5	95%	43
4A Indianola #17 · 5-5	N	4A WDM Dowling #1 · 13-1	21–62no cov · over WDM Dowling -43.5	54.0	>99%	25
4A Des Moines Lincoln #36 · 3-7	at	4A Ankeny #7 · 9-3	7–42cov · over Ankeny -33.0	48.5	>99%	24
4A Des Moines East #31 · 4-5	at	4A WDM Valley #2 · 10-2	7–56no cov · over WDM Valley -50.0	60.0	>99%	5
4A Clinton #42 · 2-8	at	4A CR Washington #9 · 13-1	13–78cov · over CR Washington -54.0	64.0	>99%	-26

Wednesday, Oct 29

4A

#5 · 7-4

4A

Ankeny Centennial

#6 · 7-3

34–6no cov · u53.5

4A

#8 · 6-4

4A

#13 · 5-5

31–28no cov · push59.0

4A

#26 · 3-8

4A

#24 · 7-3

20–17no cov · u55.5

4A

Dubuque Hempstead

#27 · 6-4

4A

Eldridge North Scott

#20 · 9-3

15–34cov · u52.5

4A

#21 · 4-6

4A

Pleasant Valley

#14 · 7-4

24–31no cov · o48.5

4A

#25 · 5-5

4A

#15 · 8-3

16–20no cov · u45.5

4A

Sioux City East

#12 · 6-4

4A

#3 · 11-2

7–45cov · u57.0

4A

#23 · 4-6

4A

CB Lewis Central

#10 · 9-2

0–42cov · u57.5

4A

#19 · 6-4

4A

#4 · 6-5

15–37no cov · u55.5

4A

#30 · 5-5

4A

#16 · 7-5

0–28cov · u49.5

4A

Davenport Central

#34 · 4-6

4A

Marion Linn-Mar

#18 · 9-2

14–34cov · u53.0

4A

#32 · 4-6

4A

#11 · 12-1

7–35cov · u52.5

4A

#17 · 5-5

4A

#1 · 13-1

21–62no cov · o54.0

4A

Des Moines Lincoln

#36 · 3-7

4A

#7 · 9-3

7–42cov · o48.5

4A

Des Moines East

#31 · 4-5

4A

#2 · 10-2

7–56no cov · o60.0

4A

#42 · 2-8

4A

#9 · 13-1

13–78cov · o64.0

Lines are the model's projected margin, attached to the favorite. Match is a matchup score: higher for close games between good teams.