Archive · 1978 season · final
Playoffs Round 1
Upsets
Fort Dodge 14, Sioux City Heelan 13
Sioux City Heelan -6.0 · 68%
Dubuque Hempstead 28, CR Washington 12
CR Washington -4.5 · 63%
CR Washington 29, Davenport Central 28
Davenport Central -4.0 · 63%
Our biggest misses
Dubuque Hempstead 28, CR Washington 12
CR Washington -4.5 · 20 off
Clinton 7, Dubuque Hempstead 28
Dubuque Hempstead -7.5 · 13 off
Fort Dodge 6, Mason City 33
Mason City -14.5 · 13 off
Fort Dodge 14, Sioux City Heelan 13
Sioux City Heelan -6.0 · 7 off
Mason City 28, WDM Valley 7
Mason City -15.5 · 5 off
Wednesday, Nov 8
| Away | Home | Final | Total | Win prob | Match | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4A CR Washington #4 · 8-2 | at | 4A Davenport Central #2 · 7-2 | 29–28no cov · over Davenport Central -4.0 | 38.5 | 63% | 93 |
4A Fort Dodge #13 · 8-3 | at | 4A Sioux City Heelan #9 · 5-1 | 14–13no cov · under Sioux City Heelan -6.0 | 32.0 | 68% | 87 |
4A Clinton #17 · 6-4 | at | 4A Dubuque Hempstead #3 · 9-1 | 7–28cov · under Dubuque Hempstead -7.5 | 37.5 | 73% | 85 |
4A Mason City #1 · 10-1 | at | 4A WDM Valley #21 · 5-5 | 28–7cov · under Mason City -15.5 | 39.0 | 89% | 72 |
Saturday, Nov 11
| Away | Home | Final | Total | Win prob | Match | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4A Dubuque Hempstead #3 · 9-1 | at | 4A CR Washington #4 · 8-2 | 28–12no cov · over CR Washington -4.5 | 39.0 | 63% | 93 |
4A Fort Dodge #13 · 8-3 | at | 4A Mason City #1 · 10-1 | 6–33cov · over Mason City -14.5 | 36.5 | 87% | 76 |
Wednesday, Nov 8
4A
CR Washington
#4 · 8-2
4A
Davenport Central
#2 · 7-2
29–28no cov · o38.5
4A
Fort Dodge
#13 · 8-3
4A
Sioux City Heelan
#9 · 5-1
14–13no cov · u32.0
4A
Clinton
#17 · 6-4
4A
Dubuque Hempstead
#3 · 9-1
7–28cov · u37.5
4A
Mason City
#1 · 10-1
4A
WDM Valley
#21 · 5-5
28–7cov · u39.0
Saturday, Nov 11
4A
Dubuque Hempstead
#3 · 9-1
4A
CR Washington
#4 · 8-2
28–12no cov · o39.0
4A
Fort Dodge
#13 · 8-3
4A
Mason City
#1 · 10-1
6–33cov · o36.5
Lines are the model's projected margin, attached to the favorite. Match is a matchup score: higher for close games between good teams.