Archive · 2011 season · final
Playoffs Round 3
Upsets
CR Washington 28, Marion Linn-Mar 26
Marion Linn-Mar -16.0 · 90%
Southeast Polk 17, Ankeny 27
Southeast Polk -6.5 · 69%
Our biggest misses
Bettendorf 45, Iowa City West 13
Bettendorf -1.0 · 31 off
WDM Dowling 41, Des Moines Lincoln 6
WDM Dowling -7.0 · 28 off
Iowa City West 38, Eldridge North Scott 7
Iowa City West -5.0 · 26 off
Marshalltown 20, Southeast Polk 60
Southeast Polk -20.5 · 19 off
WDM Dowling 20, WDM Valley 45
WDM Valley -6.0 · 19 off
Monday, Oct 31
| Away | Home | Final | Total | Win prob | Match | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4A Iowa City High #8 · 8-3 | at | 4A Cedar Falls #7 · 11-2 | 7–21cov · under Cedar Falls -2.0 | 53.0 | 56% | 95 |
4A Iowa City West #9 · 9-3 | at | 4A Eldridge North Scott #14 · 9-2 | 38–7cov · under Iowa City West -5.0 | 61.0 | 65% | 88 |
4A WDM Dowling #6 · 9-3 | at | 4A Des Moines Lincoln #10 · 9-2 | 41–6cov · under WDM Dowling -7.0 | 58.5 | 71% | 87 |
4A Pleasant Valley #13 · 8-3 | at | 4A Bettendorf #4 · 12-2 | 14–35cov · under Bettendorf -10.0 | 50.0 | 78% | 82 |
4A CR Washington #11 · 8-4 | at | 4A Marion Linn-Mar #5 · 10-1 | 28–26no cov · under Marion Linn-Mar -16.0 | 55.5 | 90% | 73 |
4A Marshalltown #12 · 8-3 | at | 4A Southeast Polk #1 · 10-2 | 20–60cov · over Southeast Polk -20.5 | 55.5 | 95% | 67 |
4A Sioux City East #20 · 5-6 | at | 4A Ankeny #3 · 11-2 | 14–45cov · over Ankeny -19.5 | 52.0 | 94% | 65 |
4A Urbandale #19 · 6-5 | at | 4A WDM Valley #2 · 14-0 | 13–38cov · under WDM Valley -21.0 | 51.5 | 95% | 64 |
Friday, Nov 4
| Away | Home | Final | Total | Win prob | Match | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4A Bettendorf #4 · 12-2 | at | 4A Iowa City West #9 · 9-3 | 45–13cov · over Bettendorf -1.0 | 53.5 | 53% | 97 |
4A WDM Dowling #6 · 9-3 | at | 4A WDM Valley #2 · 14-0 | 20–45cov · over WDM Valley -6.0 | 52.5 | 68% | 90 |
4A Southeast Polk #1 · 10-2 | at | 4A Ankeny #3 · 11-2 | 17–27no cov · under Southeast Polk -6.5 | 49.0 | 69% | 90 |
4A Cedar Falls #7 · 11-2 | at | 4A CR Washington #11 · 8-4 | 35–32no cov · over Cedar Falls -12.5 | 56.0 | 84% | 78 |
Monday, Oct 31
4A
Iowa City High
#8 · 8-3
4A
Cedar Falls
#7 · 11-2
7–21cov · u53.0
4A
Iowa City West
#9 · 9-3
4A
Eldridge North Scott
#14 · 9-2
38–7cov · u61.0
4A
WDM Dowling
#6 · 9-3
4A
Des Moines Lincoln
#10 · 9-2
41–6cov · u58.5
4A
Pleasant Valley
#13 · 8-3
4A
Bettendorf
#4 · 12-2
14–35cov · u50.0
4A
CR Washington
#11 · 8-4
4A
Marion Linn-Mar
#5 · 10-1
28–26no cov · u55.5
4A
Marshalltown
#12 · 8-3
4A
Southeast Polk
#1 · 10-2
20–60cov · o55.5
4A
Sioux City East
#20 · 5-6
4A
Ankeny
#3 · 11-2
14–45cov · o52.0
4A
Urbandale
#19 · 6-5
4A
WDM Valley
#2 · 14-0
13–38cov · u51.5
Friday, Nov 4
4A
Bettendorf
#4 · 12-2
4A
Iowa City West
#9 · 9-3
45–13cov · o53.5
4A
WDM Dowling
#6 · 9-3
4A
WDM Valley
#2 · 14-0
20–45cov · o52.5
4A
Southeast Polk
#1 · 10-2
4A
Ankeny
#3 · 11-2
17–27no cov · u49.0
4A
Cedar Falls
#7 · 11-2
4A
CR Washington
#11 · 8-4
35–32no cov · o56.0
Lines are the model's projected margin, attached to the favorite. Match is a matchup score: higher for close games between good teams.