Archive · 2005 season · final
Week 1
Upsets
Sioux City Heelan 7, Johnston 21
Sioux City Heelan -19.5 · 90%
Marshalltown 10, Indianola 27
Marshalltown -12.5 · 79%
Runnells SE Polk 25, CB Lincoln 27
Runnells SE Polk -11.5 · 77%
Fort Dodge 34, Des Moines East 28
Des Moines East -7.5 · 69%
Davenport West 0, Clinton 35
Davenport West -1.0 · 52%
Our biggest misses
Des Moines Lincoln 49, Mason City 0
Des Moines Lincoln -8.5 · 41 off
CR Washington 21, CR Prairie 61
CR Prairie -4.0 · 36 off
Davenport West 0, Clinton 35
Davenport West -1.0 · 36 off
Sioux City Heelan 7, Johnston 21
Sioux City Heelan -19.5 · 33 off
Des Moines Hoover 6, Sioux City East 63
Sioux City East -27.0 · 30 off
Friday, Aug 26
| Away | Home | Final | Total | Win prob | Match | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4A Clinton #15 · 6-4 | at | 3A Central Clinton #42 · 2-7 | 14–17no cov · under Central Clinton -21.0 | 42.0 | 91% | 33 |
Thursday, Sep 1
| Away | Home | Final | Total | Win prob | Match | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4A CR Kennedy #9 · 8-3 | at | 4A CR Xavier #11 · 6-3 | 16–13OTcov · under CR Kennedy -2.5 | 47.5 | 56% | 72 |
4A Cedar Falls #3 · 11-2 | at | 4A Dubuque Hempstead #25 · 4-5 | 28–14cov · under Cedar Falls -13.0 | 45.0 | 80% | 53 |
Friday, Sep 2
Saturday, Sep 3
| Away | Home | Final | Total | Win prob | Match | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4A Des Moines Hoover #48 · 0-9 | at | 4A Sioux City East #27 · 8-2 | 6–63cov · over Sioux City East -27.0 | 49.0 | 96% | -16 |
Friday, Aug 26
4A
Clinton
#15 · 6-4
3A
Central Clinton
#42 · 2-7
14–17no cov · u42.0
Thursday, Sep 1
4A
CR Kennedy
#9 · 8-3
4A
CR Xavier
#11 · 6-3
16–13cov · u47.5
4A
Cedar Falls
#3 · 11-2
4A
Dubuque Hempstead
#25 · 4-5
28–14cov · u45.0
Friday, Sep 2
4A
CR Washington
#13 · 6-4
4A
CR Prairie
#6 · 7-3
21–61cov · o49.0
4A
Ankeny
#8 · 7-4
4A
WDM Valley
#4 · 13-0
14–35cov · o48.5
4A
Davenport West
#18 · 4-5
4A
Clinton
#15 · 6-4
0–35no cov · u46.5
4A
Pleasant Valley
#16 · 4-5
4A
Bettendorf
#2 · 8-2
14–34cov · o47.0
4A
Des Moines Roosevelt
#36 · 4-5
4A
Ames
#10 · 8-2
19–41cov · o47.5
4A
Eldridge North Scott
#12 · 7-3
4A
Davenport Central
#21 · 3-6
20–16no cov · u46.0
4A
Marion Linn-Mar
#20 · 3-6
4A
Dubuque Senior
#34 · 4-5
41–20cov · o54.0
4A
Iowa City High
#5 · 10-1
4A
CR Jefferson
#31 · 1-8
34–7cov · u46.5
4A
Davenport Assumption
#1 · 11-1
4A
Burlington
#41 · 0-9
37–0cov · u47.5
4A
Fort Dodge
#32 · 6-4
4A
Des Moines East
#37 · 3-6
34–28no cov · o49.0
4A
Sioux City Heelan
#14 · 7-4
4A
Johnston
#33 · 4-5
7–21no cov · u48.0
4A
Runnells SE Polk
#26 · 5-4
4A
CB Lincoln
#35 · 5-4
25–27no cov · o46.0
4A
Waterloo West
#28 · 3-6
4A
Iowa City West
#19 · 3-6
15–34no cov · o47.0
4A
Des Moines Lincoln
#22 · 8-2
4A
Mason City
#43 · 1-8
49–0cov · o48.0
4A
Marshalltown
#39 · 3-6
4A
Indianola
#30 · 4-5
10–27no cov · u48.0
4A
WDM Dowling
#7 · 10-2
4A
Sioux City West
#44 · 3-6
41–0cov · u48.5
4A
Davenport North
#42 · 1-8
4A
Muscatine
#23 · 3-6
7–42cov · o46.5
4A
CB Jefferson
#47 · 0-9
4A
Urbandale
#38 · 2-7
0–35cov · u49.0
4A
Des Moines North
#46 · 1-8
4A
Newton
#29 · 5-4
13–68cov · o48.0
4A
Sioux City North
#40 · 3-6
4A
Ottumwa
#17 · 6-3
0–20no cov · u50.5
4A
Dubuque Wahlert
#24 · 2-7
4A
Waterloo East
#45 · 0-9
20–0no cov · u48.0
Saturday, Sep 3
4A
Des Moines Hoover
#48 · 0-9
4A
Sioux City East
#27 · 8-2
6–63cov · o49.0
Lines are the model's projected margin, attached to the favorite. Match is a matchup score: higher for close games between good teams.