Archive · 2005 season · final
Playoffs Round 1
Upsets
Bettendorf 13, Iowa City High 17
Bettendorf -6.5 · 69%
CR Prairie 26, CR Kennedy 27
CR Prairie -6.0 · 69%
Our biggest misses
Sioux City Heelan 37, Sioux City East 0
Sioux City Heelan -4.0 · 33 off
CR Washington 7, Cedar Falls 51
Cedar Falls -16.0 · 28 off
Bettendorf 13, Iowa City High 17
Bettendorf -6.5 · 10 off
Fort Dodge 18, WDM Valley 45
WDM Valley -35.0 · 8 off
Ankeny 35, Des Moines Lincoln 14
Ankeny -13.5 · 8 off
Wednesday, Nov 2
| Away | Home | Final | Total | Win prob | Match | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4A Bettendorf #2 · 8-2 | at | 4A Iowa City High #5 · 10-1 | 13–17no cov · under Bettendorf -6.5 | 48.5 | 69% | 85 |
4A CR Prairie #6 · 7-3 | at | 4A CR Kennedy #9 · 8-3 | 26–27OTno cov · over CR Prairie -6.0 | 46.5 | 69% | 74 |
4A WDM Dowling #7 · 10-2 | at | 4A Ames #10 · 8-2 | 31–24cov · over WDM Dowling -5.5 | 49.5 | 67% | 73 |
4A CR Washington #13 · 6-4 | N | 4A Cedar Falls #3 · 11-2 | 7–51cov · over Cedar Falls -16.0 | 50.5 | 89% | 59 |
4A Eldridge North Scott #12 · 7-3 | at | 4A Davenport Assumption #1 · 11-1 | 7–24no cov · under Davenport Assumption -20.5 | 45.0 | 95% | 55 |
4A Sioux City Heelan #14 · 7-4 | at | 4A Sioux City East #27 · 8-2 | 37–0cov · under Sioux City Heelan -4.0 | 43.0 | 63% | 51 |
4A Ankeny #8 · 7-4 | at | 4A Des Moines Lincoln #22 · 8-2 | 35–14cov · under Ankeny -13.5 | 55.5 | 86% | 48 |
4A Fort Dodge #32 · 6-4 | at | 4A WDM Valley #4 · 13-0 | 18–45no cov · over WDM Valley -35.0 | 51.0 | >99% | 17 |
Wednesday, Nov 2
4A
Bettendorf
#2 · 8-2
4A
Iowa City High
#5 · 10-1
13–17no cov · u48.5
4A
CR Prairie
#6 · 7-3
4A
CR Kennedy
#9 · 8-3
26–27no cov · o46.5
4A
WDM Dowling
#7 · 10-2
4A
Ames
#10 · 8-2
31–24cov · o49.5
4A
CR Washington
#13 · 6-4
4A
Cedar Falls
#3 · 11-2
7–51cov · o50.5
4A
Eldridge North Scott
#12 · 7-3
4A
Davenport Assumption
#1 · 11-1
7–24no cov · u45.0
4A
Sioux City Heelan
#14 · 7-4
4A
Sioux City East
#27 · 8-2
37–0cov · u43.0
4A
Ankeny
#8 · 7-4
4A
Des Moines Lincoln
#22 · 8-2
35–14cov · u55.5
4A
Fort Dodge
#32 · 6-4
4A
WDM Valley
#4 · 13-0
18–45no cov · o51.0
Lines are the model's projected margin, attached to the favorite. Match is a matchup score: higher for close games between good teams.