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Archive · 1978 season · final

Week 4

Upsets

Clinton 27, Davenport Assumption 20

Davenport Assumption -13.5 · 83%

Waterloo East 3, Cedar Falls 14

Waterloo East -12.5 · 81%

WDM Valley 14, Des Moines Roosevelt 17

WDM Valley -9.0 · 74%

Iowa City West 14, Iowa City High 7

Iowa City High -8.5 · 72%

Sioux City North 13, Sioux City West 0

Sioux City West -7.5 · 70%

Our biggest misses

Des Moines Tech 42, Des Moines North 0

Des Moines Tech -3.0 · 39 off

Davenport West 7, Davenport Central 40

Davenport West PK · 33 off

Carroll Kuemper 0, Sioux City East 48

Sioux City East -21.0 · 27 off

Des Moines East 42, Des Moines Hoover 14

Des Moines East -2.5 · 25 off

Waterloo East 3, Cedar Falls 14

Waterloo East -12.5 · 24 off

Thursday, Sep 28

Away		Home	Final	Total	Win prob	Match
4A Cedar Rapids Kennedy #8 · 5-4	at	4A CR Washington #4 · 8-2	7–10OTno cov · under CR Washington -9.0	31.0	74%	85

Friday, Sep 29

Away		Home	Final	Total	Win prob	Match
4A CR Jefferson #6 · 6-3	at	4A Dubuque Wahlert #18 · 3-6	12–6OTcov · under CR Jefferson -1.5	30.5	54%	94
4A Davenport West #27 · 2-5	at	4A Davenport Central #2 · 7-2	7–40push · over PK	31.5	51%	93
4A Des Moines Lincoln #25 · 3-4	at	4A WDM Dowling #10 · 5-2	7–6no cov · under WDM Dowling -4.0	29.5	61%	87
4A Ames #15 · 4-5	at	4A Fort Dodge #13 · 8-3	6–7no cov · under Fort Dodge -7.5	32.0	70%	84
4A CB Jefferson #33 · 2-1	at	4A CB Lincoln #26 · 1-0	3–15cov · under CB Lincoln -4.0	33.0	61%	78
4A Waterloo East #7 · 4-3	at	4A Cedar Falls #20 · 4-5	3–14no cov · under Waterloo East -12.5	31.0	81%	77
4A Dubuque Senior #24 · 3-5	at	4A Dubuque Hempstead #3 · 9-1	12–35cov · over Dubuque Hempstead -12.0	32.0	81%	75
4A Clinton #17 · 6-4	at	4A Davenport Assumption #12 · 3-5	27–20OTno cov · over Davenport Assumption -13.5	29.0	83%	75
4A Muscatine #34 · 4-5	at	4A Burlington #36 · 2-7	13–0no cov · under Burlington -1.5	32.0	54%	75
4A Des Moines East #30 · 3-3	at	4A Des Moines Hoover #38 · 3-5	42–14cov · over Des Moines East -2.5	32.5	58%	74
4A Marshalltown #23 · 2-6	at	4A Mason City #1 · 10-1	7–25cov · under Mason City -13.5	33.5	83%	74
4A Ottumwa #19 · 6-3	at	3A Oskaloosa #23 · 8-1	14–0cov · under Ottumwa -10.5	37.0	77%	73
4A Iowa City West #35 · 2-7	at	4A Iowa City High #32 · 2-7	14–7OTno cov · under Iowa City High -8.5	31.5	72%	67
3A Waterloo Columbus #40 · 1-8	at	4A Newton #11 · 4-4	0–14no cov · under Newton -15.0	33.0	85%	62
3A Eldridge North Scott #41 · 1-6	at	4A Bettendorf #5 · 6-1	12–40cov · over Bettendorf -15.5	32.0	86%	62
4A Sioux City North #37 · 1-2	at	4A Sioux City West #39 · 1-4	13–0no cov · under Sioux City West -7.5	35.5	70%	58
4A Des Moines Tech #31 · 2-4	at	4A Des Moines North #40 · 0-5	42–0cov · over Des Moines Tech -3.0	36.5	59%	57
2A Carroll Kuemper #66 · 5-4	at	4A Sioux City East #22 · 2-3	0–48cov · over Sioux City East -21.0	31.0	93%	41
3A Indianola #77 · 0-8	at	4A Ankeny #16 · 8-1	0–42cov · over Ankeny -27.5	37.5	97%	25

Saturday, Sep 30

Away		Home	Final	Total	Win prob	Match
4A WDM Valley #21 · 5-5	at	4A Des Moines Roosevelt #29 · 5-3	14–17OTno cov · under WDM Valley -9.0	32.5	74%	74

Thursday, Sep 28

4A

Cedar Rapids Kennedy

#8 · 5-4

4A

#4 · 8-2

7–10no cov · u31.0

Friday, Sep 29

4A

#6 · 6-3

4A

Dubuque Wahlert

#18 · 3-6

12–6cov · u30.5

4A

#27 · 2-5

4A

Davenport Central

#2 · 7-2

7–40push · o31.5

4A

Des Moines Lincoln

#25 · 3-4

4A

#10 · 5-2

7–6no cov · u29.5

4A

#15 · 4-5

4A

#13 · 8-3

6–7no cov · u32.0

4A

#33 · 2-1

4A

#26 · 1-0

3–15cov · u33.0

4A

#7 · 4-3

4A

#20 · 4-5

3–14no cov · u31.0

4A

#24 · 3-5

4A

Dubuque Hempstead

#3 · 9-1

12–35cov · o32.0

4A

#17 · 6-4

4A

Davenport Assumption

#12 · 3-5

27–20no cov · o29.0

4A

#34 · 4-5

4A

#36 · 2-7

13–0no cov · u32.0

4A

Des Moines East

#30 · 3-3

4A

Des Moines Hoover

#38 · 3-5

42–14cov · o32.5

4A

#23 · 2-6

4A

#1 · 10-1

7–25cov · u33.5

4A

#19 · 6-3

3A

#23 · 8-1

14–0cov · u37.0

4A

#35 · 2-7

4A

#32 · 2-7

14–7no cov · u31.5

3A

Waterloo Columbus

#40 · 1-8

4A

#11 · 4-4

0–14no cov · u33.0

3A

Eldridge North Scott

#41 · 1-6

4A

#5 · 6-1

12–40cov · o32.0

4A

Sioux City North

#37 · 1-2

4A

Sioux City West

#39 · 1-4

13–0no cov · u35.5

4A

Des Moines Tech

#31 · 2-4

4A

Des Moines North

#40 · 0-5

42–0cov · o36.5

2A

Carroll Kuemper

#66 · 5-4

4A

Sioux City East

#22 · 2-3

0–48cov · o31.0

3A

#77 · 0-8

4A

#16 · 8-1

0–42cov · o37.5

Saturday, Sep 30

4A

#21 · 5-5

4A

Des Moines Roosevelt

#29 · 5-3

14–17no cov · u32.5

Lines are the model's projected margin, attached to the favorite. Match is a matchup score: higher for close games between good teams.