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Archive · 1986 season · final

Week 5

Upsets

Sioux City Heelan 6, Sioux City North 9

Sioux City Heelan -7.5 · 71%

Pleasant Valley 15, Davenport Assumption 0

Davenport Assumption -4.0 · 62%

Southeast Polk 0, Winterset 15

Southeast Polk -4.0 · 61%

Waterloo East 49, Cedar Falls 14

Cedar Falls -2.5 · 58%

Dubuque Hempstead 28, Dubuque Wahlert 14

Dubuque Wahlert -2.5 · 57%

Our biggest misses

Waterloo East 49, Cedar Falls 14

Cedar Falls -2.5 · 38 off

Des Moines Roosevelt 6, WDM Dowling 45

WDM Dowling -10.0 · 29 off

Pleasant Valley 15, Davenport Assumption 0

Davenport Assumption -4.0 · 19 off

Southeast Polk 0, Winterset 15

Southeast Polk -4.0 · 19 off

Dubuque Hempstead 28, Dubuque Wahlert 14

Dubuque Wahlert -2.5 · 16 off

Tuesday, Sep 30

Away		Home	Final	Total	Win prob	Match
3A Pleasant Valley #5 · 9-2	at	4A Davenport Assumption #20 · 8-3	15–0no cov · under Davenport Assumption -4.0	27.0	62%	87
4A Clinton #15 · 5-4	at	4A Davenport North #33 · 3-6	22–7cov · under Clinton -14.5	33.0	86%	67
4A Burlington #34 · 2-7	at	4A Bettendorf #7 · 6-4	3–14no cov · under Bettendorf -17.0	33.5	90%	65
4A Muscatine #41 · 2-7	at	4A Davenport West #19 · 6-3	13–35cov · over Davenport West -20.5	35.0	94%	51
4A Davenport Central #8 · 8-3	at	4A Eldridge North Scott #40 · 0-9	23–6no cov · under Davenport Central -22.5	36.5	95%	51

Thursday, Oct 2

Away		Home	Final	Total	Win prob	Match
4A Iowa City High #11 · 7-2	at	4A Iowa City West #29 · 3-6	20–13no cov · under Iowa City High -19.0	36.0	92%	63

Friday, Oct 3

Away		Home	Final	Total	Win prob	Match
4A Waterloo East #1 · 7-2	at	4A Cedar Falls #4 · 10-2	49–14no cov · over Cedar Falls -2.5	38.0	58%	96
4A Dubuque Hempstead #10 · 6-2	at	4A Dubuque Wahlert #25 · 4-4	28–14no cov · over Dubuque Wahlert -2.5	30.5	57%	90
4A Ankeny #23 · 6-3	at	3A Tama South Tama #12 · 4-5	22–15no cov · over Tama South Tama -1.0	30.0	53%	89
4A Dubuque Senior #27 · 1-7	at	4A CR Washington #13 · 4-5	10–13no cov · under CR Washington -7.0	31.0	70%	81
4A Cedar Rapids Kennedy #32 · 2-7	at	4A Cedar Rapids Prairie #21 · 6-3	7–27cov · under Cedar Rapids Prairie -5.0	37.0	65%	81
4A WDM Valley #14 · 6-4	at	4A Des Moines East #35 · 4-5	23–7cov · under WDM Valley -6.0	35.0	68%	79
4A Des Moines Roosevelt #28 · 4-5	at	4A WDM Dowling #6 · 8-1	6–45cov · over WDM Dowling -10.0	37.5	77%	78
3A Indianola #7 · 7-3	at	4A Urbandale #5 · 10-1	7–21cov · under Urbandale -12.0	38.5	82%	78
4A Mason City #17 · 5-2	at	4A Fort Dodge #26 · 3-5	27–13cov · over Mason City -9.5	35.0	76%	77
4A Sioux City Heelan #24 · 1-4	at	4A Sioux City North #30 · 1-2	6–9no cov · under Sioux City Heelan -7.5	38.0	71%	77
4A CR Jefferson #18 · 5-4	at	4A Marion Linn-Mar #2 · 9-2	7–21cov · under Marion Linn-Mar -13.5	36.0	85%	76
4A Newton #16 · 6-3	at	3A Boone #33 · 2-7	34–20cov · over Newton -8.5	35.0	74%	72
4A Des Moines Lincoln #37 · 3-6	at	4A Des Moines Hoover #22 · 5-4	27–46cov · over Des Moines Hoover -9.0	40.0	74%	72
4A Waterloo Central #36 · 0-9	at	3A Waterloo Columbus #3 · 10-2	0–23cov · under Waterloo Columbus -14.0	32.5	85%	67
4A Marshalltown #31 · 2-6	at	4A Waterloo West #12 · 4-5	14–34cov · over Waterloo West -19.0	33.0	92%	62
4A Southeast Polk #43 · 1-8	at	3A Winterset #53 · 4-5	0–15no cov · under Southeast Polk -4.0	30.0	61%	56
4A CB Jefferson #44 · 1-1	at	4A CB Lincoln #42 · 1-2	0–7OTpush · under CB Lincoln -7.0	34.5	69%	52
3A Keokuk #60 · 1-6	at	4A Ottumwa #38 · 3-6	14–21no cov · under Ottumwa -21.5	37.5	95%	32
4A DM North-Tech #45 · 0-9	at	4A Ames #9 · 6-4	12–55cov · over Ames -42.0	52.0	>99%	1

Saturday, Oct 4

Away		Home	Final	Total	Win prob	Match
4A Davenport Assumption #20 · 8-3	at	4A Davenport West #19 · 6-3	38–35OTpush · over PK	32.5	51%	92
3A Pleasant Valley #5 · 9-2	at	4A Davenport North #33 · 3-6	27–14cov · over Pleasant Valley -10.5	25.0	79%	74
4A Clinton #15 · 5-4	at	4A Burlington #34 · 2-7	8–0no cov · under Clinton -13.5	36.5	85%	68
4A Eldridge North Scott #40 · 0-9	at	4A Bettendorf #7 · 6-4	0–28cov · under Bettendorf -23.0	35.0	96%	51
4A Davenport Central #8 · 8-3	at	4A Muscatine #41 · 2-7	27–6no cov · under Davenport Central -23.5	36.0	96%	50

Tuesday, Sep 30

3A

Pleasant Valley

#5 · 9-2

4A

Davenport Assumption

#20 · 8-3

15–0no cov · u27.0

4A

#15 · 5-4

4A

Davenport North

#33 · 3-6

22–7cov · u33.0

4A

#34 · 2-7

4A

#7 · 6-4

3–14no cov · u33.5

4A

#41 · 2-7

4A

#19 · 6-3

13–35cov · o35.0

4A

Davenport Central

#8 · 8-3

4A

Eldridge North Scott

#40 · 0-9

23–6no cov · u36.5

Thursday, Oct 2

4A

#11 · 7-2

4A

#29 · 3-6

20–13no cov · u36.0

Friday, Oct 3

4A

#1 · 7-2

4A

#4 · 10-2

49–14no cov · o38.0

4A

Dubuque Hempstead

#10 · 6-2

4A

Dubuque Wahlert

#25 · 4-4

28–14no cov · o30.5

4A

#23 · 6-3

3A

Tama South Tama

#12 · 4-5

22–15no cov · o30.0

4A

#27 · 1-7

4A

#13 · 4-5

10–13no cov · u31.0

4A

Cedar Rapids Kennedy

#32 · 2-7

4A

Cedar Rapids Prairie

#21 · 6-3

7–27cov · u37.0

4A

#14 · 6-4

4A

Des Moines East

#35 · 4-5

23–7cov · u35.0

4A

Des Moines Roosevelt

#28 · 4-5

4A

#6 · 8-1

6–45cov · o37.5

3A

#7 · 7-3

4A

#5 · 10-1

7–21cov · u38.5

4A

#17 · 5-2

4A

#26 · 3-5

27–13cov · o35.0

4A

Sioux City Heelan

#24 · 1-4

4A

Sioux City North

#30 · 1-2

6–9no cov · u38.0

4A

#18 · 5-4

4A

Marion Linn-Mar

#2 · 9-2

7–21cov · u36.0

4A

#16 · 6-3

3A

#33 · 2-7

34–20cov · o35.0

4A

Des Moines Lincoln

#37 · 3-6

4A

Des Moines Hoover

#22 · 5-4

27–46cov · o40.0

4A

Waterloo Central

#36 · 0-9

3A

Waterloo Columbus

#3 · 10-2

0–23cov · u32.5

4A

#31 · 2-6

4A

#12 · 4-5

14–34cov · o33.0

4A

#43 · 1-8

3A

#53 · 4-5

0–15no cov · u30.0

4A

#44 · 1-1

4A

#42 · 1-2

0–7push · u34.5

3A

#60 · 1-6

4A

#38 · 3-6

14–21no cov · u37.5

4A

#45 · 0-9

4A

#9 · 6-4

12–55cov · o52.0

Saturday, Oct 4

4A

Davenport Assumption

#20 · 8-3

4A

#19 · 6-3

38–35push · o32.5

3A

Pleasant Valley

#5 · 9-2

4A

Davenport North

#33 · 3-6

27–14cov · o25.0

4A

#15 · 5-4

4A

#34 · 2-7

8–0no cov · u36.5

4A

Eldridge North Scott

#40 · 0-9

4A

#7 · 6-4

0–28cov · u35.0

4A

Davenport Central

#8 · 8-3

4A

#41 · 2-7

27–6no cov · u36.0

Lines are the model's projected margin, attached to the favorite. Match is a matchup score: higher for close games between good teams.